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PGA WM Phoenix Open 2026 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

Course

TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Location

Scottsdale, AZ

Date

5 February 2026

2026-02-05

America/Phoenix

The WM Phoenix Open has been able to capture the wonder and amazement embodied by the great game of golf for the better part of a century.

Take one step onto the course at TPC Scottsdale and you can feel the presence of the world’s greatest golfers from the past century like Ben Hogan, Byron Nelson, Jack Nicklaus, and Arnold Palmer. Their great achievements live on through the ambiance created by thousands of cheering fans eager to see hungry new athletes leave their own mark on history. The green grass, the beautiful February weather, the iconic saguaro cacti and the remarkable level of play are all reminders of where the game of golf has been and the great things the game has done for people around the globe.

The Phoenix Open began in 1932 but due to lack of local support, the tournament was discontinued after the 1935 event. The tournament was revived thanks to the energy and vision of one man, Bob Goldwater, Sr.  An avid golfer, Goldwater persuaded his fellow Thunderbirds into running the event, and his influential manner was successful. So, in 1939, Bob Goldwater’s new fledgling golf tournament was the official rebirth of the Phoenix Open.

Goldwater was left with most of the work, because his fellow Thunderbirds were not yet as enthusiastic about the event as he was. Never one to back down from a challenge, Goldwater printed the tickets, sold sponsorships and obtained use of Phoenix Country Club. He even invited a few of his friends to tee it up at the tournament. Those friends just happened to be Bing Crosby, Bob Hope and a golfer by the name of Ben Hogan.

“I loved those early years,” said Goldwater. “I look back on those days with a sense of pride mixed with wonderment.” And, yes, after a few more persuasive talks and the success of the 1939 Phoenix Open, The Thunderbirds came around and lent their full support.

During that 1939 tournament, a 27-year-old up-and-comer named Byron Nelson won the $700 first prize. Hogan finished second, 12 strokes back, and collected $450. Since then, The Thunderbirds have sponsored an Open every year except 1943, when wartime travel restrictions forced a one-year hiatus.

The list of professional golfers who have won in Phoenix reads like the golf Hall of Fame – Byron Nelson, Ben Hogan, Jimmy Demaret, Billy Casper, Gene Littler, Arnold Palmer, Jack Nicklaus, Miller Barber, Johnny Miller, Ben Crenshaw, and more recently Lee Janzen, Vijay Singh, Phil Mickelson, Tom Lehman, Mark Calcavecchia, Kenny Perry, Brooks Koepka and Rickie Fowler, just to name a few.

Over the tournament’s nearly 90-year history, the Open has been known by many names, including the Western Open, the Arizona Open, the Ben Hogan Invitational, the Phoenix Open, the FBR Open and now the WM Phoenix Open. The tournament has been played at Phoenix Country Club, Arizona Country Club and TPC Scottsdale – the home course of the tournament since 1987 – and 2024 will mark the 37th consecutive year the tournament has been played at TPC Scottsdale. Aside from the TPC Sawgrass, TPC Scottsdale has the longest continuous stretch a Tournament Players Club has hosted a PGA TOUR event.

Monday at the WM Phoenix Open marked the official start of tournament week as the 2026 edition of “The People’s Open” returned to TPC Scottsdale. The annual Carlisle Pro-Am kicked off the festivities, pairing PGA TOUR professionals with community leaders and VIPs for a relaxed yet competitive day on the Stadium Course. While much of the country remains deep in winter, Arizona delivered perfect playing conditions, with clear blue skies and temperatures reaching 77 degrees – setting the stage for an exciting week ahead. Mario Tiziani’s group claimed first place in the Carlisle Pro-Am, finishing the day at 19-under par. Tiziani was joined by Tim Hovik, Jeff Johnson, John Lightfoot and Charlie Winters, edging out Patrick Flavin’s group, which posted a strong 17-under performance to take second place.

