| Kristoffer Reitan |
Win |
30/1(+3000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Norwegian Kristoffer has been playing some very good golf in 2026, it is of no surprise to us here @ PGT as we often highlighted how he could card a 60 or 61 with ease on the DPWT.
Now ranked 24th in OWGR & a high 14th FedEx his PGA card is now secure for the next 2 years after winning the PGA Truist, he also has to good results in both Majors in 2026.
PGA 2026
- 49th x SG: Total
- 31st x SG: T2G
- 20th x SG: OTT
- 95th x SG: APG
- 78th x SG: ARG
- 95th x SG: PUT
- 106th x DA @ 56.88%
- 81st x GIR @ 65.70%
- 11/14 cuts made in 2026 for 78.5%
After opening around $28 on betfair KT has remained firm in the outright win market @ $30, Last week @ PGA The Memorial his last 3 days were 70, 70, 65 (-8) with 7 of those shots coming on the final day.
We just think he is better value at double the odds of Tommy who just did not put the field away after his eagle on 15 & Burns who had the event in control until he lost the plot late, Burns lost in a playoff here last year as well.
Happy to invest on the Norwegian around $30 on betfair who looked ultra smart on day 4 with 7 birdies & 0 bogeys.
|
| Aaron Rai |
Win |
42/1(+4200) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Like Reitan we have previous tipped AR previously and the form lines around Myrtle Beach & teams from Zurich still shine through, players in red hot form include Reitan, Rai, Alex Fitzpatrick.
After AR won his 1st Major there would be expectation of the flat form to follow but he had 3 weeks off before the PGA Memorial and all bar 1 was he in positive strokes gained, the only negative was putting-
PGA The Memorial
- 19th x SG: OTT @ +1.133
- 12th x SG: APG @ +3.726
- 21st x SG: ARG @ +1.111
- 38th x SG: PUT losing -1.525 strokes
- T19 x SG: Total @ +4.445
- 3rd x Driving Accuracy @ 75.00% (42/56)
The main factor of AR play is his accuracy off the tee & whilst the fairways in Toronto are not the narrowest finding fairways will help on the 2nd shot where he is also accurate with wedges & irons, Players this week will be happy to learn the rough has been cut down from 6 inches to 4.
PGA 2026
- 34th x SG: Total
- 26th x SG: T2G
- 66th x SG: OTT
- 19th x SG: APG
- 68th x SG: ARG
- 86th x SG: PUT
- 2ndh x DA @ 70.0%
- 16th x GIR @ 69.20%
- 9/11 cuts made in 2026 for 81.8%
Although ranked @ 86th in putting we saw with our own eyes some incredible puts made on his way to winning @ PGA Championships, like most players they can all run hot with the putter on any given weekend.
After Opening around $38 on betfair you can easily find $42 on betfair and I have seen as much as $44 to $46, With his first event after his major win he should be able to play more freely around Toronto. We think he is value considering his higher accuracy than most in this field.
|
| Alex Noren |
Win |
46/1(+4600) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The Swede we have selected him from time to time in 2026 and he will have 1 or 2 very good rounds and his concentration lapses, but we saw a much more relaxed AN around Muirfield Village last Week-
PGA The Memorial
- 21st x SG: OTT @ +0.742
- 18th x SG: APG @ +1.897
- 9th x SG: ARG @ +3.004
- 15th x SG: PUT @ +2.802
- 9th x SG: Total @ +8.445
- T6 x Driving Accuracy @ 71.43% (40/56)
It is the same sort of form we saw late in 2025 and which he nearly stole the PGA HERO World Challenge in December, that was on the back of 2 very close wins on the DPWT.
AN is shooting for his 12th straight event and they are mostly versus the game’s elite, he is trending very well for this & like Rai his accuracy will take him through to the final day 4 to challenge.
PGA 2026
- 25th x SG: Total
- 62nd x SG: T2G
- 104th x SG: OTT
- 60th x SG: APG
- 53rd x SG: ARG
- 14th x SG: PUT
- 20th x DA @ 64.43%
- 85th x GIR @ 65.42%
- 11/13 cuts made in 2026 for 84.6%
AN is another player in which the Stig & MJ are not too concerned over regarding his around green or putting stats, he has improved those strokes gained metrics in better than 60% of his recent events and this 12 x DPWT winner can win this weekend to notch up his first PGA Win, he brings the experience in a lesser event this weekend.
