PGA Truist Championship 2026 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

PGA Tour

Course

Quail Hollow Club

Location

Charlotte, NC

Date

7 May 2026

2026-05-07

America/New_York

View odds market

The PGA Truist Championships is a prominent event on the golf calendar, renowned for its challenging courses and competitive field. Over the years, the tournament has been hosted at a variety of prestigious venues, each offering unique characteristics that test even the most skilled golfers. The course history reflects a blend of tradition and modernity, with layouts that feature strategic bunkering, undulating greens, and picturesque landscapes. Sepp Straka is the reigning champion.

Past Winners

2025 – Sepp Straka 264 (-16)
2024 – Rory McIlroy 267 (-17)
2023 – Wyndham Clark 265 (-19)
2022 – Max Homa 272 (-8)
2021 – Rory McIlroy 274 (-10)

In 2025, Sepp Straka seized the lead with a par on the 16th hole and shot a 2-under 68, outduelling Shane Lowry on Sunday in the final round of the Truist Championship at Philadelphia Cricket Club for his second victory of the season.

After Lowry missed the green with his tee shot at the 212-yard, par-3 16th, Straka hit to approximately 30 feet. Lowry chipped out of the heavy rough but failed to convert a 6-foot par putt, falling a shot behind.

Lowry missed a potential tying 22-footer for birdie at the lengthy par-4 17th and after driving into trouble at the stout 514-yard, par-4 closing hole, he finished with a three-putt bogey.

A tense back-nine duel between the two had an anticlimactic ending as Straka made a no-pressure, two-putt par and joined Rory McIlroy (three victories) as a multiple winner on TOUR this season. The Austrian who played college golf at Georgia also won The American Express in January and now has four career wins.

The Truist was another miss for Lowry, whose last solo PGA TOUR victory was The Open Championship in 2019. He won the Zurich Classic of New Orleans alongside Rory McIlroy last year and the DP World Tour’s BMW PGA Championship in 2022.

Lowry’s even-par 70 left him in a tie for second with Justin Thomas (67), who made a late run at the leaders with Patrick Cantlay (65), Jacob Bridgeman (65) and Tommy Fleetwood 65) finished tied for fourth at 12 under.

The Course

Hole #1

A par 5 for member play, this opener plays as a long par 4 for championships. A left to right tee shot is guarded by two bunkers down the left side of the fairway. The green is narrow, undulating and protected by three large bunkers.

Hole #2

A hard dogleg left with a left to right camber in the fairway makes this one of the most difficult fairways to hit on the course. The second shot plays uphill to a green that slopes off dramatically to right side into a closely mown area 6-8 feet below the putting surface. The green slopes severely from back to front making putts from above the hole very slick.

Hole #3

The number one handicap hole on the course and it is a well-earned position. This long, straight par 4 is protected off the tee with a deep bunker down the right side of the fairway. A raised two tier green guarded by three bunkers is very difficult to get close to hole locations with a long iron.

Hole #4

This par-3 is framed beautifully by a group of tall pines, with a large undulating green fronted by three bunkers. Shots that fly long will end up below the green surface resulting in a difficult up and down.

Hole #5

The fifth hole plays down and back up a shallow valley to a green that sits on a hillside behind the sixth tee. This slight dogleg right requires a well-placed tee shot to find a fairway protected by bunkers on either side. On their approach, players will face a narrow green that is well-guarded by a front right bunker.

Hole #6

This is the longest par 3 on the course and plays downhill. A false front in the front centre of the green rejects quality shots and makes for difficult pitches. The green is severely sloped from back to front and players do not want to go long of this green complex.

Hole #7

This is the shortest par 5 on the course and presents players with a wonderful opportunity for scoring. It is a tight driving hole, and tee shots must navigate bunkers on the left, plus a creek that runs down the entire right side. The sloped green is tucked behind water and is surrounded by bunkers, making this hole the epitome of a risk reward par 5.

Hole #8

This short par 4 gives players options off the tee. Two bunkers down the left side of the fairway starting at 250 yards from the tee cause trouble for the longer players attempting to drive the green. The shallow green has 5 distinct sections requiring a precise second shot to get the ball close to the hole.

Hole #9

This long par 4 favours a right to left tee shot. The fairway is protected with a large bunker on the right side and tall pine trees down the left. The second shot plays to a green with a front left bunker and a large right bunker. The green complex is pitched from back to front and has very subtle features.

