| Matt Wallace |
Win |
16/1(+1600) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
MW had returned to his home country last week and looked okay with plenty of room to improve @ DPW Tour British Masters when a T15, he was in positive strokes gained in all metrics PGT measure.
In the last few months, he has been threatening to win on the stronger PGA tour & good recent results with-
- T7 @ PGA Wyndham Championships with -14
- T5 @ PGA Rocket Classic with -13
He is the "horses for courses" player this week already dominating the lovely Swiss course & if you normally do not watch golf, tune into Kayo or Foxtel as the course is a scenic wonder.
- 2025 x T2
- 2024 x 1
- 2023 x T24
- 2022 x 2
- 2021 x DNP
Despite his short odds he is playing better than most and at worst case scenario him winning covers the whole outlay, he has led a few PGA events with most of the T20 OWGR players present.
2026 PGA stats
- 29th x SG: Total
- 101st x Driving Accuracy @ 57.97%
- 23rd x SG: Tee to Green
- 85th x SG: Off the Tee
- 18th x SG: Approach the Green
- 77th x Greens in Regulation @ 66.67%
- 37th x SG: Around the Green
- 83rd x SG: Putting
- 13/18 cuts made on PGA tour
After blowing out the cobwebs and he has room for improvement from last week but without drilling stats all the way MW was-
British Masters
- 21st x birdies @ 4.25 per round
- 6th x par 3 scoring @ 2.83
- 21st x par 4 scoring @ 3.98
- 23rd x SG: T2G
- 18th x SG: APG
- 49th x GIR @ 68.06% (70% on any course is good & he is a high 18th in USA on PGA TOUR
- 2nd x Putts per GIR @ 1.67
Around Crans-sur-sierre he will be in the hunt from the get-go & he opened around $14 on betfair late on Monday night (AEST) & I have seen as much as $17 on betfair.
We prefer betfair but PGT is trialling having 2 plays & as an example and please do not hesitate to contact me to discuss but if you reduce or split your normal stake and put 50% through bet365 as an example @ $15 you can cash out if available and let the other play on betfair “let it ride”. This strategy works well as you can get your stake back + profit with the single cash out option via bet365 or similar.
Also, this strategy of having 2 plays (same level staking) when cashing out on say bet365 you can on a individual ticket as where on betfair you cash out all players.
There is advantages to playing 2 tickets (old school)
PGT will be showing all this live when we officially launch the youtube live channel.
Presently though it is the usual 1-unit outright win & we have discussed with a fair few members why we use betfair, the peer-to-peer platform offers much better odds when you get up over players around $50.
This week with our 12 players selected we have 7.7% of the field (155 players), as usual we will monitor and if we can see a player peaking we can include a late mail.
|
| Thomas Detry |
Win |
42/1(+4200) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Thomas from Belgium has never disappointed when selected whilst on PGA & he simply demolished a good field when winning the PGA 2025 WM Phoenix Open with an impressive -24 & was 7 shots in front of Daniel Berger.
TD went over to LIV in February 2026 & most players received an undisclosed amount unless you are Joh Rahm or Bryson DeChambeau, it was an interesting move as he climbed a high 44th in PGA rankings and that win @ WM Phoenix Open secured all the signature events which have larger prizemoney on offer.
It was rumoured he was also coerced over to LIV by Belgian player, Thomas Pieters who has been a long-time friend since childhood & they both played together @ University of Illinois, simply put LIV players will be seen more now as they have to pay penance then they can be consider by PGA again.
2026 LIV stats
- 21st x DA @ 62.65% (421/672) fairways found
- 11th x GIR @ 70.95%
- 17th x Putting @ 1.59 putts per round
- 3rd x birdies @ 4.58 average per round with 220 birdies
His 3rd in birdies on LIV tour is ranking in front of Bryson DeChambeau & Cam Smith who when the Aussie on song is one of the better putters in the world.
Since arriving @ LIV the Belgian from his 12 starts TD has had 7 x T10s but he should be able to win 1 or 2 before he is allowed to return to PGA.