After opening on Monday night (AEST) around $38 on betfair there is as much as $46 now on offer to which I thought he should be shorter than Bobby Mac due to his inconsistent play & Morikawa who has incredible T2G stats, the lingering question is his back injury.
You could try & get matched for $50.
|
| Tony Finau |
Win |
80/1(+8000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Only if Big Tony could have a run with his putter, he would have gone very close to winning another 2 events in 2026.
PGA 2026
- 95th x SG: Total
- 88th x SG: T2G
- 116th x SG: OTT
- 110th x SG: APG
- 14th x SG: ARG
- 100th x SG: PUT
- 146th x DA @ 51.50%
- 144thst x GIR @ 61.74%
- 11/16 cuts made in 2026 for 68.75%
This week we are sticking with TF as the veterans & especially JT Poston last week was not ranked anywhere and he could not even muster better than T25 finishes, that is when he made the cut as he missed 4 from 8 before and look he was tipped by us a while back and was dismal, this is one of the hardest sports to bet on without question but it is the most rewarding when you get it right, any player can break out, this we expect.
TF has been good in most his strokes gained metrics, it is his putting he struggles with but last week around a very tough course @ Muirfield Village he was-
- 36th x SG: PUT over 4 days losing -0.990 strokes
He was able to offset that with a very solid Off the Tee game-
- 2nd x SG: OTT @ +3.321 strokes gained
I watched his game closely and despite having a very up & down day 4 where every hole when he could make a birdie he gave it back.
Through the final 18 holes he ended up Even par with 5 birdies & 5 bogeys, however no doubles which many did struggle with.
If Big Tony can repeat last week and stay on track, he could easily be another veteran like Henley & Poston to find the winners podium. After opening around $70 even to my surprise he has remained very firm in outright win markets.
Currently on betfair he is $80, We do have others that we consider better value but we liked him back in Texas on the back of a few good T20 results then he faded, his last 3 of 4 events his best so far in 2026.
|
| Ryan Fox |
Win |
85/1(+8500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The Silver Fox has long been a staple @ PGT & we liked him enough to select him @ PGA Championships at better than +$400 (see summary as it is extensive as Late Mail).
After his fading T35 @ PGA Championship he looked much sharper last week around Muirfield which that course does not really suit his game, he was good for 3 of the 4 days with rounds of 70, 77, 71, 70 for Even par for the weekend.
I mentioned previously that a few players struggled with double bogeys and Fox with his 77 on Day 2 like others basically ruled him out of the weekend. With this in mind his overall stats were better than respectable-
PGA The Memorial
- 44th x SG: OTT losing -1.789 strokes
- 33rd x SG: APG losing -0.198 strokes
- 35th x SG: ARG losing -0.305 strokes
- 6th x SG: PUT @ +4.737
- T27 x SG: Total @ +2.445
- T49 x Driving Accuracy @ 44.64% (25/56)
What was encouraging is he still finished 6th overall in putting DESPITE his day 2 (77)-
- 5th hole par 5- triple bogey (8)
- 8th hole par 3-bogey (4)
- 9th hole par 4-double bogey (6)
- 15th hole par 5-bogey (6)
- 17th hole par 4-bogey (5)
- Luckily, he carded 3 birdies to lessen the damage- his round 77 (+5)
Now most would have trouble backing up for day 3, Fox was steadier with 4 birdies & 3 bogeys on day 3 he then went on 5 birdies straight on day 4 which his troubles looked well behind him until a double bogey on 3rd hole thwarted his progress, to be fair his birdies were on the back 9 he started from the 10th hole which the back 9 was playing 2 shots worse than the front 9.
I will happily accept that as an improved showing, we have highlighted it before & Sam Burns was exactly this on day 4 last week where he missed an eagle putt, made birdie but also missed a birdie putt on the back 9, both were by millimetres, no exaggeration.
With stats only recording factual history, stats do not include those near misses, such as where a player could easily be -3 instead of par on 3 holes because they were so close.
We feel positive about the Kiwi this week.