Hole #10

The longest par 5 on the course favours a right to left tee shot. The fairway has a large left bunker off the tee and another large bunker 50 yards short of the green. The closely mown area on the front right of the green is one of the most severe and challenging on the course. The back half of the green runs away from the approach and makes rear hole locations very tricky.

Hole #11

This dogleg left par 4 has two deep bunkers in the landing area down the left side of the fairway. The second plays uphill to a raised green with two bunkers guarding the left side. The green complex features a false front and a central ridge. The back half of the greens slopes away from the approach shot.

Hole #12

This demanding hole favours a left-to-right tee shot. The fairway is narrow with trees guarding both sides. The severely sloping green features a large ridge separating the green into front and back sections. Hole locations on the back tier are some of the most difficult on the course. The false front can push second shots some 10 yards short of the green.

Hole #13

This long par 3 is guarded by the most severe false front on the course. Shots not reaching the putting surface can move down the fairway 20 yards short of the green. The front right of the green also features a closely mown area that can leave a player 5 feet below the surface. The green is dramatically pitched from back to front and has one low point on the right side that collects shots and moves them off into the closely mown area.

Hole #14

The shortest par 4 on the course presents players with two options. The layup area is protected by water down the left and a deep bunker also down the left. A precise second shot is required to this long narrow green. If players choose to go for the green off the tee, a right to left slope in the fairway assists balls with the correct shape to get on to the putting surface. The green is protected with water on the left, two bunkers and a closely mown area to the front right of the green. Any shot missing the green to the left will likely run all the way into the water.

Hole #15

This par 5 is open off the tee but favours a right to left flight down the left side. The second shot plays uphill, and the fairway is protected with a bunker down the left side in the layup zone. The green is pitched back to front and has a spine bisecting the front section making a front left and a front right section. The front of the green features a large bunker in the centre and closely mown areas to the right and front left.

Hole #16

This demanding tee shot favours a left to right ball flight and the fairway is guarded with 1 bunker down the right side and a steep hill leading to water down the left. The second shot plays downhill to a large peninsula green with a bunker on the ride side and water on the left and long.

Hole #17

This treacherous par 3 plays slightly down hill and features water in front and down the entire left side of the green. The bail out area to the right is closely mown and leaves an uphill pitch shot to a green sloping away from the player running towards the water. The green has a central ridge splitting the green into front and back sections. The rear section pitches towards the back of the green forcing a precise tee shot to hold the putting surface.

Hole #18

This par 4 is one of the most difficult on the course. The tee shot plays downhill and has a bunker on the right side. A creek runs down the left side of the fairway all the way to the green. The second shot plays slightly uphill, and the green is guarded by two right bunkers and the creek on the left. The green features a false front and a central ridge dividing the green into two sections.