What we expect from TD is his usually safe putting & his around greens play is consistent most times, this is a course that should suit & if he can set up his iron & wedge play which he can convert more putts than most.
After opening around $30 on betfair there is plenty of $42 now available and a quick search he is $34 on bet365, I think a fair price is $50 & I would expect him to be the leader at some stage over the 72 holes.
|
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen |
Win |
50/1(+5000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Hopefully the Dane will not let us down like Viktor Hovland did last week, just on Hovland he was +7 shot better than the field around the greens before day 4 teed off, Scheffler even gave him the lead back when VH was -15 at the halfway mark, he was gifted the event & really disappointed us @ PGT, it was an event he controlled & should have won.
This young Danish player won his first DPW Tour event in Australia @ 2026 Crown Australian Open on the sacred sand belt which is @ Royal Melbourne GC, he held off Cam Smith & Si Woo Kim, it is also worth noting he easily beat Adam Scott, Min Woo Lee, Rory McIlroy (had excuses) & even a newbie Major winner, Ryan Fox.
Normally we would steer clear of a player who has now been cut in 3 straight events but despite being behind fellow country men in National team honours due to the Hojgaard twins & Viktor but he really is talented and his PGA starts although mixed point to a win on PGA tour soon at one of those lesser events like the Myrtle Beach or similar.
2026 PGA stats
- 69th x SG: Total
- 48th x Driving Accuracy @ 62.09%
- 67th x SG: Tee to Green
- 15th x SG: Off the Tee
- 99th x SG: Approach the Green
- 63rd x Greens in Regulation @ 67.24%
- 127th x SG: Around the Green
- 77th x SG: Putting
- 13/18 cuts made on PGA tour
RNP has only played in the Swiss alps once-
- 2025 x 8th with rounds of 68, 65, 63, 69 for -15
We expect him to play well this weekend, and he must get back to what we know he is capable of, there have been glimpses but keep an eye on his tee shots, if he find fairways which he has lost strokes in his last 2 events it will set up for his 2nd shot, his 1st round @ Danish Open was even par (72) he lost it on day 2 with 75 (+3) but we put it down to his home open which most players have trouble mentally with.
We expect a bounce back & after opening around $40 on betfair he has drifted right out to $60, try matching for +$80, he does have 3 cuts to consider so he should drift more when more money enters the pool, he is only $46 on bet365 which we consider under a fair price.
He will need to come out strong to reassure what we know he is capable of, scoring par on day 1 just not acceptable, the last few years you must be on pace for day 1 & on. There are others we like with more bang in their price.
|
| Jayden Schaper |
Win |
50/1(+5000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
Already a winner of 2 x DPWT both coming in late 2025 back to back which is quite rare but he beat fairly Ryan Gerard @ DPWT Mauritius, Gerard has been on a tear for much of 2026 on the stronger PGA tour yet “the sniper” as we call him is the fav and as good as we know he is I would prefer my unit to go on the young south African who is starting to play more consistent golf.
Last week.
British Masters
- 11th x birdies @ 4.50 per round
- 6th x par 3 scoring @ 2.82
- 21st x par 4 scoring @ 3.98
- 45th x SG: T2G
- 83rd x SG: APG
- 30th x GIR @ 70.83%
- 26th x Putts per GIR @ 1.75
The game of JS is starting to come good again, the last 3 straight events he has got his irons going, he has been in +SG: APG in all 3 along with 3 of his last 4 events in +SG: PUT, his driving usually consistent, around a course where you need to keep it straight, he should be able to simplify his 2nd shot.
He has only 1 x 39th in 2024 from 3 attempts on this course, we are not overly concerned as his best golf was in the last month of 2025, it really looks like his game is returning.
A late inclusion into our starting picks, JS opened at $44 on betfair, he is now $50 and has over $400 on offer to be matched, around this price bracket that is at least 2 x more than any other player, betfair players want to take him on, we can happily oblige.
