DPWT PGA Championship 2026 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

DP World Tour, PGA Tour

Course

Aronimink Golf Club

Location

Newtown Square, PA

Date

14 May 2026

2026-05-14

America/New_York

View odds market

Course Overview

Aronimink Golf Club is consistently ranked among the best courses in the United States. The club dates to 1896 and was originally located in Drexel Hill, Pennsylvania. In 1926, the club sold the Drexel Hill location and purchased 300 acres of land in nearby Newtown Square – on which Donald Ross would create a masterful design that consistently ranks as one of the best golf courses in the United States.

For nearly 100 years, Aronimink Golf Club has attracted world class tournaments, including the PGA Championship, Senior PGA Championships, PGA TOUR events, this year’s KPMG Women’s PGA Championship, and it is set to hold another PGA Championship in 2026.

Course

Par 70

7’394 yards

Hole 1 – Par 4, 434
Identity: Demand control immediately
Defining test: Managing slope — downhill tee shot, uphill approach, and a tilted green punish poor distance control.

Status: ⚪ Neutral

Why: Subtle slopes punish mistakes but don’t force disaster early if managed properly

Hole 2 – Par 4, 413
Identity: Blind precision
Defining test: Finding the correct side of a semi‑blind, bunker‑pinched landing area to access a sloping green.

Status: ⚪ Neutral

Why: Avoidance hole — pars are fine, birdies depend on excellent positioning

Hole 3 – Par 4, 455
Identity: Strategic par 4
Defining test: Choosing the correct tee‑shot line through heavy bunkering to open the shallow green.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Extensive bunkering both sides makes poor tee shots costly and limits recovery angles

Hole 4 – Par 4, 457
Identity: Length vs restraint
Defining test: Deciding whether to challenge or carry fairway bunkers to gain a short‑iron approach into a tiered green.

Status: ⚪ Neutral

Why: Big hitters gain advantage, but conservative play still yields par opportunities

Hole 5 – Par 3, 171
Identity: Classic Ross accuracy hole
Defining test: Hitting a precise iron into a tightly bunkered, demanding green complex.

Identity: Classic Ross short iron

Status: ⚪ Neutral

Why: Precision hole — errors cost par, but layout is fair

Hole 6 – Par 4, 402
Identity: Trap‑laden short par 4
Defining test: Positioning off the tee to avoid encroaching bunkers and control spin into a volatile green.

Identity: Trap‑laden short par 4

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Short length tempts aggression, but bunker density and green movement amplify mistakes

Hole 7 – Par 4, 431
Identity: Approach‑dominated
Defining test: Holding a severely sloped green from a partially blind setup — birdie chance only with precision.

Identity: Approach‑dominated

Status: 🟢 Scoring

Why: Strong approach players can attack if they find the correct green section

Hole 8 – Par 3, 242
Identity: Distance judgment
Defining test: Selecting the correct club on a long downhill par 3 with variable teeing and hole locations.

Identity: Distance judgment

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Long iron downhill with variable setups — small errors magnify quickly

Hole 9 – Par 5, 605
Identity: Endurance par 5
Defining test: Handling length and uphill progression while navigating bunker clusters before a relatively forgiving green.

Identity: Endurance par 5

Status: 🟢 Scoring

Why: Lengthy but relatively forgiving green allows birdies, especially after solid positioning shots

Back Nine — Identity & Primary Test

Hole 10 – Par 4, 472
Identity: Penal green complex
Defining test: Controlling trajectory and distance into one of the toughest greens, guarded by water and severe slopes.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Water, elevation, and severe slopes combine into one of the highest bogey rates on the course

Hole 11 – Par 4, 425
Identity: Spin‑control examination
Defining test: Landing the ball precisely uphill — excess spin can repel shots dramatically back into the fairway.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Uphill approach can repel shots dramatically — excellent ball control required

Hole 12 – Par 4, 466
Identity: Pure difficulty
Defining test: Navigating elevation change, a bunkered chute of a fairway, and a raised two‑tier green.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Elevation change, narrow fairway, and elevated green define a true championship par 4

Hole 13 – Par 4, 385
Identity: Risk‑reward wildcard
Defining test: Choosing aggression or restraint off the tee — bunkers and out‑of‑bounds introduce volatility.

