| Si Woo Kim |
Win |
30/1(+3000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
We only tipped SWK recently @ PGA Truist Championships where he faltered for his T65 but his T4 @ PGA Cadillac & T3 @ RBC Heritage showed he was on track.
SWK was only beaten by a very hot and anomaly Wyndham Clark @ PGA CJ CUP Byron Nelson, we had tipped Clark previously but his 60 (-11) on day 4 was incredibly rare but highlighting if you are going to shott an incredibly low round then of course day 4 is the day.
Still SWK did card his own -27 which was consistent rounds of 64, 60, 68, 65.
Around Muirfield Village GC demands precision-
2026 PGA stats-
- 6th x SG: Total
- 3rd x SG: Tee to Green
- 15th x SG: Off the Tee
- 2nd x Driving Accuracy @ 70.48%
- 18th x Greens in Regulation @ 69.35
- 7th x SG: Approach the Green
- 29th x SG: Around the Green
- 106th x SG: Putting
- 15/15 Cuts made for 100% Strike rate
As we have highlighted in previous analysis any players can get hot with the flatstick but it is a bitter pill to swallow when you learn a player like last week has changed an important club like the putter, as was the case with JJ Spaun, we read a lot of data and that was not evident before the event last week. It matters.
SWK may be only 106th in putting across all PGA players but-
- 6 of last 8 events in Positives strokes gained in putting
- Of the 4 SG metrics we measure SWK is 17 of 20 in +SG @ 85%
Around this course we expect SWK to challenge and if we look at players who were precise off the tee recently it has yielded winners in Aaron Rai, Kristoffer Reitan, Matthew Fitzpatrick & last week with Russell Henley (all sit in the T10 on tour for Driving Accuracy.
This week we must accept around $30 on betfair for which with 5 x 2nds thus far in 2026 SWK is deserving of a breakthrough win for 2026.
Having players making the cut into day 3 is the first goal, last week we achieved 12 of 14 (85.7% SR) as this is a signature event it is not as important but considering you want to bulk players after the first 36 holes gives us a better opportunity.
|
| Patrick Cantlay |
Win |
40/1(+4000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
PC was selected recently as a T10 only chance @ PGA Championships where he only managed a T35 with putting the main factor & it is the sole SG metric in which he will need to improve over 4 days this event.
**He was a winner here in 2021.
2026 PGA stats-
- 17th x SG: Total
- 13th x SG: Tee to Green
- 25th x SG: Off the Tee
- 57th x Driving Accuracy @ 60.79%
- 21st x Greens in Regulation @ 69.03%
- 50th x SG: Approach the Green
- 15th x SG: Around the Green
- 96th x SG: Putting
- 9/11 Cuts made for 81.8% strike rate
Why do we like PC this week?
The main factor is PC is very good in tee to green and has now managed-
- 19 of 24 in positive strokes gained over his last 6 events
- 3 of those 24 were in negative (loss of strokes) in putting.
The rest of his game is rock solid, with all his last 6 events +SG in total
**Some of what we sent out when selected for T10 recently-
Hopefully we learnt our lesson on picking PC on the very odd time that we have, he is not a player we warm to generally (over the last 5 years) & at the times when selected for an outright win he has been good but never looked likely to win.
Why this week for T10?
His last 4 weeks have been the best in 2026 with-
- T10 @ PGA Truist with all 4 SG metrics positive
- T8 @ PGA RBC Heritage with 3 of 4 SG metrics positive
- T12 @ PGA Masters with 2 of 4 SG metrics but good overall SG Total
- T7 @ PGA Valspar with all 4 SG metrics in positive
Another player like Ludvig in that we do not need him to win, around $5.50 to T10 on betfair currently he looks good odds to cover his play and the rest of the line up with a big 66 x T10 results in his overall career from 211 events.
That T10 strike rate is 31.3% which you can make money from but even better from the 180 events in which he makes it over the 72 holes for 36.6% strike rate to T10.