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Competitor	Tip Type	Odds	Units	Result	Rationale
Si Woo Kim	Win	34/1(+3400)	1.00	LOSS	SWK was leading all players in Driving distance accuracy @ 81% before heading into last week’s Cadillac Championships. 6^th x SG: Total 2^nd x SG: T2G 12^th x SG: OTT 3^rd x Driving accuracy @ 69.79% 4^th x SG: APG 15^th x GIR @ 69.56% 30^th x SG: ARG 120^th x SG: PUT If SWK could consistently control his putting he would clearly be unbeatable as his Iron play is up there with the best in the sport and last week @ Cadillac, he had figures in putting of- SG: PUT losing -3.947 strokes Now normally you would ask why back a player that consistently starts around $30 om betfair? SWK has had moments of better putting which we have witnessed @ PGA Farmers along with the more recent RBC Heritage where he was 7^th in Putting with much better stats of- 7^th x SG: PUT @ +4.467 strokes gained He has been playing consistently most of 2026 with- 12 cuts made from 12 events for 100% 4 x T5 6 x T10 8 x T25 SWK was looking tired to us in March so we left him mostly alone, his game is looking good and after opening around $30 on Monday night on betfair this is plenty of $34 on offer @ betfair. He is just one of those players you must have.
Adam Scott	Win	48/1(+4800)	1.00	LOSS	2026 has seen a resurgence from the Aussie. 13th x SG: Total 6th x SG: T2G 50th x SG: OTT 75th x DA @ 59.00% 1st x SG: APG 6th x GIR @ 70.52% 78th x SG: ARG 95th x SG: PUT His current overall ranking of 95^th amongst all PGA players is deceiving, last week @ the Cadillac Champs he was on fire on day 4 with 8 x birdies for his round of 64. Day 3 he shot a round of 66 & despite his slow start to that event (76, 71) he has showed us glimpses of his old self. In putting for that event he was a high 4^th on day 4 after losing strokes on day 1 & 2- 4^th x SG: PUT @ +2.075 strokes gained 1^st x SG: Total @ +5.111 I think AS can keep the momentum going into this week, around this course in the last 3 years has seen finishes of T5, T29, T18 & he usually goes around most events @ $60 so yes we get a shave off his price but if he repeats last week he will feature this week & after opening on betfair around $38 there is plenty of $48 available but I would suggest trying to get matched on betfair + $50 as other money comes into the pool.
Ben Griffin	Win	55/1(+5500)	1.00	LOSS	Another player who is starting to hit form at the right time. 46th x SG: Total 70th x SG: T2G 117th x SG: OTT 25th x DA @ 62.89% 125th x SG: APG 49th x GIR @ 66.93% 2nd x SG: ARG 43rd x SG: PUT A player not often in our favour but we watched closely as he went 3 straight cuts starting @ PGA Arnold Palmer to the PGA Valspar and not sure what his mental attitude was as on opening day in 3 events he went- 72 x Day 1 @ PGA Arnold Palmer 70 x Day 1 @ PGA The Players 70 x Day 1 @ PGA Valspar It what transpired following day 1 with rounds of 75, 78, 74 & I listened to a few interviews and whether something was going on in the background with family it was not reported but we saw a change @ PGA Texas Children’s Open where he looked focus and he was never going to win that event as he was really concentrating on each hole, he looked steely in his determination. The following week again saw improvement into the MASTERS where he was going as well as most of the field for 3 days with rounds of 72, 69, 70 then on day 4 and not the day you want to go and shoot a 77 (+5) he finished T33 but it was a major and no doubt he was hard on himself. He has now gone 5 straight events with much better results, but you can see his body language change. Last week @ Cadillac he was chasing runaway leader and overall, his- T26 x SG: OTT @ +0.761 49^th x SG: APG losing -1.457 strokes T6 x SG: ARG @ +2.754 4^th x SG: PUT @ +5.359 3^rd x SG: Total @ +7.417 After opening around $48 on betfair he has drifted to $55 and I would suggest you may achieve $60 on betfair, in our opinion he is better value than SWK as SWK will often be in the T5 to T10 bracket and of course if his putter can warm up, BG is generally safer around the greens.
Kurt Kitayama	Win	60/1(+6000)	1.00	LOSS	Yes, we have been following KK & he has been very frustrating with poor day 1 efforts to then generally have remarkable days later. That was on show last week yet again when he shot +4 on day 1 @ Cadillac to then shoot rounds of 64, 72, 67 with the -8 on day 2 & the -5 on day 4 not really reflective to what we are seeing with his game as on day 2 he shot 9 x birdies with only 1 bogey but day 4 was clean with no bogeys. If he can only put 4 days together, he will join the group in 2026 to taking their 2 PGA wins to 3, there have been a few, do you know who? 33rd x SG: Total 17th x SG: T2G 43rd x SG: OTT 62nd x Driving accuracy @ 60.35% 8th x SG: APG 9th x GIR @ 70.46% 109th x SG: ARG 104th x SG: PUT The trick is simple with KK, keep it on the fairways and the rest of his game will follow, this course QUAIL HOLLOW favours players who are generally very high in finding greens in regulation & we have said it previously when analysing his short game, he can putt like most when in the mood, we saw that on display last week along with the poa annua greens @ Riviera which actually has a good history aligning with this event. We will give KK one more chance this week with the course correlation & after he opened around $50 he has firmly found a home around $60 on betfair, I doubt there is any movement, but you can always try and get matched for higher. KK will need to be on his A game this weekend & not his B game of late.
