PGA RBC Heritage 2026 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

What we sent out for the Masters when Tommy was $27-

The grinder in TF can come out to play this week, we like to do comparison between players, so it was a matter of Matt Fitzpatrick V Tommy Fleetwood & Tommy got the nod.

What was sent out for the PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational in early March when TF was $24.

• 3rd x SG: T2G
• 50th x SG: OTT
• 6th x SG: APG
• 25th x SG: ARG
• 20th x SG: PUT
• 65.37% x GIR
• 67.37% x DA
• 94.7% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 78.9% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 69.43 stroke avg
• 1 x PGA Win + 8 x DPWT Wins
• 4/4 x SG metrics

This will be the 1st time we have selected Tommy in 2026 but I watched him yesterday in the TGL playing for Los Angeles Golf Club (LAGC) for future ref but he looked rock solid in all areas of his game albeit indoors.

Looked a good tune up for this.

He is knocking on the door with both results in 2026 so good-

• 4th x PGA @ AT & T Pebble Beach with 67, 68, 67, 66 for -20
• 7th x PGA @ Genesis Invitational with 69, 66, 70, 67 for -12

At the Genesis Invitational he was-

• 7th x SG: OTT with +2.080 strokes gained
• 1st x SG: ARG with +4.420 strokes gained

Tommy is around $24 currently on betfair after opening @ $22 on Monday so has met with good support, There is plenty of $26 to $27 unmatched on betfair so I am happy taking $24 or $25 and will have a little bit extra personally on him for the HOPE Scott Scheffler does the usual slow start, be weary though as SS has won this event twice in last 4 years.

Augusta

His best is good enough around the tough course, after results of-

• T21 x 2025 Masters with 73, 69, 75, 69 for 286 (-2)
• T3 x 2024 Masters with 72, 71, 72, 69 for 284 (-4)
• 33rd x 2023 Masters with 72, 71, 74, 74 for 291 (+3)
• T14 x 2022 Masters with 75, 72, 70, 73 for 290 (+2)

We also think after it took years to win his 1st PGA title he did it in such style @ PGA TOUR Championships. That was 2 x 1sts in a season as he also won DPWT in India which was around a very demanding course.

 A stat TF does not get a lot of recognition is around the greens-

• 2nd x SG: ARG

After being as one Analysts who was on the Tommy choker media blitz in 2025 he has shown his grinding is what we can expect his to give this a shake in his 41st MAJOR.

I for one have watched him at all events in 2026 and his last few events he has not looked like he is really pushing himself either, his shots are organically and not pushed and he is shooting for a 19th straight cut made so currently around $27 on betfair after opening @ $25 he is another like Young who could get close to $30 by tee off.

Tommy does sit 5th x SG: T2G with +1.606 shots gained on avg per round in 2026.

For Harbour Town-

Day 4 ruined his Masters effort but on Day 1 he had +3.65 strokes gained (Total) which was made up of-

• SG: OTT @ +0.073 strokes gained
• SG: APG @ +1.25
• SG: ARG @ +0.60
• SG: PUT @ +1.07
• SG: T2G = +2.58

Day 2 @ Augusta saw a big bounce back as he was +4.06 strokes gained just in Putting, he followed day 2 up with a moderate day 3 with his only positive in strokes gained Off the Tee and Day 4 only compounded after losing -3.02 strokes Around the Greens but he did have again positives strokes gained Off the Tee.

We spend a lot of time watching players & for Tommy the cog just has not ticked over, meaning he is close and only confidence will change this in his mind set.

His normal stats can be relied upon around Harbour Town where he has been-

• T7 x 2025
• T49 x 2024
• T15 x 2023
• T10 x 2022

What we need from players this week is a better than usual Approach game as we say it each week but around this course the 2^nd shot really will matter. Tommy is currently ranked in 2026-

• 28^th x SG: APG
• 5^th x SG: T2G
• 2^nd x SG: ARG
• 9^th x Driving Accuracy @ 67.56%

Whilst his putting prowess can often let him down we have seen him rally in too many events, like most leading players they can putt well when it matters.

TF opened on betfair late Monday night around $23 and there was as much as $27 on betfair on Tuesday night, he has met with support with $25 his firm point in the market. As advised above the cog is just about to turn for Tommy, he has been so close.

Si Woo was last selected by us back in Mid-January as the LATE MAIL @ $40.

• 5th x SG: T2G
• 30th x SG: OTT
• 29th x SG: APG
• 11th x SG: ARG
• 161st x SG: PUT
• 66.67% x Greens in Regulation
• 66.79% x Driving Accuracy
• 73.35% x Made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (10/10)
• 43.35% x Top 25 in 2025 + 60% in 2026 (6/10)
• ¾ x Strokes gained metrics
• 69.72 stroke avg
• 4 x PGA wins

When we sent SWK as the late mail for the PGA SONY Open he was good when finishing T11 @ -10 but his putting was the significant factor that prevented him from winning, that was however 12 weeks ago and since SWK in 2026 has been very good-

• 10 straight cuts made for 100%
• 1st x Proximity to hole
• 4th x SG: T2G
• 3rd x SG: APG

Whilst his putting is still labouring in 2026 his overall Tee to Green play is impressive and I can happily ignore his 47th @ Masters.