PGA 2026
- 58th x SG: Total
- 49th x SG: T2G
- 42nd x SG: OTT
- 89th x SG: APG
- 74th x SG: ARG
- 82nd x SG: PUT
- 131st x DA @ 53.58%
- 118th x GIR @ 63.75%
- 9/11 cuts made in 2026 for 81.8%
Sometimes players get good vibes on courses they have performed well at & this should be no different for Fox as last year he defeated Burns in a playoff as our Late Mail @ $17, he won because his putting was good, last week that was evident @ Muirfield, putting around Toronto much easier.
As the defending Champion opened around $65 on betfair late Monday nigh (AEST) there has been little support for the Kiwi & there is now plenty of $85 on offer. I would suggest trying to get matched closer to $100 as the exchange will tighten up those under $25 as to be fair most punters & analysts mostly back & select those that are favourites. As PGT has gone very close in the last few events we are also looking for that fuzzy feeling like Fox who won this last year which was played the first time @ TPC Toronto @ Osprey Valley.
|
| Sahith Theegala |
Win |
100/1(+10000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
ST was a late inclusion as we have been on & off him lately because one week, he will shine then the next you wonder where he went?
He was the playing partner with Aaron Rai @ PGA Zurich New Orleans where he simply out played his partner, not just but significantly, we still think that events & the ones since have been good form references.
PGA The Memorial
- 47th x SG: OTT losing -2.404 strokes
- 36th x SG: APG losing -1.037 strokes
- 24th x SG: ARG @ +0.801
- 12th x SG: PUT @ +3.085
- T32 x SG: Total @ +0.445
- T49 x Driving Accuracy @ 44.64% (25/56)
Despite ST finishing only T49 last week he did show us some brilliance here & there, He also was consistent over all 4 days unlike 60% of the field, his strokes gained metrics were consistent and he showed his 2026 is still on track for his first win since his comeback.
If anything, his sole cut was @ PGA Valspar but he immediately bounced back with a T10 @ PGA Texas Children’s and if it were not for that cut he would have gone 16 straight events.
- 8 x T25 in 16 events for 50% strike rate to T25
We feel he is on the cusp of winning and without the usual top dogs in Canada he can be in the finish.
2026 PGA
- 53rd x SG: Total
- 60th x SG: T2G
- 111th x SG: OTT
- 73rd x SG: APG
- 18th x SG: ARG
- 58th x SG: PUT
- 120th x DA @ 55.57%
- 110th x GIR @ 64.34%
- 16/17 cuts made in 2026 for 94.1%
This will be a much larger cut this weekend with 147 players so as usual we will try and get as many through to enhance our chances to win the event & one thing ST makes in spades is cuts!
ST opened up around $85 on betfair but there is plenty of $95 to $100 as the analysis is typed up. Also look around as sometimes bookmakers can offer better odds.
He is slowly creeping up so a win here would not surprise!
|
| Steven Fisk |
Win |
120/1(+12000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
SF has been playing some of his best golf & it shows with 3 x T15s in his last 5 events & he was promoted to our PGT database as far back as March 2026.
After winning his 1st PGA event @ Sanderson Farms in October 2025 he really struggled for form and only made 2 of his next 7 cuts, there are players in the back of the mind, so he was put on ice until we finally saw some improvements which started back in March @ PGA Cognizant.
From the PGA Texas Children’s Open in late March then his last few his game really improved especially so @ Harbour Town where his interview highlighted his “DRIVER” issues, he commented on how he just struggled with playing too many shots from the rough.
At Harbour town there was a premium for keeping it on the fairways, many including Jordan Speith struggled but Fisk was 65% in driving accuracy & in his latest @ PGA Charles Schwab he had the equal 1st best final day with Ben Griffing @ -5 (65) & found 70% of fairways.
- 7th x SG: OTT @ +3.421
- 55th x SG: APG losing -0.377 strokes
- 54th x SG: ARG losing -1.099 strokes
- 4th x SG: PUT @ +7.060
- T10 x SG: Total @ +9.004
- T11 x Driving Accuracy @ 69.64% (39/56)
With his confidence back & trusting he can keep finding the fairways in Canada he can prove his last 4 of 5 good results is no fluke.