Status: 🟢 Scoring (Volatile)

Why: Short length offers birdie chances, but bunkers and nearby out‑of‑bounds create swing potential

Hole 14 – Par 3, 216
Identity: Miss‑and‑suffer par 3
Defining test: Finding the green — surrounding sand leaves par saves difficult if missed.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Surrounding bunkers mean missed greens rarely save par

Hole 15 – Par 4, 546
Identity: Brutal length
Defining test: Using fairway camber correctly to set up a long approach into a massive green.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Longest par 4 — repeated stress on driving and long‑iron accuracy

Hole 16 – Par 5, 555
Identity: Scoring opportunity
Defining test: Holding a shallow green on a long second shot flanked by deep bunkers.

Identity: Attacking par 5

Status: 🟢 Key Scoring

Why: Reachable for many; birdies and eagles separate contenders late

Hole 17 – Par 3, 229
Identity: Championship swing hole
Defining test: Committing to the correct line with water fully in play down the left side — conservative shots still test putting.

Status: 🔴 Extreme Danger

Why: Water fully in play with pressure elevated — tournament‑defining outcomes possible

Hole 18 – Par 4, 490
Identity: Demanding closer
Defining test: Shaping a controlled tee shot and managing elevation into a multi‑tiered finishing green.

Status: 🔴 Danger

Why: Length, trees, bunkers, and a complex green ensure nothing is given on Sunday

Tips Coming: Full selections and analysis, from our chief analyst MJ, will be published Wednesday 13 May 2026 approx 3pm AEST ahead of the event tee-off.

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.