For the Memorial this week he again is short around $40 on betfair after opening around $34, yes he has remained firm & his T12 last year @ Muirfield demonstrates it in not a course he struggles with.
I would like to see around $45 as PC can be a steady starter, all eyes will be on how he is putting.
|
| Ben Griffin |
Win |
50/1(+5000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
We @ PGT were pleasantly surprised at Benny’s drifting odds but looking deeply into his profile it was around the same time in 2025 when Benny started to hit form.
His T3 last week @ PGA Charles Schwab just confirmed what we are seeing and honestly if you were to overlap his stats from this time last year, they are near identical.
2026 PGA stats-
- 41st x SG: Total
- 84th x SG: Tee to Green
- 101st x SG: Off the Tee
- 52nd x Driving Accuracy @ 61.07%
- 84th x Greens in Regulation @ 65.64%
- 131st x SG: Approach the Green
- 9th x SG: Around the Green
- 16th x SG: Putting
- 13/16 Cuts made for 81.25% strike rate
This week @ Muirfield Village GC he will rely heavily on his excellent 2nd & we have to mention his final day was so many up & downs where he finished with a 73 (+1) but he had 4 x bogeys and even a double bogey on 17th hole which took away his lovely eagle on the 16th.
2025 Memorial stats-
- 4th x SG: Off the Tee @ +3.449
- 14 x SG: Approach to Green @ +3.212
- 15th x SG: Around the Green @ +1.729
- 14th x SG: Putting @ +3.091
- 2nd x SG: Total @ +11.481
It was a good effort and last week @ PGA Charles Schwab he equalled the best on the final day with his -5 (65) along with Steven Fisk, it was only a late surge by eventual winner, Russell Henley who managed to birdie holes 16, 17 & 18 to force a playoff.
**Last week’s stats
- 20th x SG: Off the Tee @ +1.815
- 26th x SG: Approach to Green @ +2.346
- 7th x SG: Around the Green @ +2.928
- 17th x SG: Putting @ +3.916
- T3 x SG: Total @ +11.004
This was all on the fact like many players last week Benny failed to find too many fairways, in fact he found 26/56 for 46.43% & if you compare his driving to winner Henley who found +70% it made the difference along with being able to position the approach closer to the hole than most.
For most players last week, it was imperative to find the fairways as the Bermuda grass was long & even our won Ryan Gerard who was 32nd (62.53%) amongst all PGA players in driving accuracy could only manage 48%.
With the stars aligning for Benny this week there was plenty around $42 on betfair, there was a slow drift to $44 and now he is around $50 which as advised this is the time of the year for him. We like him more than PC and after a slow start to 2026 Benny is warming up nicely.
|
| Hideki Matsuyama |
Win |
55/1(+5500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
HM is another player who has been consistent in 2026, it is his reliability that often will see him challenge on the final 36 holes, last week with his traditional yellow shirt on he tried to mount a challenge but after a +1 over par you could see the air go out of him.
2026 PGA stats-
- 29th x SG: Total
- 27th x SG: Tee to Green
- 131st x SG: Off the Tee
- 103rd x Driving Accuracy @ 57.42%
- 82nd x Greens in Regulation @ 65.71%
- 14th x SG: Approach the Green
- 19th x SG: Around the Green
- 64th x SG: Putting
- 13/13 Cuts made for 100%
Again, highlighting last week @ PGA Charles Schwab- like a handful of players he did start the final 18 holes as a hope-
- 35th x SG: Off the Tee @ +0.499
- T59 x Driving Accuracy @ 55.36% (31/56)
- 6th x SG: Approach to Green @ +5.470
- 35th x SG: Around the Green @ +0.267
- 31st x SG: Putting @ +1.769
- T13 x SG: Total @ +8.004
His stronger Iron & wedge play kept him in with a live chance finding 68% GIR but there is a strong image flash that always circulates in my mind is how he struggled @ PGA WM Phoenix, it was a matter of closing your eyes to wonder where he would finish up off the tee.