2026 PGA
- 76th x SG: Total
- 113th x SG: T2G
- 87th x SG: OTT
- 119th x SG: APG
- 96th x SG: ARG
- 24th x SG: PUT
- 67th x DA @ 60.0%
- 74th x GIR @ 65.84%
- 9/14 cuts made in 2026 for 64.28%
All eyes will be on SF to see how he starts day 1, he will tee off in group 41 with Vegas & Homa which is around halfway so it will be interesting to see if all the rain that has hit the course advantages the early groups or the later groups to start the event.
The weather is a curveball as the greens should play soft & slow but the better putters on tour (SF is 26th) should adapt better. After opening around $90 on betfair there is plenty of $120 available & I see there is ample opportunity to try & get matched for $140 to $150.
|
| Andrew Putnam |
Win |
150/1(+15000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Sometimes we select a player that often we overlook for many reasons, but I ran this by The Stig last night to say “How good are his stats”.
After opening his 2026 with an incredible T2 @ PGA American Express & not only was the T2 the incredible aspect but he did not qualify out of PGA Tour Q-school in mid-December 2025.
Not sure if that scared him (his T2) as he then missed 2 straight cuts @ PGA Farmers & PGA Cognizant before finding traction again in his next 4 PGA starts before showing how & why that 2nd was possible with a strong T5 @ PGA Valero.
The event @ PGA Valero he was as good as chance as any when they turned for the final 18 holes, a lot was not said about the inch of rain that fell overnight before day 4 commenced.
Since Valero AP has been solid in 5 of 6 events since with his best finish in that stretch being T18 @ PGA Cadillac, he did finish T17 @ PGA Charles Schwab but it is his effort @ Doral that made us start to notice him again-
PGA Cadillac
- 68th x SG: OTT losing -3.775 strokes
- 24th x SG: APG +1.126
- T6 x SG: ARG @ +2.752
- 16th x SG: PUT @ +2.314
- T18 x SG: Total @ +2.417
- T2 x Driving Accuracy @ 66.07% (37/56)
Now we don not want any player losing so many strokes that he negates that with another SG metric but normally his game from the tee box is better than average.
2026 PGA
- 45th x SG: Total
- 53rd x SG: T2G
- 150th x SG: OTT
- 48th x SG: APG
- 3rd x SG: ARG
- 54th x SG: PUT
- 5th x DA @ 69.28%
- 98th x GIR @ 64.93%
- 11/14 cuts made in 2026 for 78.5%
We like him this week & represents one of the better value players, his driving accuracy is up there with Aaron Rai & Reitan and we know he can run well with his putter as we have seen it in 5 of his last 7 events but 4 straight events his strokes gained putting has been excellent.
AP opened around $110 on betfair and there is $150 and plenty available, I was comparing him to Max Greyserman who has a similar game, the difference here is Putnam more consistent overall but also double the price of Max. I think around $150 for AP is value.
|
| Jackson Suber |
Win |
160/1(+16000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
We selected JS for the recent PGA Charles Schwab @ $130 and his effort was overshadowed by his poor day 4, 75 (+5).
His first 3 days were acceptable with 69, 69, 70.
This is what was sent out for Charles Schwab-
“Last week JS did shoot 61 & 63 but he also carded a 63 @ PGA Texas Children’s Open and a 61 in the shoot our format in New Orleans, his game has improved significantly hence why we picked him many events back and even in 2025 he was on our radar.
Last week-
- 25th x SG: OTT @ +1.521
- T24 x DA @ 69.64% (39/56)
- T7 x GIR @ 79.17% (57/72)
- 3rd x SG: APG @ +8.168
- 25th x SG: ARG @ +1.461
- 29th x SG: PUT @ +2.061
- 4th x SG: Total @ +13.210
- T24 x DA @ 69.64% (39/56)
Yes, the course was mostly easy to score on and may have made some players look far better than they were considering we watch all players every week but he has been hot of late and if he can just control his driving then his irons will take him along way this week.
I was shocked to see his price today, there was $220 yesterday on betfair so he is now into $130, I would suggest waiting for the pools to settle and try getting matched well above +$150 to $200.”