The Stadium Course-

Par 71

Desert Course

7,261 yards

  • 3 x par 5s
  • 11 x par 4s
  • 4 x par 3s

The Stadium course is most famous for its par-3, 16th hole that transforms into “The Coliseum”

  • Fairways: Tif Dwarf Grass
  • Greens: Tif Dwarf Grass

Player skills suited in Arizona-

  • Driving Accuracy Off the Tee
  • High % Greens in Regulation
  • Bogey avoidance
  • Clutch putters

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.
Competitor Tip Type Odds Units Result Rationale
Chris Gotterup Win 55/1(+5500) 1.00 WIN
  • 36th x SG: T2G
  • 9th x SG: OTT
  • 105th x SG: APG
  • 82nd & SG: ARG
  • 101st X SG: PUT
  • 70.3 GIR %
  • BTA- below tour avg for DA
  • 67.8% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026
  • 46.4% top 25 in 2025 & 100% in 2026
  • 69.29 stroke avg
  • 2 x PGA Wins

CG may well be the player to do a Ben Griffin in 2026, but IMO will surpass him in 2026 already winning in Hawaii and backing that up with a good T18 @ PGA Farmers last week.

Last week-

  • 2nd x SG: OTT @ +3.817
  • 10th x SG: APG @ +4.548
  • 1st x Driving Distance @ 331.70 yds
  • T7 x Greens in Regulation @ 75.00% (54/72)

He did give away -2.097 strokes in Putting but we saw in Hawaii he can run hot with his putter reversing that metric with +5.89 strokes gained.

I like his improved iron play and this course will suit his style of play so whilst we are wary of JJ returning to form, CG, is in very good form so far in 2026 & his current price around $55 on betfair has been firm since opening @ $48.

Harris English Win 60/1(+6000) 1.00 LOSS
  • 80th x SG: T2G
  • 47th x SG: OTT
  • 119th x SG: APG
  • 89th x SG: ARG
  • 18th x SG: PUT
  • 66.8% GIR
  • 76% Driving Accuracy
  • 91.3% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
  • 52.2% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
  • 69.92 stroke avg
  • 5 x PGA Wins

One of the hardest players to catch to Win outright for PGT, he has often finished 2nd when we have selected him in 2025 & he continues to be Mr consistency so far in 2026 with-

  • T22 @ PGA Farmers Insurance with 73, 68, 67, 70 for -10
  • T27 @ PGA The American Express with 65, 67, 70, 69 for -17

Why are we following HE? It is that consistency from him knowing he makes better than 90% cuts so will be present after 54 holes usually and-

  • 17 of 19 events positive in SG: Total (missing by -0.43 & -0.67) the other 2 events

Also after watching the final 18 holes @ Torrey Pines south course last week it was very evident his APG was on point being ranked 6th overall & it was his putter letting him down losing -2.012 shots on avg each day.

This anomaly in his putting as we like to call it does explain so much as in 2025 HE was ranked 18th in SG: PUT from all 23 events he competed in.

We like consistent results & around $60 on betfair after opening @ $50 if you could get $75 to $80 you would be doing incredibly well as HE missed this event last year after winning the 2025 Farmers but the previous year was a good T17. He is playing better than JJ leading into this.

 

 

Matt Fitzpatrick Win 60/1(+6000) 1.00 LOSS
  • 62nd x SG: T2G
  • 82nd x SG: OTT
  • 76th x SG: APG
  • 63rd x SG: ARG
  • 30th x SG: PUT
  • 74% GIR
  • 61.29% DA
  • 80.9% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026
  • 47.66% top 25 in 2025
  • 70.08 stroke avg
  • 2 x PGA Wins

The Stig & MJ are backing up on MF from his T63 @ The American Express & hope that missing last weeks Farmers MF took the time out to hit the practice range.

Normally a consistent putter on both the DP & PGA tours around the 3 courses in La Quinta he dropped from-

  • 14th in SG: PUT after 54 holes to 67th in SG: PUT after 72 holes
  • 69, 67, 65, 74 with day 4 spoiling what could have been a better result

His other strokes gained metrics were all in the Top 30 until day 4 saw him +2 over par coming from 3 x bogeys + 1 double bogey, he was able to claw back the 5 shots lost with 3 birdies.