If we dive deeper into his Putting stats in his most recent T10 @ PGA Valero Open this is what he produced over 4 days with rounds of 70, 70, 70, 67 for -11.

• 13th x SG: OTT @ +2.665 strokes gained
• 14th x SG: APG @ +4.025
• 60th x SG: ARG losing -1.795 strokes
• 32nd x SG: PUT @ +2.279
• T10 x SG: Total @ +7.175
• T1 x Driving Accuracy @ 67.86% (38/56)
• T27 x Greens in Regulation @ 62.50% (45/72)

SWK has shown in more than 50% of his events he has ended up in +SG so his last 2 results around Harbour Town are effective-

• T8 X 2025
• T18 x 2024

With his proven driving accuracy along with being one of the best iron players on tour all we require is SWK to sink a few putts to be featuring on Sunday.

We cooled right off SWK after Hawaii as he too is another player where Putting lets him down, in saying that there have been very slow improvements in that part of his skill set, he does however shine with his wedge & Iron play and this course suits him more than 70% of the field.

After opening around $32 on betfair he drifted right out to $40 which was available until being crunched into $36, We think +$40 is fair value. He should be in the mix.

We were following Jake and after giving him a rest we are back on this charge due to his super consistent 2026. What we sent out when selected by PGT for The Players Championships @ $55-

A late withdrawal from last week's PGA AP just before tee off, which the illness was not announced but from what I can find he wanted to ensure full tilt this week.

No stranger to us @ PGT we have been riding his success in 2026 because of-

• T11 @ PGA Sony Open
• T5 @ PGA Farmers Insurance
• 8th @ PGA WM Phoenix Open
• T8 @ PGA AT & T Pebble Beach Pro am
• 6th @ PGA Genesis Invitational

At Pebble Beach, I honestly thought he was going to win but he laboured on day 4 and despite his eagle on the 18th that only saved his normal day into positive figures with -1 (71).

His other day were solid.

So far in 2026 he is ranked higher than 2025 in the following-

• 2nd x SG: Total
• 11th x SG: T2G
• 27th x SG: OTT
• 32nd x SG: APG
• 67th x GIR @ 69.42%
• 4th x SG: PUT

Although he may sit above the tour avg on driving accuracy with his +60% he is known for his bombing of fairways and does sit 7th currently in distance, however I will take accuracy especially around courses with 4 inch roughs, it was frustrating watching players last week including the 5 stroke leader, Daniel Berger find the rough & not the fairway.

Hopefully the rest works in JK favour and we would like to see his start fast but from 20 rounds of golf over 5 events JK has only just missed 3 strokes gained metrics from that 20 and they were very minor preventing 100% in all SG metrics-

• -0.11 strokes lost in SG: ARG @ PGA Genesis Invitational
• -0.41 strokes lost in SG: ARG @ PGA Farmers Insurance Open
• -0.09 strokes lost in SG: APG @ Sony Open

JK has such a sweet swing on approach, and he is one of the most consistent golfers so far in 2026 making 100% cuts (5/5) & 100% in top 25 in 2026 (5/5).

After opening around $48 on Monday on betfair, MJ foolishly went early @ $50, there is now plenty of $55 on offer and try pushing for +$60 on the exchange. All JK has to do is carry through his very good form so far.

Harbour Town

Because we have previously tipped JK you always watch them when you do not select them but so far our trending players have resulted in 8 winners so why did we cool off JK?

Through most events in 2026 he always has 2 very good rounds and that has been on display at events like-

• PGA AT & T Pebble Beach rounds of 66 (Day 1), 66 (Day 2)
• PGA Genesis Invitational rounds of 65 (Day 2), 66 (Day 4)
• PGA Texas Houston Open with 62 (Day 4)

We here know he can go very low and he has gone-

• 24 rounds under 70 from 30 for 80%

This is significant and we know his results have been one of the very best on tour in 2026, he has vaulted up the rankings with-

• 1^st x SG: Total
• 2^nd x SG: PUT
• 30% GIR
• 1^st x Scrambling from the rough @ 85.11%

He has also made 7/8 cuts in 2026.

If there is ever a player that is overdue for a Win in 2026 it is clearly him, He opened around $44 on betfair and there is plenty of $50 and I think +$55 and more is feasible. Another player that we can ignore his Masters effort but across all 4 days he was solid and also happy to ignore the fact he has only played Harbour Town once in the last 5 years.

From our Masters summary-

Our first time picking JB in 2026 despite him sitting ranked 40th in our player roster/database.

• 126th x SG: T2G
• 126th x SG: OTT
• 124th x SG: APG
• 61st x SG: ARG
• 21st x SG: PUT
• 65.19% Greens in regulation
• BTA below tour driving accuracy on tour
• 63.3% made cuts in 2025
• 30.5% T25 in 2025
• 0 rated
• 2/4 x SG metrics
• 91 stroke avg
• 0 x PGA wins

A lot has changed for JB since the Win & he now sits currently in PGA 2026-

• 37th x SG: T2G
• 2nd x SG: Total
• 51st x SG: OTT
• 22nd x SG: APG
• 114th x SG: ARG
• 1st x SG: PUT
• 25th x GIR @ 69.44% (high for PGA)
• 72nd x DA @ 59.23%
• 100% x Made cuts in 2026 (8/8)
• 100% x T25 in 2026 (8/8)
• +2 rated
• ¾ x SG metrics
• Stroke avg 69.25
• 1 x PGA Win

There is so much going for JB in 2026, the fact that he has made 8 from 8 cuts but also 8 x T25 finishes is crazy, Rory, try as he may could not run him down when JB won @ PGA Genesis Invitational in late February 2026.