RBC Canada
As highlighted it had looked like he turned the corner from his T19 @ PGA Myrtle Beach into an impressive 4th @ PGA CJ Cup after carding 61 & 63.
2026 PGA
- 108th x SG: Total
- 71st x SG: T2G
- 117th x SG: OTT
- 20th x SG: APG
- 106th x SG: ARG
- 141st x SG: PUT
- 111th x DA @ 56.36%
- 19th x GIR @ 69.10%
- 6/11 cuts made in 2026 for 54.5%
- 3 from his last 3 cuts made
If he carded a 61 then we could easily say “it was his best ever” he did then come out & shoot a 63 so we will treat the effort @ PGA Charles Schwab as a one off and see if he can start with “gusto” in Canada.
It is not uncommon for players finding form to falter at 1 event so this is his test whether he can back up his previous sound results, after opening around $140 on betfair there seems some interest as on betfair now JS is $160, as we are hoping he bounces back I think a fair price is $200.
|
| Matt Wallace |
Win |
160/1(+16000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Englishman MW we were following for a while there and he nearly broke through for his 2nd win on PGA tour @ Valero. He did play some of his best golf in Texas & to be fair to the 5 x DPWT winner his 2nd PGA victory is close, hopefully he does not fall into the trap of going back over the pond to play Scotland & St Andrews.
2026 PGA
- 57th x SG: Total
- 52nd x SG: T2G
- 76th x SG: OTT
- 70th x SG: APG
- 47th x SG: ARG
- 69th x SG: PUT
- 103rd x DA @ 57.25%
- 121st x GIR @ 63.53%
- 9/12 cuts made in 2026 for 75%
He is shooting for his 9th straight cut and most of his strokes gained metrics are in good shape in his last 8 events. We have gone back to the Englishman due to his good play in wet conditions, it is forecast to rain every day leading up to Canada and possibly during, the DPWT players are better adept on links courses often right on coast lines so if there is windy conditions it is our hope they feature.
MW opened around $130 on betfair and has not been the drifted I thought he would be remaining constantly around $160, I can see opportunity to be matched at least +$200 with only $318k in the exchange & very small increments waiting around $200 to $210.
MW will start in group 15 which is early so it will be interesting to see if the early starters before this group like Silverman, Meissner, Schmid, Roy, Lower & even Mitchell to a lesser degree are decent putters can get off to a flying start.
|
| Thorbjorn Olesen |
Win |
220/1(+22000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The Dane was on our radars in 2025 & this 8 x DPWT winner & member of Ryder Cup in 2018 should have put his first PGA win in the bag by now.
His start to 2026 was sound with good efforts at the early DPWY events where he finished-
- T10 @ DPWT Hero Dubai desert classic
- T7 @ DPWT Dubai Invitational
Due to his results, he earned his 2026 PGA card and went straight into 2 cuts before finding a T40 @ PGA Cognizant before another 2 cuts followed.
I kept muttering to myself maybe he needed to return to Europe to pick up some confidence but he finally showed a bit of gumption to make 4 straight PGA cuts with his best effort a T14 @ PGA Texas Children’s Open.
Normally a better wedge & iron player he is average in putting but he also has 21 of his last 25 events in positive stroke gained Off the Tee, this bears close watching.
2026 PGA
- 78th x SG: Total
- 89th x SG: T2G
- 62nd x SG: OTT
- 98th x SG: APG
- 88th x SG: ARG
- 104th x SG: PUT
- 126th x DA @ 54.40%
- 87st x GIR @ 64.88%
- 5/9 cuts made in 2026 for 55.5%
- 4 cuts made in his last 4 events
Normally we do want players to sit around that 70% strike rate for making cuts as it is imperative to get as many in for the final 36 holes than ever before in these non-signature events.
The fact remains this Dane has still won 8 in Europe where 25% of this field are yet to win anywhere so we like to keep an eye on players and as his confidence is growing he should be suited around TPC Toronto, he needs to start well after opening around $180 on betfair there is plenty of $220, I would suggest closer to $300 is a fair price considering he has no T15 finishes in his last 4 events. In other words, he should drift in the eyes of punters.
|
| Chris Kirk |
Win |
240/1(+24000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
CK we selected for the PGA Valero Texas Open @ $150 where his approach plays and putting let him down and he faded to finish T36.