His overall game prior to the Amex was strong so we will class this as an off day & was good 75% of that event. MF is around $60 on betfair and has been solid in markets since opening at $50, this is fair odds as he does bring solid foundations into this week & will be fresher than majority of this line up kissing the Farmers last week.

MF does need to restore some capital with us.

 

 

Jake Knapp Win 65/1(+6500) 1.00 LOSS

• 85 x SG: T2G
• 48th x SG: OTT
• 104th x SG: APG
• 124 x SG: ARG
• 14th x SG: PUT
• 67.6% GIR
• BTA- DA
• 73.9% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 39.2% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 69.48 stroke avg
• 1 x PGA Win

Ignore this Californian at your own peril & it was very well publicised the events he had to endure in 2025, but what he has produced so far from his 2 events in 2026 have been outstanding-

• T5 @ PGA Farmers Insurance with 66, 70, 70, 67 for -15
• T11 @ PGA Sony Open with 66, 68, 70, 66 for -10

I watched as he came down the hill @ 16th last week and if anyone deserved to be smiling it was JK after his 2025 but he went 3 x straight birdies on 16, 17 & 18th hole which saw 8 birdies on the final day.

His game could not be any better leading into Arizona & around his current price of $65 on betfair he is well worth a ticket this week as he looks to be on a heater and his better than average putting means he can convert some opportunities around the green. If you could get anything above his price now then it's just gravy.

Golf loves a good comeback story!

Jordan Spieth Win 75/1(+7500) 1.00 LOSS

• 24th x SG: T2G
• 33rd x SG: OTT
• 58th x SG: APG
• 31st x SG: ARG
• 65th x SG: PUT
• 64.62% GIR
• BTA- Driving accuracy below tour avg in 2025
• 89.5% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (1/1)
• 42.1% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (1/1)
• 70.07 stroke avg
• 13 x PGA wins

We have left JS alone for over 6 months awaiting to see how he does play after his injury comeback (wrist).

Despite the injury his overall stats for 2025 would have most golfers on PGA Tour envious anyway but to quote what he has said-

"I was unable to get a lot of rounds in the back end of 2025 but I am now able to put the ball where I want to as the pressure on my wrist was too much"

He is obviously much fitter and his confidence growing quickly with good results at both-

• T24 @ PGA Sony Open Hawaii with 68, 68, 68, 69 for -7

• T19 @ PGA Hero World Challenge with 72, 73, 70, 73 for Even par 72

This is a 13 x PGA winner much healthier in 2026 and he will only get better seeing this is his 3rd event back in full swing & not many in the game can say they have won 3 x MAJORS so expect a more confident JS to feature in 2026.

We also do not mind the last 2 events in 2026 as 40% of the field has to play to make the Aon 5 if not already qualified but at his current price around $75 on betfair from his open of $60 could mean target the +$90 to see if you can get matched as seeing is believing.

Another comeback story but more hopeful than comparing with actual playing like JK above.

Corey Conners Win 80/1(+8000) 1.00 LOSS

• 39th x SG: T2G
• 24th x SG: OTT
• 39th x SG: APG
• 146th x SG: ARG
• 67th x SG: PUT
• 69.20% GIR
• 66.64% DA
• 95.3% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (1/1)
• 57.2% top 25 in 2025
• 70 stroke avg
• 2 x PGA wins

This Canadian could be the value this week in Arizona along with another player I think is flying under the radar (price related) if of course Mr Scheffler can have just 1 bad day at the office.

After CC has been strutting his style on the TGL for Atlanta Drive GC & most have been bringing consistent from indoors to outdoors I expect CC to improve from his 1st game back-

• T24 @ PGA Sony Open Hawaii with 70, 67, 65, 71 for -7

What we saw in Hawaii was-

• 1st x SG: APG with +7.716 strokes gained

Also, other metrics in his game looked sharp-

• T8 x Driving Accuracy @ 69.64% (39/56)
• T9 x Greens in Regulation @ 77.78% (56/72)

We are not reading too much into the sole event which saw CC lose -3.129 shots Putting as we saw players like Harry Hall struggle on the greens & he sits in the T10 amongst all players for SG: PUT, there were other notables such as Si Woo Kim who has been having an absolutely big early 2026 with his putter often letting him down on the big holes.