Around Augusta he may be relatively new with this his debut but he is in red hot form and around $100 on betfair now after as much as $120 & $130 was available, I think after the rush is over soon, he will find at least $120 on betfair, you could try getting matched for that through Thursday at least.

Very slick putting so if he cannot let the nerves get to him, he can pick up +1.5 to +2 strokes gained per round especially if he can minimise losses in strokes around the green.

We will get a good gauge on the first 18 holes whether JB is settling well into his 1st Major.

Harbour Town

We just must include JB around this course, His game has been rock solid leading into the Masters and his Putting should ensure he picks up a few strokes on the field each day here.

• Shooting for 10 straight PGA events in +SG: Total

That is breaking down he has 100% in his 2026 events where he has finished in positive strokes gained, despite his putting losing -0.45 strokes @ the Maters that is very rare as that is his go to skill.

After opening around $55 on betfair there is plenty of $65 available and The Stig & MJ see him as the best value player this weekend, His putting will take him a long way this weekend.

What was sent out for ST for the PGA Valspar-

What we sent out last week for the PGA Players when Sahith was $90-

• 147th x SG: T2G
• 135th x SG: OTT
• 134th x SG: APG
• 95th x SG: ARG
• 138th x SG: PUT
• 65.56% GIR
• BTA x DA
• 73.9% made cuts in 2025
• 93 stroke avg
• 1 x PGA win

ST is our project player @ PGT & he was selected & he is showing tremendous form over on TGL as a member of Los Angeles GC and on watching every game so far in 2026 he looks very good indoors.

Another player The Stig & MJ have been following waiting for him to hit Gold/pay dirt he proved his mettle last week for his best result since returning from a lengthy injury (full detailed summary is in our past selections on website) & new mental approach to the game with-

• T8 x PGA American Express with -21 (71, 64, 67, 65)

Most Analysts have been missing his slow & steady improvement, so it does bite a bit that he goes around this week around $80 when we @ PGT have been following between $120 to $200 in other events.

What has stuck is his ability Off the Tee which is favoured around the 2 courses @ Torrey Pines, His 2025 stats are to be ignored due to the long-term injury but if we look closer into his past 7 events he did make the cut in 6.

He went from the PGA Procore in Mid-September of 2025 & steadily improved, his Driving stats were his staple, and we saw that on full display last week in California but surprisingly he featured high up in the rankings in putting-

• 3rd x SG: Putting @ +4.051 stroke gained

That must have ST smiling from ear to ear, combine this with his consistent driving-

• T41 x Driving Accuracy @ 66.07% (37/56) fairways found
• 17th x Driving Distance @ 317.00 yds

His best driving accuracy came on Day 2 & 3-

• T5 x Driving Accuracy @ 85.71% (12/14)- day 2
• T16 x Driving Accuracy @ 78.57% (11/14)- day 3

It is one thing to hit the ball long which there are players this week that can but often they are around 50% in finding fairways which means that 2nd shot is likely going to be tough, in the rough on both the NC & SC this week the rough is 3 to 4 inches thick, you want accuracy as well this week.

Thanks to his T10 finish he also gets a free ride into a few of the PGA signature events coming up.

Last week at Arnold Palmer-

• 27th x SG: OTT @ +0.540 strokes gained
• 8th x SG: APG @ +4.029
• 2nd x SG: ARG @ +4.900
• 36th x SG: PUT losing -0.602 strokes
• T6 x SG: Total @ +8.867
• T29 x Driving Accuracy @5 7.14% (32/56)
• 12 x Driving Distance @ 314.60 yds
• T15 x GIR @ 63.89% (46/72)

Whilst all eyes were on Bhatia (he did come from 5 off) Theegala went 7 birdies with only 1 bogey on 15th hole to end his weekend with a -6 and overall, -10 & 6th finish locking up a start at the US Masters.

We have been following ST and if he can put 4 days together then he figures here, we are waiting for it & on Monday he opened around $80 on betfair and drifted to $100 before firming a touch yesterday between $90 to $95, I would suggest waiting to see if you can get matched around +$110, if he clicks he can easily do a "Bhatia", on AB it will be interesting to see if he can keep the ball on the fairway around TPC Sawgrass, or will he miss the cut?

Finally, ST is playing some incredible golf, this is a massive shave off his normal price but considering there is NO Scheffler, Rory, Tommy and company then we will gladly take the $44 available now on betfair, I saw early $40 and expected him to come into $34 but the weight of money for Xander seems to be allowing others to slightly drift.

Just like Sepp Straka last week, we do not go back to the well too often, so ST is on his last chance until we rest him.