This weekend HM will have to really focus on finding more fairways then his iron & wedge play can take over, like many players on PGA tour they rarely possess all good metrics.
After opening around $45 on betfair on Monday night (AEST) there has been little support and he is around $55 on betfair now, we cannot fault his usual consistent play & last week he was +2 strokes each round in SG: T2G as long as he replicates and tidies up his driving he can figure.
Try for +$60 to $65 on betfair.
|
| Adam Scott |
Win |
80/1(+8000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The Aussie is having his best run on tour in a long while.
AS was selected by PGT for the PGA Truist in early May @ $48, his game is going just as well and we can grab near double this week, AS is currently in 2nd in strokes gained on Approach, that will see him figure high on the leaderboard this week.
2026 PGA stats-
- 19th x SG: Total
- 10th x SG: Tee to Green
- 44th x SG: Off the Tee
- Driving Accuracy
- Greens in Regulation
- 2nd x SG: Approach the Green
- 86th x SG: Around the Green
- 112th x SG: Putting
- 10/11 Cuts made for 91% strike rate
What we saw in Scott before the PGA Truist.
PGA Truist
His current overall ranking of 95th amongst all PGA players is deceiving, last week @ the Cadillac Champs he was on fire on day 4 with 8 x birdies for his round of 64.
Day 3 he shot a round of 66 & despite his slow start to that event (76, 71) he has showed us glimpses of his old self.
In putting for that event he was a high 4th on day 4 after losing strokes on day 1 & 2-
- 4th x SG: PUT @ +2.075 strokes gained
- 1st x SG: Total @ +5.11
I think AS can keep the momentum going into this week, around this course in the last 3 years has seen finishes of T5, T29, T18 & he usually goes around most events @ $60.
PGA Memorial
The Aussie should be flying the flag proudly this week and in the last 5 editions of this event he has been thereabouts but to be fair he is playing some very good golf in 2026.
- T31 x 2025
- DNP x 2024
- T9 x 2023
- T67 x 2022
- T16 x 2021
As we have seen from AS in recent events he has run hot with his putter despite this is his only SG metric, he is negative of late.
Before being cut @ PGA Championships, he has made the cut in 18 straight events and he is only on average -0.40 losing shots with his putter, we have seen with our won eyes the runs he has gone on @ PGA Cadillac, PGA Arnold Palmer & PGA Genesis Invitational.
We like him more for this than the upcoming Majors in USA then over the pond and around $80 on betfair after opening around $65. The major sticking point for many punters & analysts it seems is Scott has not won for 6 years (2020 PGA Genesis Invitational).
The $80 seems value for a player who drives it well, is currently 2nd on approach & around the greens play is in positive strokes, I will try and get matched closer to $100 on betfair to see if anyone is happy to take me on.
|
| Sam Burns |
Win |
85/1(+8500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
SB is going better than what his recent results would suggest, known as one of the better putters on tour his tee box driving looks good, and his approach play is trending well.
He will be aiming for his 8th straight event for bright positive strokes gained total, he is no stranger to Muirfield Village GC where his best finish was-
- T12 x 2025
- T15 x 2024
- T16 x 2023
Unlike 50% of this field we know he can take advantage of birdie opportunities around the green, the rest of his game can fall into place.
2026 PGA stats-
- 48th x SG: Total
- 102nd x SG: Tee to Green
- 58th x SG: Off the Tee
- 128th x Driving Accuracy @ 54.97%
- 47th x Greens in Regulation @ 67.33%
- 106th x SG: Approach the Green
- 136th x SG: Around the Green
- 6th x SG: Putting
- 9/12 Cuts made for 75% strike rate
Looking at his SG: APG stats it a little concerning but when you dive in deeper and of course what we are seeing is far better.
- 6 of last 7 events in + SG: APG
- 17 of last 25 events in + SG: APG
That is significant!