This Canadian only needs to keep it together on the usually faster greens here in the Arizona desert. I think around $80 on betfair is value, there has been $90 matched yesterday after he opened @ $65 yesterday. You could try and get matched again greater than +$90 as tee time if still around 40 hours away.

The best version of CC can win this even with Scheffler in the line-up.

 

Sepp Straka Win 80/1(+8000) 1.00 LOSS

• 18th x SG: T2G
• 52nd x SG: OTT
• 7th x SG: APG
• 119 x SG: ARG
• 41st x SG: PUT
• 70.18% GIR
• 65.66% DA
• 81.8% made cuts in 2025- 0/1 in 2026
• 59.1% top 25 in 2025
• 69.46 stroke avg
• 4 x PGA Wins

It was not the usual SS we saw in California @ La Quinta.

He was also lucky it was a cut after 72 holes and not 54 holes as he was simply weak with-

• 72, 74, 68 and had 8 x bogeys + 2 x double bogeys

If there was any consolation for supporters of Sepp was he did flip the poor 36 holes prior with day 3 looking much more like the SS who climbed up to #7 OWGR with-

• 15th x SG: OTT @ +0.683
• 6th x SG: APG @ +2.163
• 18th x SG: ARG @ +0.418
• 21st x SG: PUT @ +0.136
• T5 x SG: Total @ +3.400

That day 3 effort saw 6 birdies + 10 pars & 2 bogeys.

He needed it!

So yet another why moment? It is simply because he has bounced back from being cut so well previously with results such as 3rd @ PGA Memorial after being cut @ PGA Championships & T11 @ PGA Cognizant Classic after being cut @ Genesis Invitational.

SS is overall a player that did win x 2 in 2025 along with 6 x T10 & a host of other consistent finishes in T20.

I would hope to see SS come out and be aggressive, when he takes his time which used to be the case, he often gives away big starts. We want to see a fast first 18 holes from Sepp as the market have him @ a very cautious $80 after drifting from $65 on opening, that is a fair assessment as proceed with caution is how most punters are looking at this.

On the flip side SS normally starts well below $35 in most events so if it were the usual from Sepp than this could represent overs, day 1 will tell us so much.

 

Nick Taylor Win 90/1(+9000) 1.00 LOSS

• 42nd x SG: T2G
• 108th x SG: OTT
• 28th x SG: APG
• 62nd x SG: ARG
• 68th x SG: PUT
• 68.9% Greens in regulation
• 66.58% Driving accuracy
• 79.2% made cuts on 2025 + 100% in 2026 (3/3)
• 50% top 25 in 2025
• 69.87 stroke avg
• 5 x PGA Wins

We selected Sain Nick for the PGA The American Express where he was okay for his-

• T27 with 65, 65, 72, 69 for -17

What is worth mentioning and why we are backing up on this Canadian is he deliberately missed last weeks PGA Farmers to obvious focus on his APG play that usually does not falter being ranked 28th amongst all PGA players on 2025 tour, but @ Amex we saw-

• SG: APG with -2.76 strokes lost

It is very noticeable from a player who in his last 25 events has in 17 been in positive strokes gained NOT LOST & a further 5 of those events saw only -0.50 strokes lost on Approach.

I have watched more tape on Saint Nick then any other player & he loves the challenge of going up against the best, he can give this a shake because he is our "horse for course" pick with good results on this course over time-

• T25 in 2025
• 1st in 2024
• 2nd in 2023

He likes to do better & around $90 on betfair after an early price of $75 we could only hope for +$100, if you want to get a free ride over the weekend then NT had hit 50% of Top 25s in 2025 so from his 24 events he paid in 12 so his current $4 for a Top 20 could take most the risk out?