He is good enough, already proven after 2 straight victories & he is only 25 yrs of age.
|
| David Puig |
Win |
60/1(+6000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The young Spaniard saluted for PGT when winning the 2025 DPWT BMW Australian Open @ Royal Brisbane, Queensland where his excellent iron play was on display.
After the win in QLD, he went on a run in early 2026 with-
- T3 x DPWT Dubai Invitational
- T7 x DPWT HERO Dubai desert classic
- T4 x LIV Riyadh
The Spaniard without winning has been very strong for most of 2026 on LIV with 5 x T10s from 12 starts & he performs best when big sweeping course are on offer, this sets up for him well.
2026 LIV stats
- 43rd x DA @ 57.44% (386/672) fairways found
- 14th x GIR @ 70.25%
- 15th x Putting @ 1.58 putts per round
- 9th x birdies @ 4.38 average per round with 210 birdies
After opening around $44 on betfair late on Monday night (AEST) DP has now drifted to an acceptable $50, I did see $60 earlier today whilst perusing odds & we think around $60-$70 on betfair would be our prediction of accepting kore than fair odds.
Currently on bet365 DP is $41.
Updated odds @ 12:49pm on 2/9 @ $60 on betfair.
|
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju |
Win |
70/1(+7000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
This now new native of Canada really made headway since winning once on the KFT (Korn Ferry tour) when he played extra well in his debut PGA event-
- T13 x PGA SONY Hawaii Open with -9
That was his event straight after a decent T25 @ BMW PGA Australian Open in QLD & in many interviews in early 2026 he made mention on how difficult being on the road was and his results showed he was slow to adjust with average results from the end of January 2026 to mid-March.
He got his game back on track with a good finish at-
- T5 x PGA Players Championship with rounds of 73, 72, 66, 68 for -9
Now the golf world knew who he was, we already noticed him so not sure why all the fuss, sometimes the commentators for the PGA tour can be very immature, I often wonder what tours they follow as players just do not arrive.
It was a good result & where some players may struggle SY kept on kicking strongly with-
- T14 x PGA Valero Texas Open
- T6 x PGA Texas Children’s Houston Open
SY put 3 straight events together and moved up the rankings quickly, he them slowed a fair bit but was better than 3 x T35 results and his best result was in mid-June-
We will watch to see his crisp iron play is setting his very good putting up, normally he is better than 65% in most strokes gained metrics but this is the type of event he can win as long as he does not try too hard, his game really suits.
2026 PGA stats
- 44th x SG: Total
- 58th x Driving Accuracy @ 61.32%
- 42nd x SG: Tee to Green
- 37th x SG: Off the Tee
- 58th x SG: Approach the Green
- 88th x Greens in Regulation @ 66.30%
- 83rd x SG: Around the Green
- 75th x SG: Putting
- 16/23 cuts made on PGA tour
It is a credit to the Canadian that he sits mostly withing the T50, he ended up in 58th in FedEx Cup points & without winning he is 109th in OWGR.
He takes on some veterans of the DPWT but when his wedge & irons are on, he really sets up his around green play perfectly as we saw on PGA tour, this is a course that should suit, not sure how he will go in the high altitude but a strong start will only allow his confidence to grow as the event unfolds.
We did follow him without selecting him at anytime on PGA tour but he did make our 130-player database & of note he was a high 31st in hole proximity & why that is worth mentioning is most players who have won in the last 6 months have been ranked +40th.
SY opened around $50 on betfair and he has been as high as $85 before finding support on betfair around $75, his price will depend on who has picked him and or the spotlight is shone brightly on him, we like him hence why we selected him but we do prefer a few veterans that are better odds.
Interestingly bet365 have respect for him @ $56, it is an event he could win if he plays right up to the best we have seen on PGA tour, we have yet to see him in a pressure situation though, how he handles that will determine if he stays for good on PGA tour.