With stronger emphasis on putting unlike JJ last week, we know SB putts better than the majority of the field, if he can stay in touch in other strokes gained metrics he can give this one big almighty nudge at attractive odds around $85 on betfair.
IMO seems terrific value.
|
| Harris English |
Win |
90/1(+9000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
HE is our gut feel player this week, his game has just been so strong of late.
2026 PGA stats-
- 30th x SG: Total
- 68th x SG: Tee to Green
- 38th x SG: Off the Tee
- Driving Accuracy
- Greens in Regulation
- 115th x SG: Approach the Green
- 80th x SG: Around the Green
- 18th x SG: Putting
- 12/13 Cuts made for
**Some of what we sent out for the PGA Truist @ $65
He is making you money in T25 markets, but his overall game has seen improvements-
- 32nd x SG: Total
- 72nd x SG: T2G
- 30th x SG: OTT
- 34th x Driving accuracy @ 62.16%
- 122nd x SG: APG
- 59th x GIR @ 66.53%
- 81st x SG: ARG
- 16th x SG: PUT
Talking about HE recent results you only have to look up all his results in 2026 and they have been the most consistent of any year and “I watched a recent interview with Dan Rapaport in what was very relaxed interview as HE explains he is working on being consistent and he thinks he is doing a splendid job of that & he highlights low scores will come from that”.
It was a revealing interview & only yesterday I watched a golf challenge of the 2018 Oklahoma University team (Hovland, Bauchou, Eckroat, Wolff, Stevens) versus the 2025 Oklahoma University team, which had so much depth yet they were incredibly much younger than the pros now on tour, a few were only sophomores etc, the only player you may recognise is the name of Ethan Fang (KFT).
The current 2025 team of young guns Won.
Highly entertaining but it shows the human element of golf.
Back to English his best result around Muirfield-
T12 x 2025
It is however his consistent efforts in all strokes gained metrics that really impresses-
- 78 of his last 100 measured SG metric rounds in + SG
To sit anywhere near 80% is outstanding and if you look at Scheffler & Rory they are players who sit above 80%, that is a lot of golf & to be fair to HE, of the 22 rounds where he was in strokes lost they are between -0.50 to -0.75 with his worse being -3.72 strokes lost on approach @ PGA The Players, he was CUT.
HE was one of the better performances that went pretty much unnoticed @ PGA Championship but he went about his business for T18 he also gave us a peek into how close he went for his T4 @ RBC Heritage.
The current staff/writers on PGA call it a “Sleeper” pick, other journos call it a “Value” pick but we call it our gut/instinct play but around $90 on betfair after opening around $70 English makes it into this as a “Late Inclusion”.
After diving into stats, we looked at Aaron Rai (rare they can back up a win so soon) along with Matthew Fitzpatrick, Fitzy has however won 3 in 2026 again it is rare for players to win multiple times along with back-to-back wins unless you are Scheffler.
Just on SS his stats look incredible for this, however, we cannot entertain at such short odds again & again, The Stig & MJ like value.
|
| Kurt Kitayama |
Win |
100/1(+10000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Yes, KK can be frustrating giving away starts like he has done in 2026, this may well be the last stop at the well for us though until later in 2026.
When he is between $100 to $150 he is worth considering seeing he can start as low as $50-$60 often.
Below is why he still must be considered @ Muirfield Village GC-
2026 PGA stats-
- 25th x SG: Total
- 15th SG: Tee to Green
- 40th x SG: Off the Tee
- 53rd x Driving Accuracy @ 61%
- 4th x Greens in Regulation @ 70.63%
- 5th x SG: Approach the Green
- 120th x SG: Around the Green
- 104th x SG: Putting
- 11/13 Cuts made for 84.6% strike rate
His excellent Tee to Green erases his putting stats so of course when he even can improve his putting metric with 50% he can feature.
Another player we liked @ PGA Truist where he was sent out @ $60.