 

 

Daniel Berger Win 100/1(+10000) 1.00 LOSS

• 27th x SG: T2G
• 17th x SG: OTT
• 27th x SG: APG
• 150th x SG: ARG
• 135th x SG: PUT
• 68.21% GIR
• 66.42% Driving accuracy
• 81.8% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 40.9% top 25 in 2025
• 70.29 stroke avg
• 4 x PGA Wins

Regardless of what we consider a so so result @ the Amex he still has had back to back events with-

• -11 & -14

We chose the "Burger" for the PGA American Express after giving him a vote of confidence & some of what we wrote-

"A player that struggles to reach his potential on the PGA due to numerous injuries in his career. It was great to see him get into the thick of it at last week's PGA Sony Open in Hawaii with his T6 with -11.

In 2025 before his injury he started in early February on a run of 7 straight events all in positive strokes in all SG metrics including putting, in the run that finished in late April @ the PGA RBC Heritage he finished T2 X 2 & 1 x 3rd, his run continued with 10 straight cuts made, he started having injuries with his wrist & finger from April onwards".

• He will be looking to go one better than his T2 in 2025 here

For the Amex he was around $70 so his current price on betfair around $100 is very fair and acceptable considering his "Potential"

Sam Stevens Win 110/1(+11000) 1.00 LOSS

• 75 x SG: T2G
• 37 x SG: OTT
• 149th x SG: APG
• 36th x SG: ARG
• 83rd x SG: PUT
• 66.2% GIR
• BTA- Driving Accuracy below tour avg
• 80.6% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 32.3% top 25 in 2025
• 70.06 stroke avg
• 0 x PGA Wins

A few factors to comment on with Sam as we did select him in 2025 and he went close & normally in 2026 we would not select a player who has yet to win on the very tough PGA tour but we saw it with Cameron Young last year there are some more deserving than others not because they are or have paid their dues but PURE TALENT.

This 29 yr old will Win on tour it's just a matter of when.

Sam's stats from the American Express 2 weeks ago-

• 8th x SG: OTT @ +1.943 Strokes gained
• 27th x SG: APG @ +1.483
• 11th x SG: ARG @ +1.749
• T6 x Greens in Regulation @ 81.94% (59/72)
• 34th x SG: PUT @ +0.595
• T7 x SG: Total @ +5.770

Now he was one of only 6 players who were playing extra well on Day 4 @ The Amex, his T30 last week @ The Farmers Insurance seemed to be deflating his stock but to be fair he came off playing 3 difficult courses straight into another 2 tough courses (ranked 2nd & 9th hardest on tour) last week.

Still 3 of 4 SG: metrics in Positive strokes last week @ Farmers

Last week the SG: Metric missing was his PUTTING, which was in -2.10 strokes lost so he will need to really bring this part of his game up as the greens are much faster around here this week.

• The rest of his game is flying- he only had 3 bogeys over 72 holes at Amex

Sure he is up against Scheffler but at $110 & drifting on betfair stranger things have happened than a player winning his 1st ever PGA event against most of the Top 50 in OWGR, Sam just needs to get it all right.

 

Haotong Li Win 150/1(+15000) 1.00 LOSS

• 100th x SG: T2G
• 110th x SG: OTT
• 75th x SG: APG
• 70th x SG: ARG
• 70th x SG: PUT
• 71.05% GIR
• 65% DA
• 65% made cuts in 2025 +100% made cuts (3 XDPWT) in 2026
• 50% top 25 in 2025
• 70 stroke avg
• 0 x PGA wins + 4 DPWT Wins

What we wrote last week @ PGA Farmers Insurance-

The 30-yr old from China is no stranger to us @ PGT as he has provided us with a winner @ $65 & he has been so solid over on the DPWT for several years and we have seen with good results-

• 10 x T10 results in 2025 with 1 x Win on DPWT

He has mixed it up with the elite T10 & T20M players in the OWGR often and he has proven he can mix it up with-

• T4 x Open Championships @ Royal Portrush

He has such a lovely swing and that was on display last week when he again proved he can mix it up on the PGA tour (earnt a playing card for his T10 in R2D on DP World Tour) but last week-

• T8 x PGA American Express with -21 (68, 67, 64, 68)

He finished alongside Sahith Theegala & Russell Henley, noting that Henley is a 5 x PGA winner so one could say in good company.