Competitor	Tip Type	Odds	Units	Result	Rationale
Xander Schauffele	Win	21/1(+2100)	3.00	LOSS	15^th x SG: Total 15^th x SG: T2G 19^th x SG: OTT 19^th x SG: APG 106^th x SG: ARG 52^nd x SG: PUT 82^nd x Driving Accuracy @ 58.52% 30^th x Greens in regulation @ 68.42% 9/10 cuts made in 2026 for 90% 4 x T10s in his last 7 events. Last week Xander did struggle with the putter- From PGA Truist over 72 holes 18^th x SG: Off the Tee @ +1.826 strokes gained 55th x SG: Approach to Green losing -2.175 strokes 52^nd x SG: Putting losing -1.661 strokes Now the above was over all 72 holes & he did have a peak day on the opening day- Day 1 x 9^th x SG: Putting @ +2.060 strokes gained Timing is everything & XS has been slowly building his game up in 2026, Winner of 2 x Majors in 2024 (Open Championship + PGA Championship) along with the Gold medal in Tokyo & we can happily forgive Xander for one average weekend last time @ Truist, it is golf after all. Currently around $21 on betfair after opening around $19.5 you could push the envelope and see if you could get matched for $23 or $24. Just on Scott Scheffler, of course he will be thereabouts the course suits his #1 Iron play and he is still 3^rd Off the Tee, it is always a better strategy to back SS after day 1 or 2, his odds at least double for the event on most occasions. 156 players this week so there will be a cut as usual to Top 70 players + ties. 3 units a WIN on XS @ $21 for a possible outcome of around $63 is the goal. Total suggested outlay for the event is 10 units in total out.
Justin Rose	Win	65/1(+6500)	1.00	LOSS	86th x SG: Total 87th x SG: T2G 116th x SG: OTT 24th x SG: APG 143rd x SG: ARG 70th x SG: PUT 66th x Driving Accuracy @ 60.14% 8th x Greens in regulation @ 70.43% 6/9 cuts made in 2026 for 67% 2 x T5s in his last 8 events with one being a 1^st That 1^st was where he donkeys licked the field @ PGA Farmers Insurance in the last weekend of January by 7 shots in which he proved any player can get hot with irons and putting. 21^st x SG: Off the Tee @ +1.664 strokes gained 2^nd x SG: Approach to Green @ +7.257 45^th x SG: Around the Green losing -0.248 strokes 10^th x SG: Putting @ +3.532 1^st x SG: Total @ +12.205 After winning the Farmers he then went T37 @ PGA Pebble Beach before doing his usual CUT & CUT at the 2 following events, they were considered big events with PGA Genesis Invitational & Signature event, PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational. JR is included this weekend after his latest T3 @ Masters this year and he did finish 2^nd beaten in a playoff the previous year & his game in 2026 apart from the 2 cuts ( which he does sit in the lower cut % made) but he last won his solo major victory back in 2013 (US Open) so he does play well often in the bigger events. Last week @ Truist he did just scrape into positive strokes gained in 3 of the 4 metrics we utilise. After opening around $50 on betfair there is plenty of +$65 available and it seems most punters are overlooking Rosey, he can be hit and miss at times but since those 2 cuts back in mid-February & early May he has made 4 straight cuts, that is good enough for us but you could try and get matched on betfair for +$70. His big event game is better than his usual weekly efforts, with a cut on this weekend players will need to be starting with the field though so day 1 scores need be on pace.
Rickie Fowler	Win	70/1(+7000)	1.00	LOSS	Last week @ Truist this is what we sent out- If you were able to witness some spectacular shots from the “man in orange” last week, he is like Kitayama we still must stay on the rollercoaster as if he can put 4 days together, he will win and it will be sooner than later. 26th x SG: Total 51st x SG: T2G 48th x SG: OTT 19th x Driving accuracy @ 63.15% 41st x SG: APG 44th x GIR @ 67.44% 119th x SG: ARG 20th x SG: PUT This week we have stacked the deck with typically strong iron players who can find the greens in 70% of most shots, we want to convert birdies so a few better putters are included. Last week @ Cadillac RF was strong & he finished tied with Kitayama- 30th x SG: OTT @ +0.635 8th x SG: APG @ +3.680 49th x SG: ARG losing -0.826 strokes 30th x SG: PUT @ +0.928 T9 x SG: Total @ +4.417 Fowler is another player who usually plays well around here with his best finish a T4 back in 2019 and other finishes since, I am ignoring his cut last year as his game is far better in 2026. After opening on Monday night around $50 he has slightly drifted to $60 on betfair, there is plenty available at that price and it is a fair price, if RF was $45, I would consider that as acceptable so taking more is just more profitable. Like all players we need to see 4 consistent days of golf from RF. This week- After learning that RF had a sinus infection and a runaway fever it was understandable he carded a 74 on day1, after medication was taken he came out and blazed in 63, 69 & 65. He was 7 shots off the leaders