PGA the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday 2025 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

HIGH PROBABILITY 🧨:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

I have NOT backed him to Win as he will want to be winning in 2 weeks time is my view but remember he won here in 2021 & 2019 & a T3 in 2022. He is yet to win a MAJOR, I much prefer him in 2 weeks.

I just prefer him to Top 5 & reinforcing this is he has a 22% SR to Top 5 (42 from 192 events) + if you prefer the Top 10 market a healthy 32% SR (61 x Top 10s from 192 events).

***I also think CANTALAY is a VERY SAFER @ $3.80 to Top 10 if you want less risk than a Top 5 but Cantalay is HOT.

THE STAT 👑:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

Well if you have been with me for aile you would have seen times we actually tipped him @ $1000, $700 & $500, of those he ran 1 x 2nd & 1 x 5th.

Yes we still made good $$$ but it is abit like JusRose not too long ago, the difference from 2nd to a WIN is enormous but SEPP (Josef) was long on our radar so it is of no shock to me that he has put his game together to now have 4 x PGA Wins + 2 of those in 2025 along with 4 x Top 10s he really is showing overall consistency along with even 10 x Top 25s not bad from only 15 events.

If you backed him only for Top 20 markets only you would still be in front.

What has made the diffece is his game around the Greens, Currently #1 in GIR (greens in regulation) with 72% along with his 2nd overall in SG ARG (around the green) Now SEPP is not a BIG Bomber off the Tee as he sits in 52nd but he negates it with Strong PUTTING @ #28 so his overall SG (strokes gained) Tee to Green is a stronger 9th whcih bumps him up to SG Total in 5th.

I like him, he also sits in 3rd in BIRDIES overall with 237 & if you can get a few under the majority of PAR 4s here it will go along way to Victory. For every $1 on Betfair returns you $44.

2 🔥 & 🥶 TO WIN OUTRIGHT:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

I was considering SWK to Win but I also go alot on instinct and I do think STRAKA, FINAU & PENDRITH will finishn front of him.

Why?

He has shown us glimpses in the past few weeks but he can drop off more quicker than some of the more seasoned Pros on tour, I expect him to be in contention but just do not see him winning this.

Still I expect him to Top 10 or Top 20.

UNDER THE RADAR 🚀:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

If you were to look at his stats early in 2025 they were RED HOT on the back of a very solid 2024 where he made 20 CUTS in 22 events.

He was winless but did have 1 x 2nd along with 15 x Top 25s & included in that is 5 x Top 10s which is crazy good as it equates to 25% SR to Top 10 but an incredible 75% SR to finish n the Top 25.

His stats dropped from March 2025 to late April (5 events) but we have seen a bit of the old FINAU with his last 3 efforts comendable with a T38, T15 & his best of these being a T19 which was a MAJOR , THE US PGA.

He will be the 5th group with AKSHAY BHATIA to tee off here so whether thats an advanatge or not we will find out after day 1 (wind often increases from morning & can easily double or triple mph speed) but it will be interest to see if he can hit the top 10 on Day 1.

I believe he is turnign a corner, maybe 1 event too soon & perhaps he is peaking for US Open but at these odds he is worth $1n betfair to find out. He is the one really flying under the radar.

***he has also shot under PAR 70 in 10 of his last 12 round.

PLAYS WELL MOST DAYS 💥:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

I actually was looking at Keegan for the US Open but not convinced he could win a Major despite spending 2 hours looking into all his past & current stats.

That is no disrespect to the player he is as he has now won 7 on the PGA tour & has totally earnt the Captain role of the 2025 USA Ryder Cup team, after doing extensive hours of study I have relaized this will be more in his wheel house.

He does have a good skill set for this course sitting 17th in SG Total, 5th in SG Tee to Green, 13th ATG + 19thin APG so I actuallu copied his stats into my email as we were looking at him to win, he also has 25 of 46 holes under 70 and what I really liked was in his last 3 evnts he opened with a 67, 64 & 68.

If he starts like that I would be happy.

His last WIN was in the 2024 BMW Chpionship where he played out of his skin to win with -12, perhaps a Major s not beyond him but for this event I will stick with a Top 10 only.

I just would prefer spending $1 to earn a possible $5.40 as he has a much genuine chance of a Top 10 tan winning & again I have players ahead of him.

THE FORGOTTEN ONE 🙏:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

For some d reason most have forgotten about this Canadian where in 70% of the vents thus far in 2025 he was in everyone selections and would often sit between $25 to $50 in WIN markets.

On a course where PROXIMITY to the hole will be rewarded this canadian sits @ #27 in SG Tee to Green total, sure his putter is generally cold he does go far better on Approach to Greens
where he sits a high 5th n GIR, Greens in Regulation.

If he can stay in the Top 10 or 15 in GIR it would not shock to see him feature in the finish, he showed he could PUTT better than most give him credit for when he placed 5th in PGA Championship on a very tough course in QUAIL HOLLOW.

***It may surprise you but he was (All SG Totals) #4 Off the Tee, 25th APG, 30th ARG (around the green will feauture) this week & 39th in PUTTING.

He comes into this well rested as QUAIL HOLLOW was his last event, he will TEE off in Group 25 so about 70% of players will have already been on the course.

For every $1 on Betfair a possib$160 return possible, Of course at this cricket score odds it would be remiss to back him in other markets as well, of course only resulted to WIN.

THE BANKER 💪:

PGA Memorial Tournament
Muirfield Village GC
Dublin, Ohio, USA
Thursday May 29th to June 1st 2025
Tee Off @ 9:50pm

His play reflects why he is ranked 4th in Fed Ex but a high 5th in OWGR & JT really is starting to come into form at the right time, He is $26 to win this yet $34 to Win a Major 2 weeks later.

Sometimes this GR8 game just throws up too many players at LOW ODDS all the time, I honestly would back THOMAS @ $26 any day of this week to topple SHEFFLER @ $4 not only because JTs value but he has also proven his TENURE over many more years.

JT has won 16 x PGA tour and to be fair he sits @ 51st in the PLAYERS OF ALL TIME of course RORY sits a very high T18 but this is over +100 years of Golf.

I will not over load with stats but the man is a BEAST with 35% of him being in the Top 10 over a whopping 252 events, he has 6 x Top 10s in 2025 alone.

He is my Banker, meaning if I had to have only 1 play ever here he would be it. For every $1 on betfair the possible low risk play is $3.40 back.