Rickie Fowler	Win	60/1(+6000)	1.00	LOSS	If you were able to witness some spectacular shots from the “man in orange” last week, he is like Kitayama we still must stay on the rollercoaster as if he can put 4 days together, he will win and it will be sooner than later. 26th x SG: Total 51st x SG: T2G 48th x SG: OTT 19th x Driving accuracy @ 63.15% 41st x SG: APG 44th x GIR @ 67.44% 119th x SG: ARG 20th x SG: PUT This week we have stacked the deck with typically strong iron players who can find the greens in 70% of most shots, we want to convert birdies so a few better putters are included. Last week @ Cadillac RF was strong & he finished tied with Kitayama- 30^th x SG: OTT @ +0.635 8^th x SG: APG @ +3.680 49^th x SG: ARG losing -0.826 strokes 30^th x SG: PUT @ +0.928 T9 x SG: Total @ +4.417 Fowler is another player who usually plays well around here with his best finish a T4 back in 2019 and other finishes since, I am ignoring his cut last year as his game is far better in 2026. After opening on Monday night around $50 he has slightly drifted to $60 on betfair, there is plenty available at that price and it is a fair price, if RF was $45, I would consider that as acceptable so taking more is just more profitable. Like all players we need to see 4 consistent days of golf from RF.
Harris English	Win	65/1(+6500)	1.00	LOSS	We have finally seen his game be more consistent of late and around QUAIL HOLLOW Harris has been very good- T2 x 2025 T34 x 2024 T3 x 2023 T43 x 2022 T54 x 2021 His last few events anywhere have seen better efforts and in 2026- 10 cuts made from 11 events 6 x T25 He is making you money in T25 markets, but his overall game has seen improvements- 32nd x SG: Total 72nd x SG: T2G 30th x SG: OTT 34th x Driving accuracy @ 62.16% 122nd x SG: APG 59th x GIR @ 66.53% 81st x SG: ARG 16th x SG: PUT Talking about HE recent results you only have to look up all his results in 2026 and they have been the most consistent of any year and I watched a recent interview with Dan Rapaport in what was very relaxed interview as HE explains he is working on being consistent and he thinks he is doing a splendid job of that & he highlights low scores will come from that. After opening around $50 he did drift out to $65 on betfair, due to his mostly T30 results I would have him closer to $90 to $100, his best is clearly good enough as we saw at last year’s Travelers & you get a feeling a breakout performance is near, we are possibly taking under the odds but it’s that hunch we have to include. There are others we find much better value.
Jason Day	Win	85/1(+8500)	1.00	LOSS	The quiet achiever in 2026, the Aussie like Scott is trending in the right direction. 37th x SG: Total 79th x SG: T2G 80th x SG: OTT 59th x DA @ 60.40% 140th x SG: APG 35th x GIR @ 68.06% 10th x SG: ARG 17th x SG: PUT Looking at JD overall 2026 stats it is very misleading as a big picture as he has now gone- T2 @ PGA American Express T6 @ PGA Texas Children’s open T12 @ Masters JD is still showing us glimpses of why he was regarded as one of the “sweetest ball strikers” in the world. His form did dip for 2 events missing the cut but his last 4 efforts he is taking his time around any course & this is a course he has had a long history on with- T4 in 2024 but it’s a course he picks up +1.87 strokes gained Around $85 on betfair is more than acceptable & had he T10 last week then that would be more like $35, I did not mind what we saw last week either with a solid showing on the last 3 days of 70, 69, 68, JD was another that was halted by a poor 77 on day 1 which was way off pace and very unusual for the aussie. We can forgive & interested to see what he can do this weekend.