We also selected JT Poston @ $100 so yes, the players are on our radar for a reason but again to be fair JT has been woeful for most of 2026.
His strongest strokes gained metric is his wedge & iron play normally, but this is some of the analysis we sent out for him twice in 2026-
“CK has been on the PGA tour since 2007 and it is not easy winning 6 x PGA so he is a player that we will often refer to as a “Grinder” he has to right set of skills to be nice and steady through 72 holes, in 4 of the stokes gained metrics he does incredibly well but like 30% on players currently on tour it is his putter that can let him down.
- That was not on show @ The Amex with +1.60 SG: PUT
His good play comes from his bread & butter APG & ARG which lifts his overall Tee to Green play up into positive SG Total, but when we last tipped him in the back end of 2025 @ the Rocket Classic he ended up in T2 after a 3-way playoff @ -22.
CK had a bit of a run which started at US Open (Major)-
- T9 x PGA FedEx St Jude
- T5 x PGA Wyndham
- T14 x PGA 3M Open
- T2 x PGA Rocket Classic
- T12 x PGA US Open (Major)
That consistent run saw him from June to late November 2025 go for a long 5 month run so possibly explains why he was only fair in the 2 x PGA 2026 events.
He is one player that has lots of scope to be able to improve on his current form, he is a veteran and, on a course, where ball striking will set up for birdie opportunities, he can maintain his current putting to be thereabouts when it matters on day 3.
We are under no illusions @ PGT his current price around $440 on betfair and on a big drift tell us what others think his chances are, His best can see him compete, another we need a strong start to day 1 but I would suggest trying to get matched on betfair for +$500 and beyond.
This week @ Valero Open
After being cut when selected, nothing worse as we were flying with terrific high % of getting most players through to day 3 but he missed 2 from 3 then rebounded strongly for-
- T47 x PGA Arnold Palmer
- T27 x PGA The Players (a very good result)
- T51 x PGA Texas Open
He has now put 3 results straight up, so he did have a good 70% making cuts in 2025 along with his proven ¾ SG metrics and even looking at his last 12 events, he has finished in at least 75% of positives strokes in SG Metrics.
CK going around @ $170 on betfair will entice me enough this week as there is a reason he has won 6 x PGA events; you could try for +$200.
I think he is good value as he is playing better than what his stats which are only history as recorded are telling us, a few things could have fallen his way, his stats would be far different (better), he of course needs a good clean & safe start, a -4 on day 1 would be a great start here.
PGA Canada
Like Poston is CK puts it all together and remembering so many players we have tipped previous have come out and won after (nature of the game unfortunately) he can feature, it is these type of events where PGA veterans can bob up & Win with so many of the better OWGR players possibly having their mind set for next week’s Major.
I would prefer having backed a player around $240 on betfair, although we should be able to get matched closer to $300 than a player @ $15 like a Tommy or Burns.
His best is good enough & hopefully he turns up this week in Canada.
|
| Lee Hodges |
Win |
330/1(+33000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
LH nearly surprised a few when he led early @ PGA Charles Schwab.
He came out the gates running with a 64 (-6) it should have been a -7 BUT he bogeyed the 18th hole, call it adrenalin but he bumbled through day 2 with 5 birdies (even birdied the 18th) this time but with a double bogey on 5th hole (par 4) and a further 4 x bogeys he erased all his good work on day 1.
On day 3 around Colonial, a course that truly has teeth you could see he was very pensive and I guess he just wanted to make the cut & it showed with his even par (70), his final day was much like day 2 with many up and downs to finish T35 with -2.
His overall stats copped a hammering from day 2 & day 4 but there was hope-
- 48th x SG: OTT losing -0.129 strokes
- 72nd x SG: APG losing -3.571 strokes
- 65th x SG: ARG losing -1.809 strokes
- 2nd x SG: PUT @ +7.514 strokes gained
- T35 x SG: Total @ +2.004
- T26 x Driving Accuracy @ 64.29% (36/56)
As is very evident @ PGA Charles Schwab he lost strokes everywhere but with his putter.
He can improve his weekend.