Harbour Town

As clearly advised above, we had to rest ST as he just was not getting the job done and sometimes players just do not, Henley, Straka & Spieth are in the rest corner for now & yes it can often scare us when you see them contending, although HENLEY I never gave a hope even when he charged last week on day 4.

There is a bit of love for ST this week from other analysts which usually we tend to run the other way but there is only 82 players so the pool is smaller than the 150 to 175 players you would normally have.

It is also relevant to mention that PGAs Rob Bolton has picked ST as his sleeper pick, it drives me nuts when they do due to their poor winning strike rate overall, however we chose him well before he sent it out.

Why ST?

Like many players he suffers from 4 days of consistent golf, but he has stacked his chances with

• 90% made cuts in 2026 (9/10)

After being Cut @ PGA Valspar which we sent him out @ odds of $44 he bounced back strongly with a good result-

• T10 @ PGA Texas Children's Houston Open with 67, 67, 66, 68 for -12

It was a good return to form and instils much more positivity so we can go back to the well with this player who has surged to 26^th in FedEx rankings.

Watch ST with our own eyes every week tells us he is playing even better than his stats are recording, to explain is his stats are past history and some of his putts have only just being missed by the narrowest of margins, he is currently ranked 29th in Putting, had a few of his putts sunk than just missed he could easily be ranked well inside the T10.

We happily will take +$80 on betfair after he opened around $70 on Monday (late night) & seeing Scheffler stifles markets (although is drifting) see how much more you can get matched on betfair for Sahith.

What we sent out for the Aussie @ The Players Championships-

The 2nd of our Late Mails last week @ the AP-

Is the risker of the 2 players as our Late Mail, not based on odds but MWL needs to get back to his better around green play & sink a few more putts which we saw in the first 36 holes like below-

• 25th x SG: OTT @ +0.612 strokes gained
• 3rd x SG: APG @ +4.412
• 6th x SG: ARG @ +2.264
• 33rd x SG: Putting @ +0.118
• 6th x SG: Total @ +7.421
• 17th x Driving Accuracy @ 64.29% (27/42)
• 15th x Driving Distance @ 314.80 yds
• T13 GIR @ 64.81% (35/54)
• T15 x Sand Saves @ 66.67% (2/3)

On day 3 MWL

• 6th x SG: OTT @ +1.181strokes gained
• 3rd x SG: APG @ +2.477
• 31st x SG: ARG losing -0.307 strokes
• 23rd x SG: Putting losing -0.111 strokes
• T4 x SG: Total @ +3.254
• T9 x Driving Accuracy @ 71.43% (10/14)
• T2 x Greens in Regulation @ 77.78% (14/18)
• T14 x Scrambling @ 75.00% (3/4)

Something the current leader who did so well on Day 1 & 2 which was sweet striking iron play, but Berger went from 67% & 83% greens in regulation to 62% on day 3 which is concerning as remember what we wrote for Sepp that Berger has been selected by us twice?

Both Late Mails are ranked 1st & 2nd in GIR % and although SS has dialled his putting in better than MWL on day 3, we also like what both players are doing in finding fairways, it has been a hard slog for players especially after it rained getting the ball out from 3 to 4-inch Bermuda grass.

It is very possible more rain & wind is coming, seeing it is Florida after all.

Last week MWL struggled early on the front 9 with 4 x bogeys which meant he had erased any hope of mounting a serious challenge when we had high expectations. Then all we could do was ponder what may have been when he went up a gear to finish with-

• 5 birdies on the back 9 on day 4

With 7 straight finishes from 7 events so far in the new 2026 season MWL can now prove he belongs to contest with the best of them, His best play is when he attacks the flag like most young aggressive players, he needs to stop over thinking and go for it.

After opening up @ $40 on betfair there is plenty of $44 to even pushing $46 available, MWL is growing in confidence and despite the last 6 winners of this event being in the T10 in OWGR that could be skewed with Rory & Scheffler winning most.

Harbour Town

The Aussie we expect so much from, whilst Jason Day has been there and done that along with other proven Australians on tour the 2026 should really be a breakout for the likeable lad.

MWL had an early weekend as he was Cut from the Masters with poor rounds of 78 & 77 which was his first missed cut in 2026 from 8 events so I can accept that his previous 7 events he was 100% making it into the final 36 holes.

There is NO CUT this week plus of the +20 videos of interviews he really is a player that strives for perfection so he would have gone back to the range since Augusta and we expect him to come out guns a blazing, he was after all-

• T2 @ PGA Pebble Beach
• T6 @ PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational
• T3 x PGA Texas Children's Houston Open

After opening around $75 on betfair, which I was grinning, as he normally opens between $35 to $44 so why are we now getting double what his price is normally? No doubt many punters unsure of what happened @ Masters. We cannot forget how good his previous 2026 had been going so strongly.

Now out to $85 on betfair, I would suggest trying for more, even around $100 to try & get matched. If Scott Scheffler was not in the market then MWL could be as low as $23 on my calculations.