on day 4 and with 5 holes to go he actually held the lead by himself, he was however 3 holes ahead of Alex Fitzpatrick & eventual winner, Kristoffer Reitan. After missing an easy par on 13^th hole (par 3) the bogey was costly he then went on to birdie 14 & 15 and still was in contention until the 18^th, a bogey was costly. Surely the fever that was only reported on after day 1 was the reason it cost him not only victory but he cost me $13k as I was counting cash with 6 holes to go, I mean he was -6 on day 4 coming into the 13^th, that bogey dropped him to a -5 then the 2 birdies were back to a -7 before that lapse of concentration on 18, he knew that mistake had cost him a genuine tilt at winning. He was still a good- 32^nd x SG: Off the Tee @ +0.727 15^th x SG: Approach to Green @ +2.811 16^th x SG: Around the Green @ +1.828 3^rd x SG: Putting @ +5.105 T2 X SG: Total @ +10.472 We are getting similar odds from last week into the PGA which is around $70 on betfair, plenty available around this price and to be fair he should have won last week.
J.J. Spaun	Win	75/1(+7500)	1.00	LOSS	Was one of 2 players sent out as late mail and he did labour with his 69 (-2) on day 4, JJ still finished a good -11 with overall days of- T5 @ Truist with rounds of 69, 70, 65, 69 with 273 strokes for -11 What PGT sent out before teeing off on day 4 with 18 holes to play- 25th x SG: Off the Tee @ +0.758 21st x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.567 48th x SG: Around the Green losing -0.672 strokes 2nd x SG: Putting @ +5.333 T6 x SG: Total @ +6.986 3rd @ Driving Accuracy @ 83.33% (35/42) T24 x Greens in Regulation @ 66.67% (36/54) T9 x Sand Saves @ 80.00% (4/5) 3rd x Scrambling @ 83.33% (15/18) T23 x Birdies @ 12 T4 x Pars @ 39 T2 x Bogeys @ 3 JJ has been very safe and only has 3 bogeys over 54 holes, 1 of those occurred on day 3. I like what we saw on Day 3 and JJ is already a winner earlier defeating our own Michael Kim but usually when JJ starts his form, he will hold it over 6 to 8 weeks and on day 3 we saw his putter come to life- 2nd x SG: Putting @ +3.30 strokes gained This lifted his overall strokes gained total to +4.71 for the day & although his 65 (-6) was good he looks more likely to peak on day 4 than those mentioned earlier in the JT summary. Over the 54 holes we have seen more than 65% of the field finding either water or in the woods, I honestly shake my head at some of the errors, JJ has been good so far with= Day 1 x driving accuracy @ 71.43% (10/14) Day 2 x driving accuracy @ 92.86% (13/14) Day 3 x driving accuracy @ 85.71% (12/14) Lat week JJ @ Truist still finished overall in- 8^th x SG: T2G @ +1.64 strokes gained on avg per round Those players who sit high in the T10 & to T20 in Tee to Green stats will play a significant part in this event. JJ had really good overall play coming into this week & honestly I am shocked that his current betfair price around $75 is generous considering we know he can putt generally better than most & currently I prefer him well above players who have lesser odds such as Morikawa (not convinced his back is good-doubts) DeChambeau (will bunkers undo him? They usually do) then Koepka, (how is he $46 when he cannot beat last weeks Myrtle Beach field) Rahm, he burnt us @ Masters and whilst he plays good golf on LIV he really is yet to transfer to the big boys of late, there are a host of others under SPAUN that JUST should not be. **I even considered splitting the play on Schauffele to allow 2 units on him then 2 units on JJ. JJ just needs a quicker start than usual.
Akshay Bhatia	Win	150/1(+15000)	1.00	LOSS	What we sent out for Bhatia @ last week’s Truist- AB can be very difficult to catch but some of his recent figures surprised even the Stig & MJ. 9th x SG: Total 38th x SG: T2G 124th x SG: OTT 89th x Driving accuracy @ 57.96% 15th x SG: APG 51st x GIR @ 66.83% 43rd x SG: ARG 3rd x SG: PUT The 3rd amongst all putters on the PGA tour is a great achievement but I will declare AB off the tee “scares the life out of me” I have often seen him slice his drives to the other fairway he can be that bad. I had to look up the driving accuracy of his most recent events just to check- 50% of fairways @ PGA Cadillac (28/56) 50% of fairways @ RBC Heritage (35/56) 79% of fairways @ PGA The Players (43/56) Of note his last event was the Cadillac and he has had an easy season in 2026 but he was 1st in driving accuracy @ The Players which was won by Cam Young so very good form and Cam is no slouch off the tee. I mentioned an easy season for AB, his results have been excellent- T3, T6, T16, 1st, T13, T16, T23 from 10 events he has made the cut in 7 but it is the results that follow that are scary good. I watched him last week and he was laughing enjoying the game, his cut @ Masters would have stung as he was close to one of the hottest players on tour so far in 2026, so it was good to see rebounds in the 2 events after which were