On hype he is worth the betfair odds, personally I would like to see +$100, he is yet to win on either tour to date & on our ratings players without a win should be around that $100-$110. What we consider a minimum price for a non-PGA or DPWT winner.
odds updated @ 12:51pm on 2/9 @ $70 on betfair.
|
| Guido Migliozzi |
Win |
80/1(+8000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The Italian player that I was following without investing in him nearly caught me when T2 @ DPWT Turkey Open in early May.
He was one of the better putters in Europe then he just went cold, he missed 12 cuts in 2025 from 22 events, there was 4 straight missed cuts then his next run of missed cuts was 6 straight from KLM Open in June right up until the Betfred Masters in Late August 2025.
His 2026 results have fared better as he has made 9 from 14 cuts with his best result being that T2 @ Turkey Open, the week before he was 13th @ Volvo China Open & his effort last week @ British Masters where he oddly lost strokes gained in putting.
His previous 3 straight events he was in +SG: PUT.
British Masters
- 86th x birdies @ 3.25 per round
- 43rd x par 3 scoring @ 3.00
- 32nd x par 4 scoring @ 4.00
- 28th x SG: T2G
- 43rd x SG: APG
- 58th x GIR @ 66.67%
- 89th x Putts per GIR @ 1.83
To see the Italina sit in 89th in putting as where his previous 3 events he was in the T10 in all 3, we need to see GUIDO sink them on the greens, if he can get the putter going like we have seen lately he can build in his game.
He is still only 29 & has won 7 x in Europe with 4 x DPWT wins and we want to see that putter work for him, if it does not, he could be going home early so simply put he needs to be in the top tier for putting, the rest will flow on.
After opening around $75 Guido has met with good support @ $90, I have seen $80 throughout most of Tuesday, currently ranked 69th on the race to Dubai points he needs some good results to play on their version of TOUR championships.
As long as we can get around $90 to $100 then that is more than acceptable, never be afraid to try for $110 or more on betfair, remember smaller increments are more likely to be matched on betfair, bet365 have Guido @ $61, that is 50% less than betfair, that is a big difference in profit if he were to win (based on $100 =1 unit then $6100 compared to $9000.
odds updates as of 12:55pm on 2/9 & odds on betfair @ $80.
|
| Adrien Saddier |
Win |
85/1(+8500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The Frenchman had a sensational 2025 on DPWT which resulted in a Win @ Italian Open in the end of June, his form though in 2025 meant he could have a try in the stronger PGA which I think it took him time to adjust but we were starting to his play.
2025 DPWT results (worth mentioning)
- 2nd x BMW PGA-DPWT Championships (it is the event coming up in a few weeks)
- T5 x Amgen Irish Open
- 1st x DPWT Italian Open
- 5th x DPWT HERO Indian Open
- T3 x DPWT Porsche Singapore Open
- T7 x DPWT Kenya Open
I was keenly watching AS on PGA tour and I was wondering when he may “just appear”, we had him as one of the T10 players to watch from the DP tour and although he struggled in most of 2026 there was some good strokes gained metrics in his last 3 events-
- 3 x straight events in +SG: PUT
- 3 x straight events in +SG: ARG
- 2/3 events in +SG: ARG
When watching AS in 2025 on DPWT you would often see his name high up on the T10 leaderboard throughout an event, I think now his game is returning which we have seen in 75% of his events to date I expect this Frenchy to figure high in the alps.
After opening early around $75 on betfair he has not drifted as hard as I would expect seeing he brings no disclosed form to this event, he is firm around $90 now but knowing what he is capable of and doing the comparable with other players I would rate him fairly around $60, we are getting a touch of overs IMO, on bet365 they have him @ $71 not too far off what we think he should really be.
odds updated @ 12:58pm on 2/9 from betfair @ $85.
|
| Niklas Norgaard |
Win |
95/1(+9500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The other Dane!