What we sent out for DB when $100 for the PGA WM Phoenix Open-

• 27th x SG: T2G
• 17th x SG: OTT
• 27th x SG: APG
• 150th x SG: ARG
• 135th x SG: PUT
• 68.21% GIR
• 66.42% Driving accuracy
• 81.8% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2)
• 40.9% top 25 in 2025
• 70.29 stroke avg
• 4 x PGA Wins

Regardless of what we consider a so so result @ the Amex he still has had back-to-back events with-

• -11 & -14

We chose the "Burger" for the PGA American Express after giving him a vote of confidence & some of what we wrote-

"A player that struggles to reach his potential on the PGA due to numerous injuries in his career. It was great to see him get into the thick of it at last week's PGA Sony Open in Hawaii with his T6 with -11.

In 2025 before his injury he started in early February on a run of 7 straight events all in positive strokes in all SG metrics including putting, in the run that finished in late April @ the PGA RBC Heritage he finished T2 X 2 & 1 x 3rd, his run continued with 10 straight cuts made, he started having injuries with his wrist & finger from April onwards".

• He will be looking to go one better than his T2 in 2025 here

For the Amex he was around $70 so his current price on betfair around $100 is very fair and acceptable considering his "Potential"

Harbour Town

DB is the riskiest play this week due to the simple fact he has missed a cut last week @ a Major so I can always excuse that but he did perform moderately @ PGA The Players after rounds of 72, 74, 75, 73 for +6.

In other words, he would have been cut with a score similar to that.

There has been some glimmer of form though as he has finished in the 4 strokes gained metrics we measure in our own database just above 50%, his best skill is his Irons play and even @ Masters he only lost -0.52 strokes, very acceptable.

At The Players even with his +6 he still had +0.95 strokes gained on Approach & we accept that after being beaten by Akshay Bhatia when he was 2^nd outright @ PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational would be a bitter pill to swallow.

This week is a risky play, After going through all players we kept coming back to DB so despite us declaring that he is a risky play we also cannot lose that instinctive play we rely on as well.

We will know which version of DB has turned up on Day 1 as he is in group 25 and they are only pairing up this week & he will be playing with Garrick Higgo. Around $90 on betfair currently after opening around $75, there is no support so I suggest aiming above +$100.

His best is easily good enough, there is no injury concerns just his mentality to bounce back after a playoff loss.

The Dane is a tough player to absorb most weeks; this is what we sent out for the PGA Valspar-

• 43rd x SG: T2G
• 56th x SG: OTT
• 11th x SG: APG
• 166th x SG: ARG
• 53rd x SG: PUT
• 70.41% GIR
• 65% Driving Accuracy
• 64.7% made cuts in 2025 & 100% in 2026 (5/5)
• 42% top 25 in 2025 + 75% in 2026 (4/5)
• 69.48 stroke avg
• 0 x PGA wins & 3 DPWT Wins

The Dane is one of our more favoured players on the DP World Tour and like many from that tour they are yet to Win on USA soil to claim their first PGA victory.

NH kicked off 2026 with a most recent T4 @ HERO Dubai Desert Classic at the end of January after an ordinary result of T52 @ Dubai Invitational.

Both courses very similar but it was 8 weeks in between events for the young Danish star when competing in Dubai after a busy 2025, so we considered that the main reason for his poor showing considering-

• -1.08 strokes lost x SG: OTT on avg each day
• -2.66 stokes lost x SG: Total

We have made that stat apparent as his driving is one of his stronger attributes and throughout 2025 had-

• 18 of 25 events in positive strokes gained Off the Tee (4 of those less than -0.50 strokes lost)

That could have easily improved from a very good 72% to 88% in SG: OTT & to be fair it is only a matter of time like we saw with Finnish player Sami Valimaki breaking through on the PGA tour.

What we can trust from NH is his strong driving stats & on DPWT he brings-

• 7th in SG: OTT in 2025
• 2nd in Driving Distance in 2025 with 323.14 yards (Rory was 323.18)

LAST WEEK @ PGA The Players his normally best stat he struggled in-

• 72nd x SG: Off the Tee losing -4.780 strokes
• 28th x SG: Approach to Green @ +2.193 strokes gained
• 22nd x SG: Around the Green @ +1.695 SG
• 3rd x SG: Putting @ +5.545 SG
• T27 x SG: Total @ +4.653
• T71 x Driving Accuracy @ 42.86% (24/56)

It is rare for Nicolai to lose strokes off the tee and in fact the Dane has only lost strokes in 4 of his last 25 word wide-

• 21 of 25 events in +strokes gained OTT for last 12 months

Yet to win on USA soil, however he did give the New Orleans event a big nudge with twin Rasmus.

Now cashing in all of his last 5 starts on PGA he looks determined to get the 1st victory & somewhere we have summarised we consider Nicolai to be the better of the Hojgaard players but currently after opening around $38 on betfair he is now being offered around $42, The better the price the happier I will be.

There are a few players shorter than him such as Ryo Hisatsune as a comparable that I would NOT entertain before having my last $20 on a player. I think NH is value.

Harbour Town

Firstly, NH was tipped @ $42 to win by us @ Valspar, right behind him we tipped JJ Spaun @ $44 well sometimes you have to persevere on players, certain courses fit players better than others, but he nearly bit us in the bum when he finished 2^nd @ PGA Texas Children's Open the week later but thankyou Gary Woodland for your superior effort to win.