the T16 & T23. If AB keeps it on the fairway, then the current $100 on betfair seems incredible value from the 24-yr old. This weekend- Last week the one stat that really left the game of Bhatia was his putting- 2^nd x SG: Around the Green @ +4.108 strokes gained 49^th x SG: Putting losing -1.544 strokes That is important but it was a part of his game he really had been playing so well, another player who can easily be forgiven here especially as the greens are enormous, to give you comparable- Proximity is x 2 larger than Pebble Beach A par 70 this week NOT 71 or 72 the event will lose 2 x par 5s & replaced by 2 x par 4s Look for the better putters to sink them from +20 foot & whilst players like the bigger bombers on tour can make up yardage, the course has +100 bunkers so the better players on approach will rule this weekend IMO. In the 8 events straight leading into the Truist AB was strong with +SG just in putting per day only- +1.32 SG @ Cadillac +1.24 SG @ RBC Heritage (of note +4.542 overall 6^th) for context +1.37 SG @ Masters +0.30 SG @ The Players +2.78 SG @ The Arnold Palmer (1^st place overall) +0.73 SG @ Genesis +0.43 SG @ Pebble Beach +1.47 SG @ WM Phoenix This is over a single day/round so his figures really were way up there in putting, he was trending so well before last week. Although driving will not be overly penalised this week, players still do not want to make it more difficult by finding trouble. With not much support for AB this week as he opened around $120 on betfair on Monday and you can get plenty on @ $150, of note he was as short as $70 for many weeks on betfair as the PGA was open for early markets for months. You can always try for more on betfair.
Ludvig Aberg	Top 5	5.7/1(+570)	1.00	WIN	3rd x SG: Total 7th x SG: T2G 25th x SG: OTT 10th x SG: APG 17th x SG: ARG 51st x SG: PUT 42nd x Driving Accuracy @ 62.10% 24th x Greens in regulation @ 68.98% 8/10 cuts made in 2026 for 80% 4 x T5s in 2026 5 x T10s in 2026 7 x T25s in 2026 LA is a player of the future, we did entertain him in 2026 at lesser events, and I have closely watched him, he plays incredible golf for 3 days, but when the pressure is applied, he just does not get the job done. He often plays holes rather quickly, when he gets too much time on the tee box (slow play ahead) watch him fidget, he often will play with his face and or mouth, you can see him shaking physically with nervousness. We however do not need him to Win this week just to go close with a T5 result. From 66 PGA starts LA has finished in the T5 x 14 for a 21.2% strike rate but this includes cuts if we look at events in which he played all 4 days (55) when he makes the cut in other words it improves to a better 25.45% & around $5.70 covers most of the weekend outlay.
Patrick Cantlay	Top 10	5.5/1(+550)	1.00	LOSS	19th x SG: Total 12th x SG: T2G 22^nd x SG: OTT 51st x SG: APG 112th x SG: ARG 92nd x SG: PUT 51st x Driving Accuracy @ 61.60% 20th x Greens in regulation @ 69.14% 8/10 cuts made in 2026 for 80% 3 x T10s in 2026 6 x T25s in 2026 Hopefully we learnt our lesson on picking PC on the very odd time that we have, he is not a player we warm to generally (over the last 5 years) & at the times when selected for an outright win he has been good but never looked likely to win. Why this week for T10? His last 4 weeks have been the best in 2026 with- T10 @ PGA Truist with all 4 SG metrics positive T8 @ PGA RBC Heritage with 3 of 4 SG metrics positive T12 @ PGA Masters with 2 of 4 SG metrics but good overall SG Total T7 @ PGA Valspar with all 4 SG metrics in positive Another player like Ludvig in that we do not need him to win, around $5.50 to T10 on betfair currently he looks good odds to cover his play and the rest of the line up with a big 66 x T10 results in his overall career from 211 events. That T10 strike rate is 31.3% which you can make money from but even better from the 180 events in which he makes it over the 72 holes for 36.6% strike rate to T10. His Winning strike rate is only 3% (8 wins overall) in his career so it pays to back him in T10 markets, very viable option. Happy to take $5.50, market has not settled yet on betfair so I have personally seen $5.20 to $5.80.
