PGA THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson 2025 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

THE SLEEPER 🙏:

PGA The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
TPC CRAIG RANCH
McKinney, Texas, USA
May 1st to 4th
Tee Off @ 21:50pm ( check times)

At 1st glance you would easily write this Englishman off as many forget about him, He has only won on PGA Tour once.

He has won 11 x International events and has sat in previous years as high as #26 in OWGR, He is a player I updated to my Top 50 players ( I rotate every month) add & delete players but his last 3 events have seen BIG improvement with a -1, -10 & -8.

Last week he was CUT after the 2nd but he & OLESEN shot a 62 on Day 1 he has in his last 3 events shot days of 66 & 67 which is what you will need to be at least to figure.

His strength lies in his skill around the Greens where he sits well @ #2 in SG Around the Green & since I moved him into my stable he has climbed up to a high of #41 SG Tee to Green.

That last stat Tee to Green has him shooting up the rankings so call it how you like but last year he was T4 and I reckon his form has improved much better than going into this in 2024.

He proved like my stats are now telling me he can go low with scores last year of -8, -5, -4
& -3, He was the round 1 leader after shooting a 63.

All he has to is keep his projection & trending up going to feature this weekend. He is paying for a Top 10 @

THE VALUE 🚀:

PGA The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
TPC CRAIG RANCH
McKinney, Texas, USA
May 1st to 4th
Tee Off @ 21:50pm ( check times)

Is currently #1 in PUTTING on PGA Tour.

his recent form has been inconsistent but last year in his 1st look @ the course he finished T24 but he made up +1.81 SG on the field, he was not in the same form like he was in the end of 2024 into 2025, he is playing far better now.

He has never sat as high in the world rankings, #51st & is Top 50 in Fed Ex @ #49, if he can play to his strengths with his Putter and can keep more on the Greens in regulation, he sits @ 66.7% he will be in this for a long way.

AGAIN he is playing 10 x better than his 1st look at the course in 2024.

I like him he has bulldog in him and unlike 50% of the field he has won 2 x PGA + 2 x International Wins. I backed him when he paid moster odds not once but twice, he fought hard for the win @ ZOZO but he shot very low all 4 days (64, 64, 65 ,67).

He went 1st, 6th, 29th & 2nd in his last 4 events of 2024.

He needs to start quick here & to Win here he is @ $120, I have him between $120 to $140 and if he were to WIN outright he is worth $15k, so go COLMBIA!.

Top 20 @ $

HORSES 4 COURSES 👍:

PGA The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
TPC CRAIG RANCH
McKinney, Texas, USA
May 1st to 4th
Tee Off @ 21:50pm ( check times)

This is his event to shine, his last few results here have seen him on average pisk up SG +0.92 each round of gold he has played.

His last 4 here have him finishing @ 17th, 12th, 43rd & CUT but KUCHAR has amassed in his PGA career a staggering x 118 x Top 10s from 569 events (21%).

In those 569 events he has Won 9 x PGA + 15 x 2nds, there is lots more but to highlight why I think he is a lock this week-

17th in SG-Putting
28th in SG-Around the Green

54th in SG Total.

Thats impressive for this 46 yr old who still has much to offer, in his 7 events in 2025 he has finished in Top 50 in 6, with a high finish of T18 @ VALERO TEXAS but he has been super consistent in 2025.

@ 20:14 you can on Betfair get $7.60 for KUCHAR to Top 20, he is only $8.80 to Top 10 this is value to Top 20.

As is the usual I always back all my Players to Win, Top 10 & 20, this time I will go all in for Top 20 and miss Top 10 it make sense.

PLAYING VERY WELL 💪:

PGA The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
TPC CRAIG RANCH
McKinney, Texas, USA
May 1st to 4th
Tee Off @ 21:50pm ( check times)

I would have to say he is in better form than this time last year where he finished in 8th.

That 8th saw him pick up in SG +1.81 eah round, the Winner TAYLOR PENDRITH was +2.06.

KNAPP does in general play far better in Texas that most other events and he comes into this fresh off a 3rd in New Orleans where his Putting came to the fore, he can actually drive long off the Tee as he holds the longest drive on Tour in 2025 (THE SENTRY).

He bounced back to form last week in TEAMS and he really is a player that holds form well, this is his best season to date (from 13 vents in 2025 he ha smade 10 Cuts & 2 x Top 10s + 5 x Top 25s) his ranking is the best to date being #87 OWGR + 40th in Fed Ex.

Unlike 60% of this field he has already secured his spot in many of the signature events in 2025, leaving him to focus on winning this, pressure is pressure, he should not have any here.

I think his price is fair around $50 to Win, he is @ $6.20 to Top 10 & Top 20 @ $3.90

MY ROUGHIE 🤑 TOP 20 ONLY:

PGA The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
TPC CRAIG RANCH
McKinney, Texas, USA
May 1st to 4th
Tee Off @ 21:50pm ( check times)

Kevin Tway may not be on many radars as to win this event he is a huge $

TWAY was CUT in 2021 & 2022 but in 2023 he finished T11 & backed it up in 2024 with a T9 and my NEW stat tool has him @ +1.04 strikes gained (SG) per round.

Does not sound significant but if you use #1 SCHEFFLER as the measuring stick he sits in his last 4 events with results of 47th, 15th, 5th & DNP (did not play) and he averages +1.36 SG.

To further measure this AS IT IS THIS COURSE only TWAY is ranked #312 in OWGR and 201st in Fed Ex rankings.

He is just one of thos eplayers that plays this course better than most.

Unlike all the above, I have only backed him in Top 20, NO i do not think he can Win, we just need him to Top 20. No pressure on him this week.