From Truist-
“That was on show last week yet again when he shot +4 on day 1 @ Cadillac to then shoot rounds of 64, 72, 67 with the -8 on day 2 & the -5 on day 4 not really reflective to what we are seeing with his game as on day 2 he shot 9 x birdies with only 1 bogey but day 4 was clean with no bogeys.
The trick is simple with KK, keep it on the fairways and the rest of his game will follow, this course QUAIL HOLLOW favours players who are generally very high in finding greens in regulation & we have said it previously when analysing his short game, he can putt like most when in the mood, we saw that on display last week along with the poa annua greens @ Riviera which actually has a good history aligning with this event.”
Just reiterating like most players they can all have runs with the putter, He is unlike a player like Michael Kim who can often run more hot with the putter, KK has very good overall T2G stats, if he can only limit what he gives back in strokes on green this week he can find himself into contention.
- 7 of his last 10 events have been in Positive strokes gained in Putting
That stat of 70% in his last 10 events gives us hope, he is not getting much attention this week and after opening around $70 on betfair he has drifted out to $110, even at the time of our summary he has gone between $90 to $100 on betfair.
We are also very aware of players that we were following & selecting such as Reitan ( we found him) Rai, Clark & Fitzy just to name a few on our roster in 2026, sometimes you have to revisit when odds are much ore attractive, you can call it similar to black bookers in horse racing if you like.
Simply put there is a reason we liked them in the first place. In case of Rai & Clark both did have remarkable final days to win their respective events.
|
| Gary Woodland |
Win |
110/1(+11000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
GW keeps playing well since his 2026 victory @ PGA Texas Children’s Open, deep stats are available on PGT website or check your past emails.
2026 PGA stats-
- 23rd x SG: Total
- 37th x SG: Tee to Green
- 8th x SG: Off the Tee
- 104th x Driving Accuracy @ 57.3%
- 59th x Greens in Regulation @ 66.7%
- 60th x SG: Approach the Green
- 154th x SG: Around the Green
- 30th x SG: Putting
- 9/14 Cuts made for 64.2%
This week being a signature event with just over +70 players there is NO cut so normally we would like to see better than +70% of cuts made but his overall game in 2026 is flowing nicely.
- 24 of his last 25 events +strokes gained Off the Tee
What does jump out at you when looking through his last 25 events is his failure to sit in positive strokes around the green, we can see it clearly in his overall 2026 PGA ranking of 154th.
It is why we need to always examine players closely-
Last week @ Colonial GC he was-
- 47th x SG: Around the Green losing -0.659 strokes over 72 holes
But
Around the Greens @ Colonial across all 4 days-
- Day 1 +0.89 strokes gained
- Day 2 -0.90 strokes lost
- Day 3 -0.10 strokes lost
- Day 4 +0.61 strokes gained
Happy to see this form Gaz, Afterall on the first 2 days he was effortless Off the Tee with-
- 1st x SG: OTT on day 1 with +1.863 strokes gained
- 1st x SG: OTT on day 2 with +1.810 strokes gained
- 1st x SG: OTT on day 3 with +2.081 strokes gained
We @ PGT do not mind if our player who has a weak skill can only lose very minor strokes, especially when they are gaining in the strongest skill set to erase any negatives elsewhere, the trick is not to lose too many strokes.
GW was also-
- 2nd x SG: PUT on day 4 with +3.787 strokes gained
He found the right event to find some form again after decent results with 2 x T10s since his victory in Late March.
With his recent battles with his brain injury & everything else well documented he did not play (DNP) in the last 2 editions @ Muirfield & in –
We could easily argue this is by far his best season in 2026 and his results are proving this, if we compare GW to Tommy there is a major disparity in price though, GW opened around $80 and you can freely get matched @ $110 on betfair.
Tommy is firm around $36 yet both have similar stats to boast and we are receiving x 3 on price.