A traditional bomber/putter who was off his game last week, yet he finished a great-
- 2 x DPWT Husqvarna British Masters
His form far better than it reads with a few T20 here & there since his putting has improved significantly, he now has 60% in SG: PUT in 5 from 8, it was what he was struggling with, he would get to the greens but struggle once on greens, I have watched a lot of this Dane and you would often see him competing then fade terribly late.
Last week though-
British Masters
- 21st x birdies @ 4.25 per round
- 43rd x par 3 scoring @ 3.00
- 2nd x par 4 scoring @ 3.85
- 46th x SG: T2G
- 83rd x SG: APG
- 30th x GIR @ 70.83%
- 21st x Putts per GIR @ 1.73
- 4th x SG: PUT
- 2nd x stroke average @ 69.25
Hard to believe we are being offered $100 for a player who finished 2nd last week and the winner Joe Dean shot a 63 (-9) on day 4 to win his first DPWT, JD is a player we have seen plenty of and off the top of my head cannot recall he has ever shot so low but if you are going to card a -9 than day 4 is the day to do it on.
Niklas Norgaard was beaten by what we call an anomaly; we doubt he will card another 63 again so as long as the Dane can keep his putter going, they can score birdies on this course which as seen runs by players every year in the alps.
After opening around $90 there has been little support for NN & he is now $100 on betfair, I think with little support you could try for +$120 and work your way back to $100, bet365 have him @ $76 which seems to be market more to what he should be.
He finished 2nd last week and was beaten by a freak low score, we like his odds but the next player who profiles very similar is even at better odds.
odds updated @ 1:23pm on 2/9 from betfair @ $95.
|
| Adrian Meronk |
Win |
140/1(+14000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
I was an early fan of this Polish native who was born in Germany, he now calls the United Emirates home, but it was his early efforts in Australia when I became a fan.
1st x 2022 Australian Open @ Victoria GC, Melbourne
It was hard not to notice as he destroyed the field and beat our own Adam Scott by 5 strokes.
In more recent times he joined LIV in early February 2024 after an excellent 2nd @ DPWT Dubai Invitational (it’s one of the most prestigious on that tour) and it was odd he joined LIV as he had already won 4 x DPWT events, he has also been able to win on LIV tour which not many have except the multiple winners but he stamped there could be more victories with the-
- 1st x 2025 LIV Riyadh with rounds of 62, 66, 71 for -17
2026 LIV stats
- 50th x DA @ 55.95% (376/672) fairways found
- 46th x GIR @ 65.97%
- 27th x Putting @ 1.60 putts per round
- 38th x birdies @ 3.79 average per round with 182 birdies
His overall stats are misleading to the point that whilst on LIV he has had 8 x T10 results including his 1st in 2025.
I have always kept a close eye on AM but it does surprise me he is better odds than a player like Harry Hall who I discussed with the Stig earlier today, Hall is $30 to win this which I consider him gross unders, his 2025 stats look awesome as where his 2026 stats are not even close to the peak we saw in 2025 yet because he has played in PGA events does he deserve to be as short.
No
Last week Meronk finished-
- T15 with -8 with rounds of 72, 71, 68, 69
Of note the “horses for courses” and 2nd fav for this event is Matt Wallace, he finished in T15 with Meronk yet he is $16 versus AM @ $140.
British Masters
- 21st x birdies @ 4.25 per round
- 28th x par 3 scoring @ 2.92
- 21st x par 4 scoring @ 3.98
- 2nd x SG: OTT
- 83rd x SG: T2G
- 129th x SG: APG
- 30th x GIR @ 70.83%
- 26th x Putts per GIR @ 1.82
- 2nd x SG: PUT
How he finished in T15 after losing at least -1.11 strokes per round (adds up to near -4.50) and being 129th in strokes gained approach paints a very big picture.
In his last 3 of 4 events, he has lost strokes on approach, he only needs to straighten out his wedge/iron play, the rest of his game going well, If Thriston Lawrence can win here x 2 then AM can work out that weakness in his game.
AM opened around $90, he went quickly to $100 on the next update and since has drifted to now $140, there seems no interest so try for up to $200 and work back.