Keegan Bradley	Top 10	11/1(+1100)	1.00	LOSS	89th x SG: Total 84th x SG: T2G 72nd x SG: OTT 129th x SG: APG 35th x SG: ARG 85th x SG: PUT 58th x Driving Accuracy @ 60.98% 119th x Greens in regulation @ 63.74% 8/11 cuts made in 2026 for 73% 3 x T25s in 2026 The Stig & MJ had been following KB in the back end of 2025 and we did provided him for 2026 but after a very slow start @ Sony Open (CUT) he did improve to figure @ PGA Farmers (T43) he then backed it up @ PGA Pebble Beach (T29) before failing terrible at his next 2 starts where he failed to make the cut. He has been so much better since and in the next 6 starts made it through all CUTS (some were cut free however) but his last 4 events have been very promising and such a great return to form with- T19 @ PGA Truist T49 @ PGA Cadillac T12 @ RBC Heritage T21 @ PGA Masters Looking at the figures of KB last week @ Truist he was- 56^th x SG: Off the Tee losing -1.529 strokes 22^nd x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.803 strokes gained 49^th x SG: Around the Green losing -1.189 strokes 14^th x SG: Putting @ +3.386 T19 x SG: Total @ +2.472 T24 x Driving Accuracy @ 66.07% (37/56) T7 x Greens in Regulation @ 69.44% (50/72) He was also- T1 x 3 Eagles with 2 of those on day 4. Now that he has proven his consistency should be back on track, he has made the cut in 73% of his events in 2026 & over his whole career in 77.4% (297 cuts of 385 events) so we like above the 70% threshold & I even considered KB to win this week, I thought most of his game is trending up but if we pigeon hole him just to win we decrease the probability so I looked at T20 markets, they just do not offer value, even with players at big odds so if his game continues to trend in the direction we have seen then a T10 is possible around $11. KB does have only 3 x T10 results in 2026 from 11 events (or 8 when making the cut) but his overall results over 65 x T10 results from 297 events for a handy strike rate of 21.8%. Worth the risk for the $11 currently on betfair, I have seen between $10.5 to $12.5, there is much to still come into the betfair pools, at time of summary there is only $99k this will grow by 10 x before tee off.
Hideki Matsuyama	Win (Late Mail)	20/1(+2000)	1.00	LOSS	Day 2 results- 52^nd SG: Off the Tee @ +0.505 T26 x Greens in Regulation @ 72.22% (13/18)- similar on day 1 22^nd x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.739 13^th x SG: Around the Green @ +1.427 19^th x SG: Putting @ +1.938 T3 x SG: Total @ +5.609 T64 x Driving Accuracy @ 57.14% (8/14) + 60% day 1 It was a matter of Hideki v Gotterup, we know how good CG can be but perhaps the -5 may have been his peak on day 2 and although his driving will take him along way, HM showed some very nice touches with wedges and even his putter. At the WM Phoenix where we picked Gotterup it was Hideki who was so errant off the tee which cost him when placing his 2^nd shot under pressure. I tracked all HM shots over 36 holes around Aronimink, if he sticks to 60% of fairways, he will feature over the final 36 holes. Hideki scrambled very well on day 1 @ 60% (3/5) & better on day 2 @ 80% (4/5). He will start @ -3 on day 3 so handicapped better than most as that start could prove invaluable as the goal on day 3 will simply be BOGEY free rounds & currently $20 on betfair is acceptable, we do like others at better prices, more value! Including all 5 players for Late mail our total outlay will be 15 units. We lost Bhatia, Spaun, Bradley & still have a few in with a show including a T5 & T10 finish to cover the outlay.
Justin Thomas	Win (Late Mail)	27/1(+2700)	1.00	LOSS	JT was our late mail last week @ PGA Truist & we sent out a length Analysis why- 30^th x SG: Off the Tee @ +0.552 25^th x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.339 11^th x SG: Around the Green @ +2.223 18^th x SG: Putting @ +2.872 T6 x SG: Total @ +6.986 T46 x Driving Accuracy @ 59.52% (25/42) T11 x Driving Distance @ 318.00 yds T11 x Greens in Regulation @ 70.37% (38/54) T1 x Sand Saves @ 100.00% (5/5) T6 x Scrambling @ 75.00% (12/16) T3 x Birdies @ 16 T56 x Pars @ 31 T21 x Bogeys @ 7 After a considerably safe day 1 JT had +3.53 strokes gained total & his best strokes gained metric was +1.20 strokes gained Off the Tee along with +1.11 SG on Approach, across all metrics he was in positive territory. Day 2 he had his first metric in negative numbers when losing -0.68 strokes on approach he did however prove slick with the long stick picking up +1.84 strokes gained with the putter; he has been safe in tee to green over the combined 36 holes until day 3. Many players made moves & perhaps peaking too soon on day 3, I am always wary of a player carding a 63 (-8) or 64 (-7), we saw it with our own PGT pick in Rickie Fowler who on a slow day 2 for most carded a good 63. After JT had a mixed day 3 with 6 birdies + 4 bogeys but he wrote his first mistake a bogey on the 3^rd hole but then bounced back with 5 x birdies from holes 4 to 12 then the shot into the water on the 14^th hole just derailed his good previous 5 x birdies, it rattled him that much he had bogeys on holes 16 & 18. JT is not usual that bad off the tee and the shot into the water on 14 was very poor if comparing his own high standards, it was penalised & I have watched the shot 10 times now, I doubt it reoccurs & JT has yet to really shine over 54 holes & sits a creditable T6 @ -9 with rounds of 67, 68, 69 & he is very capable of a good push on day 4 & 3 of his last 4 events he did card 68 (Valspar), 66 (RBC heritage), 69 (Cadillac). For this week @ PGA- JT went out in the earlier wave on day 2 where it was very cold, much windier + greens