Akshay Bhatia	Win	100/1(+10000)	1.00	LOSS	AB can be very difficult to catch but some of his recent figures surprised even the Stig & MJ. 9th x SG: Total 38th x SG: T2G 124th x SG: OTT 89th x Driving accuracy @ 57.96% 15th x SG: APG 51st x GIR @ 66.83% 43rd x SG: ARG 3rd x SG: PUT The 3^rd amongst all putters on the PGA tour is a great achievement but I will declare AB off the tee “scares the life out of me” I have often seen him slice his drives to the other fairway he can be that bad. I had to look up the driving accuracy of his most recent events just to check- 50% of fairways @ PGA Cadillac (28/56) 50% of fairways @ RBC Heritage (35/56) 79% of fairways @ PGA The Players (43/56) Of note his last event was the Cadillac and he has had an easy season in 2026 but he was 1^st in driving accuracy @ The Players which was won by Cam Young so very good form and Cam is no slouch off the tee. I mentioned an easy season for AB, his results have been excellent- T3, T6, T16, 1^st, T13, T16, T23 from 10 events he has made the cut in 7 but it is the results that follow that are scary good. I watched him last week and he was laughing enjoying the game, his cut @ Masters would have stung as he was close to one of the hottest players on tour so far in 2026 so it was good to see rebounds in the 2 events after which were the T16 & T23. If AB keeps it on the fairway then the current $100 on betfair seems incredible value from the 24 yr old.
Sam Stevens	Win	130/1(+13000)	1.00	LOSS	I was really hoping that Sam was going to play at the other PGA event this week @ Myrtle Beach, he would have been close to a shoe in as one gets. No doubt chasing the big points and prestige here. He is playing too well not to include him at this event. 40th x SG: Total 30 x SG: T2G 25th x SG: OTT 54^th x DA @ 60.94% 49th x SG: APG 19th x GIR @ 69.20% 93rd x SG: ARG 96th x SG: PUT 12/13 cuts made in 2026 It is hard for a rookie to win on PGA tour, we saw it with Jacob bridgeman earlier in the year and even with Cam young last year as there are some players that really are good enough to win, there are others & we will not mention them but they will not win one of this more prestigious events, hint he is around $85 & has been playing well, why not go to the lesser events to notch 1 or 2 PGA wins then play with the best? Just saying. Sam Stevens has acquitted himself in most events thus far and the stats for 2026 overall do not highlight how well he is playing- Last week @ Cadillac- 10^th x SG: OTT @ +2.701 strokes gained 53^rd x SG: APG losing -1.787 strokes 21^st x SG: PUT @ +1.503 T18 x SG: Total @ +2.417 T34 x Driving Accuracy @ 53.57% (30/56) T13 x Greens in Regulation @ 73.61% (53/72) On day 4 Sam started on hole 10 and went straight into a double bogey (7) on a par 5 but he then got into stride with 8 birdies which did not reflect as much on the scorecard with his -6 (66). This event is not an anomaly either as he has had 6 x T25 in 2025 with 2 of those being a good T6 @ PGA American Express along with a 5^th @ PGA Texas Children’s Open. Making 12 of 13 (92%) highlights how well his overall game is going. If the big boys are off their game any then Sam can get into the action, He is a player on the cusp of a win, to be transparent there are other we like much more but he opened around $110 on betfair and has slowly drifted out to around $130- try and get matched for between +$140 to $150.
Sahith Theegala	Win	140/1(+14000)	1.00	LOSS	We keep coming back to ST as his game is going well, unfortunately he was paired with Aaron Rai which honestly did him little favours in the team event in New Orleans. ST did however card 2 EAGLES on day 1 @ holes 2 & 13 along with day 3 @ 18^th. At last weeks event (Cadillac) he showed he is getting seriously close to a win with a -8 (64) on day 4 after 6 birdies on the back stretch (last 9 holes he started from hole 1) as pairings were now triples due to weather. He sat in the top 20 in most strokes gained metrics. In 2026- 25th x SG: Total 36th x SG: T2G 120th x SG: OTT 118th x DA @ 55.17% 35th x SG: APG 71st x GIR @ 66.06% 11th x SG: ARG 41st x SG: PUT 12/13 cuts made 8 x T25 In those 8 x T25 he has now had 50% in the T10 with his best result being a T6 @ PGA Arnold Plamer Invitational and we have several summaries available on the website for a very in depth look but he shot a 75 on day 3 which is unusual for him & then bounced back on day 4 with a 66. He was erratic but that is improving hence the better results from his 4 events, he has now had 13 rounds under 70 from 16 (81.25%). Last week @ Cadillac and why I do not buy too greatly into the overall 2026 PGA stats is he was- 27^th x SG: APG 18^th x SG: ARG Another stat we look at every week and sometimes do not highlight it enough is scrambling; ST was 11^th last week @ near 70% (18/26) & you will see where players are only 50% for around (13/26) and it shows. We included the 12 cuts made from 13 events as a lot of that has to do with scoring averages, it also shows how a player is not as erratic so if you look at players that result of course they are not one off wonders, they have been building & we know not many players can play all 4 days consistently but we look at trends and those players that are ready to win. We have given ST every chance to get that win for PGT, he is close but after opening around $100 on betfair he has now drifted hard to $140, I suggest trying to get matched north of +$150. If he can keep the scoring average to how he has in the last 16 rounds he is one of 4 players that represents over the odds for this event.