Happy to play just GW this weekend and see if he can keep producing, he had also handled all the pressure in the world, that is all in the past now so he should play nice and loose around Muirfield Village.
|
| Maverick McNealy |
Win |
110/1(+11000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
MM or Mav was like Harris English, a late inclusion into our selections as we keep promoting him higher on our PGT database and there is a reason for this-
2026 PGA stats-
- 20th x SG: Total
- 43rd x SG: Tee to Green
- 50th x SG: Off the Tee
- 127th x Driving Accuracy @ 55.14%
- 100th x Greens in Regulation @ 65%
- 104th x SG: Approach the Green
- 31st x SG: Around the Green
- 22nd x SG: Putting
- 12/13 Cuts made for 92.3%
MM has been playing far better golf than what his price this week would suggest, his most recent Major T20 was well deserved-
- T18 x PGA Championships with rounds of 69, 67, 71, 72 for 279 (-1)
That was on the back of-
- 8 x T25s including 1 x T10 from 13 events in 2026
**His stroke average has improved to
- 69.80 from 71.4 to now sit in 39th overall
With many aspects of his game improving and as important as is his stroke avg above he also has rapidly moved up in the rankings with more birdies being made in 2026.
- 7th x birdie or better conversion @ 36.47% (213 birdies made from 584 greens hit)
Whilst we look at overall 2026 stats as a whole it is when we dive deeper into his stats we see he is travelling far better & I just do not get why he is on a hard drift after opening @ $75 on betfair to now his current price around $110.
Sure, there are some big names here, but he should be relaxed knowing that he was also able to contest well @ Muirfield Village at his very first try-
- T5 x 2025 with rounds of 75, 72, 69, 70
MM is also a player like Benny G who was playing good golf around this time last year, with MM he went over the pond & was
- T23 @ Open Championships
- T22 @ Genesis Scottish Open
- T17 @ PGA Travelers
- 37th @ US Open
Happy to be on around the $110 but as the exchange will build its pool you can try for at least +$130.
|
| Nick Taylor |
Win |
160/1(+16000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
It is of no secret we are fans of “Saint Nick” & as much has been written by us that in interviews he includes himself well up there with the best in the game, he is still in search of a Major win but as highlighted when selected recently at-
- $280 @ PGA Truist Championships for T14
- T20 @ PGA Players for T26
Whilst he has gone close to a few pay days without actually making a return thus far in 2026 for PGT and members, he is playing some very good golf, he just needs to turn 3 decent days into 4 days.
2026 PGA stats-
- 38th x SG: Total
- 26th x SG: Tee to Green
- 119th x SG: Off the Tee
- 39th x Driving Accuracy @ 61.94%
- 67th x Greens in Regulation @ 66.36%
- 31st x SG: Approach the Green
- 10th x SG: Around the Green
- 84th x SG: Putting
- 13/14 Cuts made for 92.85% strike rate
After a fair 2025 he did result well last year @ Muirfield Village with-
NT did not play in 2023 nor 2022 and was-
We follow Sain Nick & he does win on tour every season so when he is such tempting odds closer to $200 than between the range of $60 to $80 he must be included.
Whilst this Canadian does not boast the best driving stats he does however sit a very high 26th in SG: T2G so he is another that as long as his putting stats do not absorb his better play on approach & around the greens he can be in this for a long way, we saw in recent events he has sat up near the top of the leaderboards on days 1 & 2, he just needs to maintain.
We feel he is too good to leave out & especially as he is currently around $160 on betfair, I will be trying to get matched between the $180 to $200 price bracket.
He will win in 2026, which event is the? & happy for it to be this one.
|
| Jacob Bridgeman |
Win |
180/1(+18000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
We selected JB for the PGA RBC Heritage @ $65 & he finished a poor T33 IMO.
His last 2 events @ PGA Truist & PGA Championships (CUT) he lost strokes in putting which is important because his previous-
- 10 of 11 events saw positive strokes gained in putting
That would have been a perfect 100% as @ PGA MASTERS he lost -0.47 strokes.