He only showed the world what we already know-

• T12 x Driving Accuracy @ 73.21% (41/56) 0ver 4 days
• 3rd x SG: OTT @ +3.318 SG
• 5th x SG: APG @ +4.143 SG

LH also sat T30 in both ARG & Putting stats so another player that will take plenty from the Amex into this week, more know players like Adam Scott are known for their swing, LH has a beautiful swing as well & what many probably do not know is over on the DPWT he stood tall in many SG metrics-

• 5th x SG: T2G in all of 2025
• 18th x SG: OTT in all of 2025
• 4th x Greens in regulation @ 72.71%
• 1st x Par 4 scoring

I am a big fan of players who sit T10 in par 4 & par 5 scoring for the simple reason a birdie on a par 4 is more possible for better players on approach and putting so when I see a player bogey a par 5 when they should really be at least a par on those holes, it speaks volumes for scoring averages.

Last week @ Farmers off a good week @ Amex-

• 19th x SG: OTT @ +1.860 strokes gained
• 8th x SG: APG @ +4.745
• T7 x GIR @ 75.00% (54/72)
• 34th x SG: ARG @ +0.652
• 40th x SG: PUT @ +0.489
• T6 x SG: Total @ +7.746
• T14 x Driving Accuracy @ 60.71% (34/56)
• 2nd x Scrambling @ 77.78% (14/18)

Another player who keeps producing great results for his full first year on PGA & another worth noting that HL last week also was in-

• 1st x Bogeys with only 4 over 72 holes

HL only had 3 bogeys at the Amex too so his current avg (hope I do not put a jinx on it) is 1 only per day over a remarkable 144 holes of play.

With his stats so good it does surprise me that he is currently on betfair @ $150 which is value.

Marco Penge Win 200/1(+20000) 1.00 LOSS

Those in America are yet to see the best of this surging Englishman who too the DPWT by storm in 2025 with 3 victories-

• 1st x DPWT Spain with -14 (there were 14 winners since behind him) Mid-Oct 2025
• 1st x DPWT Danish Open with -16 in Mid-August 2025
• 1st x DPWT Hainan Classic China with -17 in Late April 2025

He sits right up in DP World tour stats with Rory & the Hojgaard twins in OTT-

• 1st x in 2025 with Driving strokes gained with +1.08 on avg each round

Sitting in 2nd is Rory & 3rd is Jon Rahm so incredible company then include good other SG metrics such as-

• 4th x Par 4 scoring
• 10th x SG: T2G
• 11th in GIR @ 72.16%
• 36th x SG: PUT but
• 8th x PUT per GIR @ 1.73 = number of putts taken only on holes where the green was reached in regulation

MP above stats, are for the entire 2025 season whilst on DPWT, His avg stroke is 69.39.

Again, he is yet to bring his European form into what we saw last week a the Farmers Insurance but he was still positive in 2 from 4 SG metrics so he has been most of the Worlds T10 in Europe so he has to roll Scheffler in his own back yard so to speak but as rare as it sounds Scottie has had the odd off day.

Let us hope its this week as we can expect a more than generous price around +$200, more than fair seeing he still must bring his excellent form into the USA. Comparing his price with fellow Englishman Harry Hall who is 50% of this generous price, sure Hall is known as a slick putter but we did not see that in Hawaii either, the opposite.

 

Brian Harman Win 280/1(+28000) 1.00 LOSS

• 81st x SG: T2G
• 112th x SG: OTT
• 90th x SG: APG
• 51st x SG: ARG
• 91st x SG: PUT
• 65.67% GIR
• 63.32% DA
• 83.3% made cuts in 2025 + 50% in 2026 (1/2)
• 41.6% top 25 in 2025
• 70.25 stroke avg
• 4 x PGA Wins

I will not include a lengthy summary for this lefty from St. Simons Island, Georgia, BH and his family have 1'000 acres of fun.
He is the Stigs & MJ instinct play as he has this habit of producing one off top efforts because he has made it through 36-hole cuts of the last 5 consecutive years with-

• T25 in 2025
• T60 in 2024
• T42 in 2023
• T11 in 2022
• T36 in 2021

As advised he bobs up when least expected but one of those players when he does you go, "Oh yeah" makes sense now, so his current price around $280 on betfair is reflective of his current form, if you want super safe then play him in Top 40 markets.