Nick Taylor	Win	280/1(+28000)	1.00	LOSS	It is no secret we are fans of Sain Nick, we will always talk up his game and did so when I watched so many interviews that especially highlighted, he holidayed with his family for many years @ the PGA Scottsdale & then watched him warm up on the range prior to the WM Phoenix Open, we were all over him. Well, he deflated the hope although he was still a good T28 with -7, a -4 was mostly credited to that on day 4 with his 67. Luckily Chris Gotterup saved the day. But Last week @ Cadillac it was a good return to form where he led Day 1 and was in for the fight on day 2 & 3, unfortunately an off the pace -1 (71) spoiled a higher than T9 result. On day 2 I think it was NT clinched at his back after a tee shot early and from then on he was having his trainer fix him on various holes, a back strain was reported so of course my eyes were glued to the screen to see how he was, nowhere near as bad as Colin Morikawa recently. Cadillac stats- 54^th x SG: OTT losing -1.483 strokes 9^th x SG: APG @ +3.606 4^th x SG: ARG @ +3.477 51^st x SG: PUT losing -1.183 strokes T9 x SG: Total @ +4.417 T41 x Driving Accuracy @ 51.79% (29/56) Greens in Regulation @ 68.06% (49/72) 20^th x Scrambling @ 65.22% (15/23) Versus his 2026 overall stats- 39th x SG: Total 21st x SG: T2G 122nd x SG: OTT 56th x Driving accuracy @ 60.75% 24th x SG: APG 52nd x GIR @ 66.79% 6th x SG: ARG 113th x SG: PUT His Achilles heel is his putting but most events I would consider him “Safe” he is 15^th overall in PROXIMITY to hole and would you back him if he had a 38-foot putt, probably not but to safely 2 putt, then the answer is yes. Already a winner of 5 x PGA events, we have watched his game and honestly he usually never has mental doubt in his game, his interviews show a confidence with out being egotistical and it is not beyond him to win a Major, IMO, it might have to be a specific event but when his game is going he is more reliable than 70% of players on tour, we saw with JJ Spaun that all players can win a big one if they play their best over 4 days. Hoping his back is not bothersome but around $280 on betfair currently after opening around the $220 mark, I will try and get matched for greater than +$300 but there are players half his price that should not be, we will need to see a good strong showing like last week.
Matt Wallace	Win	280/1(+28000)	1.00	LOSS	50th x SG: Total 60th x SG: T2G 75th x SG: OTT 3rd x Driving accuracy @ 69.79% 98th x SG: APG 15th x GIR @ 69.56% 32nd x SG: ARG 61st x SG: PUT I though Wallace along with a few others would be lining up @ PGA Myrtle Beach classic on the double header weekend, there are good players there, but I guess he considers he deserves to be here instead as he is now @ 66 in FedEx points. MW did finish along with MK @ Valero, his DPWT results are still yet to transfer into a Win on PGA, he has been a member of European Ryder Cups and only just missed a spot in the latest edition. The T2 was his best result in 2026 and whilst we have not seen the player that Europe has (11 wins in total) with 5 x DP World Tour victories and 6 from other events we included him as golf is one very funny game, players do not care what odds they are and hey if a player puts 4 days together then it is realistic to believe MW could win one of these. He has played elite level golf prior. Betfair currently have the Englishman around $280 with as much as $360 on offer only yesterday, we do not consider this as firming but players will read lots of picks from many Analysts so if 1 mentions a player then that price will be taken, I suggest he most likely drifts again with more money coming into the pool before tee off. Not only because of his price he is considered one of our outsiders to win, he would need his best over all 4 days, As I type this I am remembering Texas Children’s Open where he was up near the top of the leaderboard, he started with a 66 (-4) & 68 (-2), our winner Gary Woodland kicked off with a 64 (-6). If he starts well here and his game clicks like it has in Europe (proven) then it could happen, we have players in our database for a reason. I looked up his T20 price and it is only $5.40, gone are the days when we used to get at least $12 to $15 for a T20 market for a player that is closer to $300 to win, the prices really have softened in the last 12 months. Hence why we focus on outright Win markets.