I think with one of his busiest active years so far in 2026, something had to give, after an early mark @ PGA Championships he has near 3 weeks to get back doing what he is so good at, putting practice.
2026 PGA stats-
- 16th x SG: Total
- 69th x SG: Tee to Green
- 73rd x SG: Off the Tee
- 73rd x Driving Accuracy @ 59.63%
- 41st x Greens in Regulation @ 67.78%
- 48th x SG: Approach the Green
- 116th x SG: Around the Green
- 2nd x SG: Putting
- 12/13 Cuts made for 92.30%
He opened his 2026 account with very good showings despite his poor stats overall in many of the strokes gained metrics-
When we selected him for the RBC Heritage this is where he was ranked in-
- 126th x SG: T2G
- 126th x SG: OTT
- 124th x SG: APG
A quick calculation sees him improve dramatically, we already know his usual consistency is with his flat stick, most of the metrics have just improved.
There is NO cut this weekend and for some players they do not have that consequence over their head, it could be the case for JB, still he will need to overcome slow starts and stay within touch of the 36-hole leaders.
A cut often can kick start the brain as he was travelling very well in 2026 up until PGA Cadillac, he can get back to business and perhaps his last 3 events has scared punters away, after opening around $130 on betfair there is now $180 and yesterday I saw $210 on betfair.
Try & see if you can get matched for well above +$210, we will know by the first 9 holes how his putting is shaping up.
|
| Corey Conners |
Win |
200/1(+20000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The very elusive Canadian we did entertain for both the PGA RBC Heritage @ $150 & even back @ PGA MASTERS @ $120.
What went right & what went wrong?
T53 @ PGA RBC Heritage he could not get out of his own way, he struggled on approach & around the greens which normally that is his gravy train, in the previous 4 events and even 80% of all other starts he has had +strokes gained in approach.
T49 @ MASTERS saw his green play come back into line yet he struggled off the tee.
Another player where like most he is finding it hard to get all 4 strokes gained metrics in positive territory all at the same time, he is showing glimpses it may!
2026 PGA stats-
- 75th x SG: Total
- 38th x SG: Tee to Green
- 65th x SG: Off the Tee
- 5th x Driving Accuracy @ 68.91%
- 64th x Greens in Regulation @ 66.55%
- 21st x SG: Approach the Green
- 118th x SG: Around the Green
- 122nd x SG: Putting
- 11/12 Cuts made for 91.6% strike rate
With recent winners who had very high % driving accuracy to include that of, Russell Henley, Aaron Rai, Wyndham Clark, Kristoffer Reitan & even Matt Fitzpatrick they all sat in the T10 in that stat.
Of course, as we have seen most recently, they were able to bring other parts of their game in alignment. My thinking is @ 5th in DA then CC can build on confidence, which he has tried to in his last 6 events but has failed in one key aspect or another.
There is no reason he should not feel confident around the course this week as around Muirfield Village GC he does not boast any recent T5 or T10 finishes, he is though always thereabouts-
- T25 x 2025
- T20 x 2024
- CUT x 2023
- T13 x 2022
- T53 x 2021
It is also a course that Rory has never won on, there is always a first but “horses for courses” do have a far brighter prospect to perform around a course they are not frightened of, in other words have poor results year after year.
After opening around $120 on betfair there was plenty of $180 to $220 available when I started the type of summary. You could try for well above +$220.
What we do not want to see is any tantrums from CC we want a happy player this week.
|
| Michael Kim |
Win |
400/1(+40000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
As much as $500 was on offer and that was snapped up yesterday.
We have sent MK out a few times in recent months, and he keeps having 1 or 2 spectacular days, of course at big odds he needs to find a way to be there over all 4 days.
What we sent out for the PGA Charles Schwab last week-
It would be of no surprise to anyone that we @ PGT are fans of MK, after giving us a great watch @ $220 when JJ won @ Valero Open.