had not quickened until 4 to 5 hours later. Highlighted are his better stats that should see him surge on day 3- Day 1- T8 x Driving Accuracy @ 78.57% (11/14) T19 x Greens in Regulation @ 72.22% (13/18) 12^th x SG: Putting @ +2.547 strokes gained Day 2- T64 x Driving Accuracy @ 57.14% (8/14) T107 x Greens in Regulation @ 55.56% (10/18) 14^th x SG: Approach to Green @ +2.487 strokes gained I made note of day 1 into day 2 because JT still shot 69, 69 (-1 both days) yet on the conclusion of day 2 after some up & down efforts JT has so much room to improve. Most players had trouble finding fairways which when in the thick rough made any iron play more difficult. Around $27 on betfair is a fair price considering he will start @ -2 on day 3.
Rory McIlroy	Win (Late Mail)	30/1(+3000)	1.00	LOSS	Rory to his own confession is still not happy with his drives. Yet he went bogey free on day 2- 9^th x SG: Off the Tee @ +1.427 strokes gained T5 x Greens in Regulation @ 83.33% (15/18) 35^th x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.201 41^st x SG: Around the Green @ +0.804 17^th x SG: Putting @ +2.177 T3 x SG: Total @ +5.609 T64 x Driving Accuracy @ 57.14% (8/14) Day 1 his post event interviews were shocking, he said “SHIT” in interviews and his body language told the story with his 74 (+4) but like the good players can do and why the no names in the T20 mostly will fade, the best players go into over drive, this is a major, there are players up near the leaders who will NOT win this major. Bold yes but facts are facts & Rory shot 67 (-3) & his +5.61 strokes gained total was T3 (Gotterup was 1^st @ +7.61), I have already declared I think CG has peaked, please do not get me wrong he is a stud, I just think a few may go on with it more in the last 36 holes. After day 2 Rory also showed us he is ready for the fight going 100% in scrambling (3/3). Rory is awake and we will accept $30 on betfair, even though he starts day 3 on +1 which is 5 shots off the current leaders & spots Scheffler 3, so he will need to come up out humming. There will be 41 twosomes to tee off on day 3 & Rory will partner Brooks Koepka, who is a good player pairing.
Patrick Reed	Win (Late Mail)	120/1(+12000)	1.00	LOSS	PR on day 1 was cruising with 0 bogeys, I personally thought on day 2 he showed grit, why we like him to muster a challenge on day 3 & 4 is his sweet iron play- 100^th x SG: Off the Tee losing -0.285 strokes 2^nd x SG: Approach to Green @ +3.666 strokes gained 69^th x SG: Around the Green @ +0.253 53rd x SG: Putting @ +0.629 T8 x SG: Total @ +4.263 T130 x Driving Accuracy @ 42.86% (6/14) PR was able to still card a good 68 (-2) despite finding only 40% of fairways off the tee. Why? T1 x Greens in Regulation @ 88.89% (16/18) Day 2 he still found 50% of greens but he was off so to only give away 3 shots (bogey on holes 6, 15 & 16), I say to only give away just look @ JJ Spaun, could not recover, nor DeChambeau and company, there were too many to list. If PR can keep it on the fairway and not find rough after rough he has that sweet touch with iron & wedges to bring his game into it. He was very tradesman like today and I reckon he may have said “keep it together today & not let the frustration take over”. He is playing very good golf and the current EVEN par means he starts from a very neutral position in T22. Call it nostalgic but I have watched all 36 holes over days 1 & 2 and if PR can get excited on the front nine & because he is around $120 on betfair, it reminds me of when we went close in a Major last year with him as the late mail ($100 off the top of my head). Worth 1 unit to find out.
Ryan Fox	Win (Late Mail)	420/1(+42000)	1.00	LOSS	Incredible value- he has been terrific on the fairways so it would be cruel he ruins this stat on day 3. Day 1- T39 x Driving Accuracy @ 64.29% (9/14) Day 2- T4 x Driving Accuracy @ 78.57% (11/14) 36 holes combined- T7 x Driving Accuracy @ 71.43% (20/28) I must honestly say he has such an awkward twisting motion when he drives the ball from the tee box but keep on doing that as it works. The rest of his game is going well too- 36-hole stats- 31^st x SG: Off the Tee @ +1.149 33^rd x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.758 50^th x SG: Around the Green @ +0.325 38^th x G: Putting @ +1.640 T22 x SG: Total @ +4.872 I have been watching Foxy for a while now and we did select him when he ended up in surgery for Kidney stones and of course withdrew from The Players Championships, he was trending well before and he is no stranger to us as he won for PGT @ RBC Canadian Open as the late mail on day 4 @ very nice odds. With Foxy also finding 65% of GIR & his putting showing positive strokes gained around $420 on betfair is well worth the risk of 1 unit, he starts like PR off 0 with 36 holes to go, it is wide open & who can keep it together through the next challenge, 18 holes.

#Tips	Wins	Units	Net Profit	ROI
13	1	15.00	-9.30	-62.00%