2026 PGA
- 90th x SG: Total
- 92nd x SG: T2G
- 51st x SG: OTT
- 68th x SG: APG
- 138th x SG: ARG
- 77th x SG: PUT
- 16th x DA @ 65.10%
- 56th x GIR @ 66.70%
- 8/12 cuts made in 2026 for 66.6%
He is a good bread & butter player in that you know he will find 2/3 of fairways and 2/3 of greens in his usual normal play most events & around TPC Toronto that should lift him up the leaderboard, then what comes next is his putting.
That metric (putting) is not as bad as it may seem being ranked 77th amongst active PGA players on tour in 2026, in his last 9 events excluding cuts he has been in-
- Positive strokes gained in 6 of 9 for 66.6%
You guessed it another 2/3 so it does not take much for a player to have a good weekend if he only must improve1/3 of his game.
As advised above there is improvement that is possible, around $330 on betfair with no interest on him you could try and get matched between $400 to $500.
|
| John Parry |
Win |
450/1(+45000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
JP we have come in & out of following the Englishman as from what we have seen in Europe on DPWT to his efforts on USA soil have baffled me.
I remember watching him @ PGA Puerto Rico Open in early March where with 54 holes played, he was in T2 @ -11, he should have donkey licked that field from there, he finished 8th @ -11 only managing even par (72) on the final day, the avg was 67 (-5).
Just ahead of him was German Matti Schmid who played impressively on 3 days of the PGA Championships, form lines are good, but this Pom needs to deliver.
2026 PGA
- 89th x SG: Total
- 63rd x SG: T2G
- 112th x SG: OTT
- 37th x SG: APG
- 71st x SG: ARG
- 110th x SG: PUT
- 73rd x DA @ 59.68%
- 8thst x GIR @ 70.0%
- 13/14 cuts made in 2026 for 92.8%
Impressive stats making cuts.
We have always expected more from this Englishman, we have seen plenty from him in Europe and he even challenged both Ryan Gerard & Jayden Schaper who have both being playing extra well in 2026, so yes, he continues to baffle us @ PGT.
If he can bring some of his 8th overall amongst all PGA players in greens in regulation he can compete. He can also compete if the weather does stir up as some of his best victories in Europe have come on links courses right on the coastline so he can handle both rain & wind.
Currently around $450 on betfair, he will need to bring his A game this weekend but do not be afraid to try & get matched for $500 to $600.
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| Chandler Blanchet |
Win |
450/1(+45000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Chandler Blanchett finished 2nd to Ricky Castillo in that PGA event down in Puerto Rico only 1 shot astern with a -16.
Now for those that may not know he was a highly touted KFT (Korn Ferry) player & much has been said in the media about the next best thing to come out of the KFT is Johnny Keefer, well CB won the-
- 1st x 2025 Korn Ferry Tour Championship with rounds of 69, 71, 68, 66 for -14
It was their end of tour Championship as does the PGA & DPWT have their editions too, he won by 2 strokes, but Johnny Keefer was back in T12 & 10 shots adrift with only a -4.
All experts have been saying how good Johnny Keefer is? well CB IMO is better!
CB won 2 x KTF events in 2025 before starting his PGA season as he earnt his card by winning the 2025 KFT, many said he arrived on PGA 2026 too soon and I guess its easy to say when a player fails to make 5 straight PGA cuts.
Hindsight is a wonderful thing; he went that 2nd in Puerto Rico then backed it up with a T18 @ PGA Valspar so everything looked back on track?
A further 2 cuts then a bounce back T33 @ RBC Heritage before another cut, I have seen several interviews with Chandler & he changed his driver & a few things that obviously did not pan out but he has now made 4 of his last 5 PGA cuts so he has worked that out.
Now he just needs to get back to his strengths which are Off the Tee and his wedge & iron play on approach, the rest can fall into place hopefully in Canada.
He is on our radar and sure he has to beat some guns here but around $450 currently there is some respect out there, JP above him is the same odds and I have seen both play in Puerto Rico and events since, you do not win 5 events on USA soil unless you can play.
He is one of the better roughies you may not have heard of, there is another Ben James who comes hot off the University circuit, oddly enough betfair has him @ $250, we know that the PGA is tough, Nick Dunlap won twice on PGA tour in 2024 and has not been seen since.