We think he is terrific value around $140, bookmakers Bet365 @ $91. If he gets the approach play sorted and you will see how that is panning out within the first 5 or 6 holes.
|
| Angel Hidalgo |
Win |
250/1(+25000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
This Spaniard we have picked once before at cricket score odds, he has promised so much hut often under performs although that easily change this weekend.
AH has had 4 recent T21 results when he makes the cut through to day 3 from 7 events, he did miss 3 straight cuts before his latest result of T21 @ British Masters.
British Masters
- 9th x birdies @ 4.75 per round
- 86th x par 3 scoring @ 3.17
- 61st x par 4 scoring @ 4.06
- 60th x SG: T2G
- 34th x SG: APG
- 21st x GIR @ 72.22%
- 43rd x Putts per GIR @ 1.77
Normally this Spaniard is consistent both off the tee and also on approach, in SG: APG he has now had 6 from 7 events in +SG: APG and are worth each 72-hole event between +2.50 to 4 strokes so it all adds up, in 7 of his last 11 events he also has +SG: PUT.
It is simple, if he keeps it on the fairway, he can set up that 2nd & 3rs shot to then sink some birdies, as was on display in England last week he was sinking 4.75 birdies on avg each round, he was giving back 3.25 bogeys per round (only +1.50).
That was a cruel blow having to reduce the birdie fest with as nearly as many bogeys.
The focus is on fairways, and the rest follows for this little Spaniard, I still recall his maiden win @ Spain Open, never easy to win your home country event.
Ive just had the impression he can bob up when none expects it, after opening around $65 on betfair there was plenty of $300 on offer, I glanced as I was typing up summary and he was $110, that is ridiculous, I will check before sending out in approximately 15 hours.
His odds should be +$400, there was around $146 to be matched then as advised next time I looked down to $110, I doubt it stays so low but bet365 have him @ $151 and I will revise before sending out at 3pm.
odds updated as of 1.47pm on 2/9 from betfair @ $250, there has been between $210 & $300 on offer, make sure you start high and leave it to be matched in smaller increments, it is highly possible +$400, if you take the lower odds and it resets and tells others that is what you will take.
|
| Brandon Stone |
Win |
300/1(+30000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
The South African has long been one of or picks on the odd occasion we venture into the DPWT events, he is very hit & miss but he has won 3 x on DPWT & he is showing us glimpses in 2 of the 4 days he competes, his best recent finish was a T13 @ Danish Open where again his inconsistent day would matter.
Throughout 2026 though he has had mainly T40 results (12 in total) with 7 of the 12 in T25 so he would be what we call a “fringe” player if on the PGA tour, they are often thereabouts and may have even been a leader for 1 day but they consistently fade.
What we have seen of BS in his last 3 events is his game nearly clicking.
British Masters
- 49th x birdies @ 3.75 per round
- 28th x par 3 scoring @ 2.92
- 89th x par 4 scoring @ 4.13
- 3rd x par 5 scoring @ 4.17
- 53rd x SG: T2G
- 114th x SG: APG
- 58th x GIR @ 66.67%
- 61st x Putts per GIR @ 1.79
Like another of our pick his T30 @ British Masters a good result considering he was 114th in strokes gained approach, he lost -0.67 shots on avg per round.
It matters, but if he can improve this by 50% then his figures improve.
He is the 1st of our outsiders, BS has already won 3 x so his best is good enough, for what we have seen with our own eyes it is worth having 1 unit to find out if our outsider has what it takes, after opening around $120 on betfair you can now get close to 3 x his price around $330.
Well worth a speculative view but try for +$500, there has been no money and again try in very small increments and work back if you have to, betfair is a very patient process, bet365 have BS @ $141.
odds updated @ 2pm on 2/9 as I had him @ $330 last night and Angel Hildago @ $300 so now Stone is on betfair @ $300.
Again please set prices much higher & be patient, tee off is not for another 24 hours.
|