He like Berger we kept coming back to and I know I sound like a broken down record player but I can easily excuse players for non-performing at Majors.

This is what NH did when 2^nd-

• 4^th x SG: OTT @ +3.681strokes gained
• 1^st x SG: APG @ +6.687
• 29^th x SG: ARG @ +1.140
• 37^th x SG: PUT @ +1.543
• 2^nd x SG: Total @ +13.052
• T64 x Driving Accuracy @ 44.23% (23/52)
• T9 x Greens in Regulation @ 73.61% (53/72)

**Now I just want to highlight a stat of some concern, that is his DA @ 44% that is well below the PGA Tour average but of course we dived deeper and he had lows of 38% not once but twice on days 1 & 3 but splitting that on day 2 was a high of 61.54% (8/13 fairways found).

Just off the top of my head, I have watched both Danish twins for many years and both are very handy Off the Tee in general terms Nicolai has-

• 19 of 25 events in POSITIVE strokes gained on OTT

I am treating his 44% driving accuracy as an anomaly in Texas and we better hope so as the fairways @ Harbour town are much narrower and there are so many low hanging branches, we will rely on his strong Iron play to pick up strokes.

When we looked at odds for this NH was $170 so even, we missed such luxurious overs as looking on betfair he is currently around $110, there is not many punters loading up at this price, wait and see if he drifts, I suggest $150 is a fair price to accept.

He can be hard to catch but we liked him in the latest PGA event Texas Children's Open when selected this is what we summarised-

• 36th x SG: T2G
• 26th x SG: OTT
• 15th x SG: APG
• 139th x SG: ARG
• 109th x SG: PUT
• 47th x Driving Distance @ 307.80
• 19th x Driving distance All drives @ 299
• 86% x Driving Accuracy
• 56% x GIR

We saw with KK when he stormed into 2nd @ PGA Genesis Invitational that he can putt with the best of them as it was also on the very trying poa annua greens which tricked most that weekend, but he did sit in 14th overall in SG: PUT picking up +3.112 strokes.

What also was impressive was his -7 (64) on day 4 which he did also card on Day 2.

Another player that is suited around Memorial and he cashed in for T36 in 2024 & T39 in 2025, but he is also playing better golf coming into this weekend.

He was also around $46 before the withdrawal of SS so he is currently around $38 on betfair but I suggest trying to get matched for +$45.

Harbour Town

This course presents similar to the Riviera Country Club (Genesis) + Bay Hill (Arnold Palmer) where the 2^nd shot really sets you up and Approach play imperative around Harbour Town.

KK is another player who has not really been shining bright in his last 3 stats yet his overall game not that bad to the eye (what we see visually each event).

• Cut x PGA The Players Championships
• T60 x PGA Texas Children's Hoston Open
• 51^st x Masters

This event he can get back to doing what he does so well-

• 11^th x SG: APG in 2026

KK has a very high Greens in Regulation avg with near 71% (9^th in 2026) & honestly not concerned as he proved on the toughest of poa annua greens he can put as well as any player on any weekend (when hot of course)-

• 14^th x SG: PUT @ +3.112 strokes gained @ PGA Genesis Invitational
• 20^th x SG: PUT @ +1.624 @ PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational

After diving deep into his stats, he struggles around the greens so to be competing as well as he is in putting is a credit.

Looking at his strokes gained metrics he sist well above 80% in those that we measure so it will be interesting to what version of Kurt we get on Day 1, despite a NO CUT policy for this event he will still need to start with the field, giving starts is just too hard in this 82 player line up.

• Oddly he even had +1.09 strokes gained for PUTTING @ Masters

After opening around $110 on betfair when markets opened (late Monday night AEST) there is zero support and he is hovering around $140 to $150 but I would suggest trying to get matched on betfair between $170 to $200, it is possible but not a guarantee.

What we sent out in summary for this Canadian when tipped @ $120 @ Masters

What PGT sent out for the PGA THE Players when we liked the Canadian @ $100-

• 39th x SG: T2G
• 24th x SG: OTT
• 39th x SG: APG
• 146th x SG: ARG
• 67th x SG: PUT
• 69.2% x GIR
• 66.64% x DA
• 85.3% made cuts in 2025 + 80% in 2026 (4/5)
• 57.2% top 25 in 2025 + 20% in 2025 (1/5)
• 4/4 x SG metrics
• 70 stroke avg
• 2 x PGA wins

This Canadian has always had difficulty around the greens and his putting often loses the positives strokes he picks up on the field off the tee.

Last week there was improvement-

• 22nd x SG: OTT @ +0.983 strokes gained
• 3rd x GIR @ 72.22% (52/72)
• 9th x SG: APG @ +3.738
• 23rd x SG: ARG @ +0.494
• 49th x SG: Putting losing -5.348 strokes
• T33 x SG: Total losing -0.133 strokes
• T2 x Driving Accuracy @ 73.21% (41/56)

He may have lost more than 5 strokes in putting overall and the -1 for the event may have you scratching your head but on days 1 & 4 he was ranked in the T30 in Putting, his Achilles heel but if he can use his usually slick approach play then convert some decent birdie chances, his driving accuracy should allow that set up here, there is 4 x par 5s.