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| Aldrich Potgieter |
Win (Late Mail)
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110/1(+11000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
We have included Aldrich which now takes our players to 10.8% of the field (16 players in the 147 field).
- 105th x SG: Total
- 87th x SG: T2G
- 6th x SG: OTT
- 116th x SG: APG
- 154th x SG: ARG
- 116th x SG: PUT
- 138th x DA @ 52.98% with 302/570 fairways hit
- 1st x Driving Distance @ 328.40
- 1st x Driving distance all drives @ 310.60
- 87th x GIR @ 65.31%
- 7/13 Cuts made for 53.8%
Interestingly if we look @ Potty & his iron play on approach at distance, he is ranked far better with-
- 12th x Approaches from 250-275 yards
- 18th x Approaches from +200 yards
The young South African does tend to appear out of nowhere which was the case @ PGA Genesis Invitational around Riviera, which was tough with the poa annua greens, I watched the LPGA US Open last week and honestly the ladies played most holes better than them men in finesse not scoring.
That 5th was after 3 straight cuts from PGA The American Express, Farmers Insurance Open & the WM Phoenix Open, the latter should have suited his game (Driver/Putter) but he then finished in 60th @ PGA AT & T Pebble Beach which we watched all 4 days, his game not as bad as the result as he was in positive strokes gained in 3 of the 4 metrics we measure.
After that good 5th another 2 cuts @ PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational & The Players Championship which were difficult courses, finally Potty appeared again with his 21st @ PGA Texas Children’s Open.
The event after that was the MASTERS, he should have bypassed to be honest & was cut after losing -5.31 strokes.
The question had to be asked why the poor form?
Potty had trimmed up physically and looked in terrific shape-
“I got in a nice system where I can kind of grind on some things that you can’t really do when you’re out here,” said Potgieter, who now works with renown trainer Marnus Marais, whose exclusive list of clientele includes world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler. “And being on the Tour for three years now and away from home, you get in some bad habits, and it just builds up over time. So, I think having some two months off to work on some things were good.”
Also-Potgieter’s offseason included other changes, including new management (Entertainment Sports Partners), equipment (PXG) and apparel (also PXG). Though the weight loss went quick, Potgieter has been slower to adjust with the clubs.
Indeed, there is a positive change after losing 35 pounds and a new mental approach plus new clubs!
Then Potty finished-
- T25 @ PGA RBC Heritage
- T14 @ PGA Cadillac
- T48 @ PGA Truist
- T35 @ PGA Championships
4 straight events then what we saw was the adjustment to all the changes and when Potty won the PGA Rocket Classic in 2025 his putting was on point, this is important, read on-
- 7th x SG: OTT @ +3.710
- 6th x SG: APG @ +6.072
- 31st x SG: ARG @ +1.152
- 35 x SG: PUT @ +1.790
- T1 x SG: Total @ +12.725
Why his win was highlighted is because Potty has always struggled with his Approach play and around the greens, when he solved this, he will possibly be the best to come out of South Africa, he is only 21 yrs old, soon to be 22 but what we like so much is-
In this 4-event run of late he has-
- +SG in putting in all 4 events
- +SG: Total in all 4 events
We know he can drive the ball the best, but it is when he solves that problem that many players have in that they are generally not good in every facet of the game, Potty is trending well and although this is only the 2nd PGA event @ TPC Toronto it has hosted many Tour of America events at the course.
A player like Potty is Michael Brennan, he led by a few strokes here in 2023 I think it was and blew that win on the final day. So, he too is improving his game, but we know Potty has gone low a few times-
- Lowest round 61 (- 10) @ PGA Mexico Open @ Vidanta
In Mexico he was beaten in a playoff @ -20 and that was in Mrach of 2025 before his breakthrough win in June of 2025.
The major take in all our analysis for you he is now putting well, this is factual as he has 4 straight events in positive strokes gained and the rest of his game it seems is now falling into place.
Looking at players ready to perform, He has now fixed some of his errant play & we expect him to figure in the finish. Currently on betfair he is around $110, his price is moving between $100 to $140 but the exchange only has $903k that will grow significantly by 9pm.
100% try & get matched between $120 to $150 as very possible!.
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