Brian Harman	Win	330/1(+33000)	1.00	LOSS	The lefty that we got right when he won over the pond at big odds just seems to have 2 good days and 2 not so very good days of late. One day he has the commentators gushing on his shots and other days many ask “what happen to Brian” Last week though @ Cadillac he started with the group posting a 68 & 70 & he went bogey free on day 1 with 4 x bridies, day 2 just the solo bogey on 11 before his frustration showed carding 4 bogeys & 2 birdies on day 3 for a 74 (+2) his event was over though. On day 4 as he obviously could not get out of his own head, other than his eagle on the 8^th hole, a par 5 he did have some luck as he had 2 holes where the ball got caught in the rough, not so luck on the 18^th when his luck was out and the same luck that had kept his ball just in the rough rolled down the bank into the water, it happens, even Adam Scott on the 18^th hit a shot that was going way out of bounds, hit a tree and bounced back “like God had placed it carefully back on the fairway” to round out his stellar day. I just had to include BH as he has been up and down in a fair few events of late, he just needs to convert more days than 2 into his weekend to be alive chance. Day 1 & 2 from the Cadillac- 40^th x SG: OTT losing -0.033 strokes 26^th x SG: APG @ +0.651 19^th x SG: ARG @ +0.803 9^th x SG: PUT @ +2.219 T6 x SG: Total @ +3.639 T4 x Greens in Regulation @ 83.33% (15/18) T1 x Sand Saves @ 100.00% (3/3) T1x Scrambling @ 100.00% (3/3) And 34^th x SG: OTT losing -0.033 strokes 40^th x SG: APG losing -0.143 15^th x SG: ARG @ +0.950 34^th x SG: PUT @ +0.254 T19 x SG: Total @ +1.028 T23 x Greens in Regulation @ 72.22% (13/18) T27 x Sand Saves @ 50.00% (1/2) T8 x Scrambling @ 80.00% (4/5) As advised on days 3 & 4 it was like “Where did that Brian go” but to say it clearly, he was not terrible on day 3 or 4 he just did not keep on pace. We feel as though there is a corner to turn very shortly, and he is playing solid golf, the 9 made cuts from 11 events proves this, there are many PGA players that have a poor 50% SR when it comes to making cuts, BH has been there when it matters like @ PGA AT & T Pebble Beach (T19) & PGA The Players (T11) & to be fair to him he has gone 8 straight events in the money, he is a proven money maker if backing him in T25 & T40 markets. He just needs to slightly elevate this weekend, another who needs to come out strongly and go hard early, the market has it right as he is around $330 on betfair after opening @ $280, I would suggest trying to get matched closer to +$400, he is improving but he needs to maintain for 4 days straight and we like Michael Kim better.
Michael Kim	Win	360/1(+36000)	1.00	LOSS	We got awfully close @ $220 when MK had a run @ the recent PGA Valero Open won by JJ Spaun. He had his chance and I am sure he would replay his 2^nd shot on 18, it seemed to be a miss hit as the ball only went 229 yards and averages closer to 300 yards most shots. It was that odd day with rain etc and perhaps many did not read but there was over an inch of rain that fell over night after day 3 so it was very soggy conditions. The analysis for the VALERO Open you can read via your emails or on the PGA website but we made particular reference if “his putting gets hot” then lookout! MK over 2026- 72nd x SG: Total 118th x SG: T2G 142nd x SG: OTT 127th x Driving accuracy @ 54.21% 105th x SG: APG 144th x GIR @ 69.56% 48^th x SG: ARG 13th x SG: PUT His stats were through the roof @ Valero but if we examine his stats closer at last weeks event, being the most recent he belies his overall 2026 stats- Cadillac over all 72 holes- 63^rd x SG: OTT losing -2.662 strokes 61^st x SG: APG losing -2.536 strokes 17^th x SG: ARG @ +1.733 3^rd x SG: PUT @ +5.882 T18 x SG: Total @ +2.417 71^st x Greens in Regulation @ 58.33% (42/72) His GIR let him down but in saying that he started from hole 1 on day 4 and went straight into an eagle, then 6 birdies followed before 1 bogey on 17^th hole. If we exclude his Masters effort his game is trending well, with 4 from 5 events being good results and his avg score improving significantly from 71 to 70 to 66 & 67 he is another that will need to put all 4 days together. Uncertain as to why the bookies are offering us silly money again, if not running T2 to JJ Spaun is not good enough? JJ is $65 to Win & MK drifting to $360 on betfair after opening around $280, I know as I took half my play at the lesser odds, so now I can take advantage of the +$360. He did shoot @ 62 (-9) on day 4 @ RBC Heritage & 65 (-7) on day 3 last week @ Cadillac! He has proven more times than not he can card low rounds. Its ridiculous he goes around closer to $400 this week. PLEASE just give us 4 days of hope MK!