He is flying under the radar, and he does because of his usually weaker putting, again we saw Bhatia have a breakout last weekend, he has won 2 already on PGA so it seems the theme for 2026 is players who have won 2 winning 3?

There are a few analysts out there wanting to tip him for T20 & T30, those markets are very diluted and why we prefer to play mostly in WIN markets but CC has been pretty firm since opening around $90, there is around $100 currently on betfair, I could not get matched for $130 but will try again closer to tee off.

Augusta

At THE Players, he gave us a great sight at odds as he was-

• T10 after day 1 @ -3
• T4 after day 2 @ -8
• T4 after day 3 @ -8

After losing -2 strokes on the final 18 holes he finished in T13 @ -6 with the 74 really nailing shut his coffin for that event.

There are a few players between $50 to $90 here for the Masters that I would have at bigger odds than this Canadian who generally does have a good all-round account for himself here in Georgia.

• T8 x 2025
• T38 x 2024
• CUT x 2023
• T6 x 2022
• T8 x 2021
• T10 x 2020 (covid delayed)

4 from 6 x T10 finishes in his Masters resume and whilst he has contested 28 x Majors his best results in the BIG ones are here around Augusta.

In the last 10 years it can be said that "Putting" does not win this one, whilst it will help it really will come down to who has crisp approach shots over the 4 days.

CC has made 7 of 8 cuts so far in 2026 (87.5% making cuts) so if he can just have one of his best events in putting there is no reason he cannot be in the finish.

Around $120 on betfair currently he is our roughie for the event, and I did see $140 to $150 on Monday night so you can always see if you can get matched for greater odds.

I did look @ T10 markets and there was also plenty of +$7 and with his proven T10 (4/6) you could always consider covering the play with that market, It is not an official selection, just advising the possibilities. A lot has been speculated in the media that this could be a 1st time winner with some lingering questions on the Favs, I will remind myself and many others usually that is not the case but again we are value finders so why not his history is hard to ignore.

Harbour Town

After his 16 x bogeys + 3 double bogeys around Augusta it ruined any chance, he may have had to figure high on the leader board.

He was trying and you could see frustration creep into his game (like a fair few) but on Day 3 he was up & down on most holes, that meaning just as he would birdie one he would bogey then next, 5 of the 16 bogeys were on Day 3.

The brightest stat around Augusta was-

• T1 x Eagles (2)

We can easily excuse last week as CC was also in positive strokes gained in both SG: APG & SG: ARG & to be fair he only lost -0.21 strokes in SG: PUT but that stroke gain metric he has always lost shots, in fact in only 10 of his last 25 events has he been in +SG when putting.

Despite Harbour Town having the 11^th smallest greens on PGA tour it is his very good approach play we will hope he leans more on. In just his last 4 straight events he has been in +SG: APG-

• T49 x PGA Masters @ +0.48 SG
• T14 x PGA Valspar @ +1.34 SG
• T13 x PGA The Players @ +1.76 SG
• T33 x PGA Arnold Palmer @ +1.31 SG

Even more impressive is he has been in + SG: APG-

• 19 of his last 25 events in +strokes gained APG

His last 5 visits around Harbour Town Golf links he has featured-

• T49 x 2025
• T44 x 2024
• T31 x 2023
• T12 x 2022
• T4 x 2021

It is a course he can be expected to feature on, when markets opened up here late Monday night he was $130 on betfair & I did see as much as $180 as of yesterday, his current win price on betfair is around $150 but you could try and get matched for +$170 is the bracket I suggest (not recommend) prices are only suggested as there are so many markets out there available, price is a guide only. If you can get greater it is a no brainer

The last 2 players are our roughies, if they have a good weekend they can figure.

What we sent out for Jordy @ PGA Farmers when he was $210-

Does not currently sit within our Top 115 players in our database but he was very good last week in California.

• 50th x SG: OTT @ -0.135
• 32nd x SG: APG @ +1.229 avg per day
• 41st x SG: ARG
• 42nd x SG: PUT
• T45 x SG: Total @ +0.582 avg per day
• T34 x Driving Accuracy @ 67.86% (38/56)
• 43rd x Driving Distance @ 307.40 yds
• Longest Drive @ 330.00 yds
• T18 x Greens in Regulation @ 79.17% (57/72)

He finished last week over the 3 courses which is not something the English are used to as they have several Links courses here and there, but I thought he was one of the better performers from the beaten brigade-

• T27 @ -17 rounds of 64, 70, 68. 69

Another DPWT player who has his card stamped for all of 2026 PGA events so expect to see more of him as he has won 6 events in total, 2 of them on the DPWT.

Looking around at odds not many give him a chance, but he is IMO one of the Top 20 long iron players in this line up & around $210 seems acceptable IMO.

Harbour Town

Currently ranked 29^th in SG: APG across all PGA players in 2026 his ball striking can take him a long way this weekend, no cut means players should play nice & loose.