Since Valero he has produced some pretty good rounds-
- 62 @ PGA RBC Heritage (-9 on the final day when not many could go low)
- 65 @ PGA Cadillac
- 67 @ PGA Championships
- 12 of his last 24 rounds have been under 70.
Now the odd, good round does not mean much as at least 3 of 4 does but he has been building and it all gets back to when his putter is on fire.
Playing far greater than his 2026 stats-
- 84th x SG: Total
- 125th x SG: T2G
- 147th x SG: OTT
- 127th x DA @ 54.84%
- 148th x GIR @ 61.45
- 107th x SG: APG
- 51st x SG: ARG
- 11th x SG: PUT
- 10/14 cuts made for 71.4%
Is The Stig & MJ concerned about his hit or miss driving? Yes, but only a 20% concern as we saw recently @ Harbour Town GC (RBC Heritage)-
- 49th x SG: OTT @ +0.059
- 4th x SG: APG @ +3.158
- 9th x SG: ARG @ +1.495
- 2nd x SG: PUT @ +3.508
- 1st x SG: Total @ +8.220
- T59 x Driving Accuracy @ 50.00% (7/14)
Now the above stats are his low round on day 4 and he achieved this by still only finding 50% of fairways, personally I would love him to find more this week but like other that we have selected such as REITAN, RAI, CLARKE & others they are trending in our own database well & on discussion with The Stig we will revert to outright win only.
The T10 & T20 markets just get so diluted plus those players can be chosen to win instead, if it’s working why change?
MK has 2 good results around Colonial from the last 3 years-
As I check now on betfair MK is currently $400 but I would try your luck & see if +$500 is possible, he should be at least $450 matched on betfair with higher interest in others.
|
| Ryan Fox |
Win |
500/1(+50000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The “Silver Fox” we sent out as “Late Mail” for the PGA Championships @ $420, he was there to give it a nudge but his 72 & 69 on the final 2 days thwarted his charge.
Ryan Fox @ $410
Incredible value- he has been terrific on the fairways so it would be cruel he ruins this stat on day 3.
Day 1-
- T39 x Driving Accuracy @ 64.29% (9/14)
Day 2-
- T4 x Driving Accuracy @ 78.57% (11/14)
36 holes combined-
- T7 x Driving Accuracy @ 71.43% (20/28)
I must honestly say he has such an awkward twisting motion when he drives the ball from the tee box but keep on doing that as it works.
The rest of his game is going well too-
36-hole stats-
- 31st x SG: Off the Tee @ +1.149
- 33rd x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.758
- 50th x SG: Around the Green @ +0.325
- 38th x G: Putting @ +1.640
- T22 x SG: Total @ +4.872
I have been watching Foxy for a while now and we did select him when he ended up in surgery for Kidney stones and of course withdrew from The Players Championships, he was trending well before and he is no stranger to us as he won for PGT @ RBC Canadian Open as the late mail on day 4 @ very nice odds.
With Foxy also finding 65% of GIR & his putting showing positive strokes gained around $420 on betfair is well worth the risk of 1 unit, he starts like PR off 0 with 36 holes to go, it is wide open & who can keep it together through the next challenge, 18 holes.
This week @ Muirfield
Foxy is no stranger to this course his best result was last year-
20th x 2025
30th x 2024
He DNP (did not play in the other 3 years of the last 5), his focus this weekend will be to try and convert birdies with his putter, his greatest asset is his driver, if he can sit in the T10 there the rest of his game can follow, his approach play goes okay, he has made 80% of cuts in 2026 (8 of 10) & he only just needs to make a few minor adjustments to bely his +$500 price for this.
Try and get matched well above +$500, I have seen with my own eyes at least $560 on offer on betfair along with +$670 yesterday, never panic, you can get matched at what you can now (possible 50%) and I would think he drifts to that $600 to $700, never guaranteed but never accept the price you see, always go much higher on betfair.
There will be at least x 4 of the pool now before tee off, the pool is not even over $1 Million yet.
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