Justin Thomas	Win (Late Mail)	38/1(+3800)	1.00	LOSS	30^th x SG: Off the Tee @ +0.552 25^th x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.339 11^th x SG: Around the Green @ +2.223 18^th x SG: Putting @ +2.872 T6 x SG: Total @ +6.986 T46 x Driving Accuracy @ 59.52% (25/42) T11 x Driving Distance @ 318.00 yds T11 x Greens in Regulation @ 70.37% (38/54) T1 x Sand Saves @ 100.00% (5/5) T6 x Scrambling @ 75.00% (12/16) T3 x Birdies @ 16 T56 x Pars @ 31 T21 x Bogeys @ 7 After a considerably safe day 1 JT had +3.53 strokes gained total & his best strokes gained metric was +1.20 strokes gained Off the Tee along with +1.11 SG on Approach, across all metrics he was in positive territory. Day 2 he had his first metric in negative numbers when losing -0.68 strokes on approach he did however prove slick with the long stick picking up +1.84 strokes gained with the putter; he has been safe in tee to green over the combined 36 holes until day 3. Many players made moves & perhaps peaking too soon on day 3, I am always wary of a player carding a 63 (-8) or 64 (-7), we saw it with our own PGT pick in Rickie Fowler who on a slow day 2 for most carded a good 63. After JT had a mixed day 3 with 6 birdies + 4 bogeys but he wrote his first mistake a bogey on the 3^rd hole but then bounced back with 5 x birdies from holes 4 to 12 then the shot into the water on the 14^th hole just derailed his good previous 5 x birdies, it rattled him that much he had bogeys on holes 16 & 18. JT is not usual that bad off the tee and the shot into the water on 14 was very poor if comparing his own high standards, it was penalised & I have watched the shot 10 times now, I doubt it reoccurs & JT has yet to really shine over 54 holes & sits a creditable T6 @ -9 with rounds of 67, 68, 69 & he is very capable of a good push on day 4 & 3 of his last 4 events he did card 68 (Valspar), 66 (RBC heritage), 69 (Cadillac). I honestly do not think Alex Fitzpatrick wins, this is a signature event & he did partner with his brother to Win the Zurich in New Orleans but it was only recently he finally won on DP World Tour, I just do not think he holds on, Kristoffer Reitan as you all know we are huge fans and we have tipped a few times of late but same applies this is a signature event, he will go close but I do not think he wins. Of the rest we have the dangerous Cam Young, it would be a herculean effort if he were to win back-to-back, very hard to do despite CY sitting comfortably @ -12, he did however shoot 63 (-8) on day 3 so did he peak on day 3? Then we have Nicolai who is another we know so well, very fragile usually on day 4, good enough skill wise but I would be surprised, then you have the fading Sungai Im, love watching his iron play but he has slowly been working into form but I doubt he stays & finally Tommy Fleetwood who I have considered in the late mail, just seems to lack that final good day 4. So JT around $38 @ betfair can be in the finish, simply has to come of the range & attack early, I just do not see the leaders I have mentioned kicking on, sure they could but we utilise what % can or cannot, of course for JT to win they need to bogey a few early to open the door for the chasers. I will be up watching it all unfold & players still could win this coming from as far back as -6, the chasers can produce a 63 or 64 and if leaders can only produce a 70 or 71 that leaves it wide open. Going to be fun watching it all unfold!
J.J. Spaun	Win (Late Mail)	44/1(+4400)	1.00	LOSS	25^th x SG: Off the Tee @ +0.758 21^st x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.567 48^th x SG: Around the Green losing -0.672 strokes 2^nd x SG: Putting @ +5.333 T6 x SG: Total @ +6.986 3^rd @ Driving Accuracy @ 83.33% (35/42) T24 x Greens in Regulation @ 66.67% (36/54) T9 x Sand Saves @ 80.00% (4/5) 3^rd x Scrambling @ 83.33% (15/18) T23 x Birdies @ 12 T4 x Pars @ 39 T2 x Bogeys @ 3 JJ has been very safe and only has 3 bogeys over 54 holes, 1 of those occurred on day 3. I like what we saw on Day 3 and JJ is already a winner earlier defeating our own Michael Kim but usually when JJ starts his form, he will hold it over 6 to 8 weeks and on day 3 we saw his putter come to life- 2^nd x SG: Putting @ +3.30 strokes gained This lifted his overall strokes gained total to +4.71 for the day & although his 65 (-6) was good he looks more likely to peak on day 4 than those mentioned earlier in the JT summary. Over the 54 holes we have seen more than 65% of the field finding either water or in the woods, I honestly shake my head at some of the errors, JJ has been good so far with= Day 1 x driving accuracy @ 71.43% (10/14) Day 2 x driving accuracy @ 92.86% (13/14) Day 3 x driving accuracy @ 85.71% (12/14) His driving has been remarkable but of course he will need to trust this for the final 18 holes & around $44 on betfair & looking up players like Nick Taylor it is hard to fathom he is $1000 to win, sure he would have to card a low round and the leaders struggle but we have often seen some strange things happen on day 4. We have bolstered our chances with the extra 2 players to our already chances in Kitayama, Fowler & Taylor and we already know Fowler & Kitayama can often shoot crazy low scores.

#Tips	Wins	Units	Net Profit	ROI
16	0	16.00	-16.00	-100.00%