As our database has grown from 100 players to now 130 this Englishman has made I into our top 100 being ranked 99, his PGA rankings much higher-

• 52^nd x SG: OTT
• 24^th x SG: T2G (his highest and well above most this field)
• 21^st x SG: OTT
• 29^th x SG: APG
• 61% x Driving Accuracy
• 8^th x GIR @ 70.74%
• 13^th x Going for the Green @ 74.23%
• 4^th x Final round scoring Average @ 67.67

There are so many stats we do not write up, we look at every stat available to us but there is one that has improved significantly and that is-

• 4th x Final round scoring Average @ 67.67

To be so highly ranked & knowing that we can expect on avg his 67,67 is paramount as I could not tell you how many PGA players can go rounds of 66 all day to then struggle with 70 or 71 on day 4, it all matters.

If anyone gets the chance and hopefully, he does not prove us wrong, watch his approach play, his 4-8 irons are a wonder to watch.

Hopefully this roughie this week can get amongst the action, after opening around $320 on betfair he has continually drifted and now as much as $390 is available on betfair and whilst there is less than $20 available to be matched, I suggest waiting and strive for +$400.

If he is up there with his strong SG: APG the rest of his game will follow nicely along.

The Finnish player is the 2^nd of our roughies for the weekend but he is no stranger to us through 2024 to 2026- What we sent out when selected @ $240 for the PGA Farmers.

• 102nd x SG: T2G
• 157th x SG: OTT
• 18th x SG: APG
• 147th x SG: ARG
• 10th x SG: PUT
• 69.02% GIR
• 62.39% DA
• 65.4% made cuts in 2025
• 34.6% top 25 in 2025 in PGA events
• 69.68 stroke avg
• 1 x PGA win

We would normally like to see closer to 80% to making Cuts but another European player we discovered and to be honest we missed him when he won @ RSM Classic in late November but we were on the young likeable Finnish player when T2 @ Omega European Masters & again T2 @ PGA WWT in early November, 2025.

He has a nice touch and before he won on PGA he had won 6 other events, with 2 being good DPWT events & to be fair had a host of 2nds over 3 years even finishing 2nd @ PGA Mexico Open to Jake Knapp & they both streeted the field, behind them were Robert Macintyre, Maverick McNealy to name a few that sit in the Top 30 in the OWGR.

SV is not a big bomber but he has climbed to 13th in SG: OTT for 2026 and he has such a nice touch on Approach and once on the greens he is one of the better putters so if he can hang with the bombers this week then you never know at his current odds of $240, I rate the English ahead of his slightly but this week has upset written all over it.

Harbour Town

I guess just being @ Masters is going to help but I was critical of the American players that when to Scotland to play and how they struggled. Perhaps players when ready should just go and it does not surprise me that the player from Finland with absolutely no expectation this weekend according to his odds only could very well surprise a fair few.

He does tend to bob up when there is no expectation upon him.

Above we shared that we were on him in Europe and he stretched some very good players & Often I never will say "Just ignore stats" but this game is more than that, everything can change in a heartbeat and those contending have a brain snap, who even knows there mental game from the day before was disrupted by a domestic argument or no sleep from the newborn baby, all factors roll into each player when they tee off each day.

If everything were to go well then this breed of newer PGA players like Higgo, Hisatsune & Potgieter all had proven DPWT form before finding their way on PGA tour, yes Hitsasune is the only no winner on PGA from this group but we know him so well when he won the Cazoo (French) Open for us, hard to forget die to his monster price but he came from 8 shots off the leaders on Day 4.

Proving anything is possible, a quick flashback of when NACHO won @ $290, Lowry was home & yet I keep saying "it is never over" we have witnessed some incredible finishes just in 2026.

It is always nice when its one of our roughies.

The Fin & we have seen how good he was when he won the RSM Classic & that was only in late November of 2025 & the best of him thus far in 2024 was his T14 @ PGA Valero (early April) where he was good in 3 of the 4 strokes gained metrics we measure & nipping at the heels of Tommy, SWK & Ludvig to name a few-

• 15^th x SG: OTT @ +2.272 strokes gained
• 33^rd x SG: APG @ +1.650
• 67^th x SG: ARG losing -3.198 strokes
• 5^th x SG: PUT @ +5.450
• 4^th x Driving Accuracy @ 66.07% (37/56)
• T15 x GIR @ 66.67% (48/72)

I will include scrambling as I think its important for players to be able to get out of trouble-

• 11^th x Scrambling @ 79.17% (19/24)
• T17 x Sand Saves @ 66.67% (4/6)

Finally, as we round out the last of our 2 roughies is that the 27 yr old aspired due to growing up on ice to play NHL but after finding an article in near obscurity back in late 2024 he had spent time at the behest of his wife Emilia to speak with Christie Gialloreto who has worked with Canadian Olympians for many years, She was the sports psychologist for team Canada.

It obviously helped; SV now is ranked 57^th in OWGR & if he can just get warm with his putter he can easily feature highly on the leader board each day, he does need a good strong start but around $400 on betfair currently after opening around $310. With most punters not even knowing who he is you could try & get matched for anywhere between $400 to +$500.

Also when our roughies are such big odds, you can always play a bit in T20 markets to cover the play as an example SV is @ $7 to finish in the T20 & in a field of 82 players that is value. Over the last 12 months betfair has changed as previously you would get at least $15 for a T20, hence why we stick to WIN markets mostly.