Try getting matched on betfair for +$400 it is likely

Jordan Smith Win 400/1(+40000) 1.00 LOSS

• 50th x SG: OTT @ -0.135
• 32nd x SG: APG @ +1.229 avg per day
• 41st x SG: ARG
• 42nd x SG: PUT
• T45 x SG: Total @ +0.582 avg per day
• T34 x Driving Accuracy @ 67.86% (38/56)
• 43rd x Driving Distance @ 307.40 yds
• Longest Drive @ 330.00 yds
• T18 x Greens in Regulation @ 79.17% (57/72)

What we wrote-

Does not currently sit within our Top 115 players in out database but he was very good last week in California.

He finished last week over the 3 courses which is not something the English are used to as they have several Links courses here and there but I thought he was one of the better performers from the beaten brigade-

• T27 @ -17 rounds of 64, 70, 68, 69

Another DPWT player who has his card stamped for all of 2026 PGA events so expect to see more of him as he has won 6 events in total, 2 of them on the DPWT.

Looking around at odds not many give him a chance but he is IMO one of the Top 20 long iron players in this line up & he went around @ +$210.

JS was cut from the Farmers last week and after watching replays he just could not get into his stride/rhythm but he has made 66.66% (2/3) cuts to kick off his PGA 2026 season & on the front 36 holes for every hole he birdied he would give it back with a bogey on the next (up & down) so he just needs a good early start to build on it like we saw with his 2nd @ BMW International in Germany & T5 @ Alfred Dunhill Links.

At time of summary JS is $400 on betfair, I would suggest waiting as no doubt this unknown Englishman to most Americans could see +$500 available, no guarantees on price.

 

 

 

Chris Kirk Win 440/1(+44000) 1.00 LOSS

• 33rd x SG: T2G
• 76th x SG: OTT
• 33rd x SG: APG
• 56th x SG: ARG
• 153rd x SG: PUT
• 68.02% GIR
• 61.22% DA
• 69.5% made cuts in 2025 + 0 in 2026 (0/2)
• 30.1% top 25 in 2025
• 70.06 stroke avg
• 6 x PGA wins

CK has been on the PGA tour since 2007 and it is not easy winning 6 x PGA so he is a player that we will often refer to as a "Grinder" he has to right set of skills to be nice and steady through 72 holes, in 4 of the stokes gained metrics he does incredibly well but like 30% on players currently on tour it is his putter that can let him down.

• That was not on show @ The Amex with +1.60 SG: PUT

His good play comes from his bread & butter APG & ARG which lifts his overall Tee to Green play up into positive SG Total, but when we last tipped him in 2025 @ the Rocket Classic he ended up in T2 after a 3-way playoff @ -22.

CK had a bit of a run which started at US Open (Major)-

• T9 x PGA FedEx St Jude
• T5 x PGA Wyndham
• T14 x PGA 3M Open
• T2 x PGA Rocket Classic
• T12 x PGA US Open (Major)

That consistent run saw him from June to late November 2025 go for a long 5 month run so possibly explains why he was only fair in the 2 x PGA 2026 events.

He is one player that has lots of scope to be able to improve on his current form, he is a veteran and, on a course, where ball striking will set up for birdie opportunities, he can maintain his current putting to be thereabouts when it matters on day 3.

We are under no illusions @ PGT his current price around $440 on betfair and on a big drift tell us what others think his chances are, His best can see him compete, another we need a strong start to day 1 but I would suggest trying to get matched on betfair for +$500 and beyond.

#Tips Wins Units Net Profit ROI
15 1 15.00 40.00 266.67%