PGA Cadillac Championship 2026 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

• 1^st x SG: Total
• 5^th x SG: T2G
• 5^th x SG: OTT
• 26^th x Driving Accuracy @ 63.17%
• 65^th x SG: APG
• 7^th x Greens in Regulation @ 70.49%
• 2^nd x SG: ARG
• 13^th x SG: PUT

The Trump National course provides very long Par 5s and whilst accuracy not highly regarded like recent courses length off the tee will assist greatly.

Now SS is back in the right swing of it he will be lurking with stats like these-

• 1^st x Birdie Average @ 5.06 per round avg (tour avg @ 3.82)
• 1^st x Scoring average @ 69.301 (tour avg @ 71.394)
• 1^st x Bogey avoidance @ 10.07% (tour avg @ 15.46%)
• 1^st x Par 4 scoring @ 3.88 strokes
• 3^rd x Par 5 scoring @ 4.40 strokes (Jake Knapp is 1^st @ 4.29)

With Par 4 & 5 scoring the highlight of this course players like SS who also make less bogeys than any other player on tour are in the prime position.

The players selected for this event are all good off the tee including driving distance and have proven putting when it counts for birdie conversions, players in our database like SWK have been left out this week despite SWK leading the tour in driving accuracy he only ranks 117^th in putting, so despite his other great positive plays you still have to convert around the greens.

SS arrives rested and the form lines stack up strongly with Matthew Fitzpatrick winning 2 events in a row and SS was only just beaten in a playoff.

He will tee off with Cam Young in group 11, He deserves outright Favourite and has been very firm on betfair @ $4.50, because he looks hard to beat now, he has shaped better momentum than the odd run he had through 4 straight events the suggested 5 units to win only.

The whole Cadillac event will suggest 11 units in total which 5 are on Scheffler, we have room to move if we see any player trending as there is NO cut in this event.

• 14th x SG: Total
• 9th x SG: T2G
• 8th x SG: OTT
• 131st x Driving Accuracy @ 54.73%
• 31st x SG: APG
• 32nd x Greens in Regulation @ 68.27%
• 56th x SG: ARG
• 71st x SG: PUT

At first glance you maybe concerned about CG and his driving accuracy, this is a course where that is not held at a premium, but distance is-

• 4^th x Driving distance @ 320.10

We saw @ PGA Sony Open in Hawaii where CG chased down the leaders with a red-hot putter on day 4 picking up

• 5^th x SG: PUT on day 4 with +2.834 strokes

We also saw it when successfully selected @ WM Phoenix Open where a similar effort saw him win his 2^nd title in 2026, perhaps a 3^rd seems unlikely but for The Stig & MJ we watch players very closely and CG is on an upward trend, this course will suit and he does sit-

• 8^th x par 5 scoring @ 4.45 strokes (579 total strokes/130 holes)

CG will tee off with what seems like the playoff replay with Hideki Matsuyama @ WM Phoenix Open in group 31, I like the pairing and he did open around $27 on betfair and is currently @ $29, I was discussing this with The Stig last night as he was $2 I do expect him to drift IMO.

If Scheffler has any weakness this weekend as it is still 72 holes then our selections are ready to swoop in.

• 12th x SG: Total
• 10th x SG: T2G
• 11th x SG: OTT
• 51st x Driving Accuracy @ 61.65%
• 50th x SG: APG
• 86th x Greens in Regulation @ 65.36%
• 27th x SG: ARG
• 52nd x SG: PUT

One of our favourite Aussies on tour & MWL has started the 2026 season better than ever before with good results around very similar courses such as-

• T6 x PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational with rounds of 69, 71, 68, 70 for -10
• T3 x PGA Texas Children’s Open with rounds of 68, 63, 67, 67 for -15

Well, known as one of the more consistent long hitters off the tee he will bring that in spades here-

• 12^th x Driving Distance @ 316.10 yards
• 16^th x Driving Distance (All drives) @ 300.9 yards

We like the ALL DRIVES stat as unlike a few big hitters MWL can consistently find +300 yards which will matter on the extra-long par 5, 12^th hole @ 667 yards.

The course this week can be describes as-

“The course features long, demanding par-4s, challenging water lobs & very fast Bermuda greens. The 18th hole a 473-yard par-4 with water all down the left side and guarding the green, ensuring a tight finish to this event”

There is 110 bunkers on this course! Bay Hill is a very similar course and MWL showed consistency over all 4 days with his T6.

It is the 5^th signature event worth $20 Million; these are the ones you want to win.

After opening around $32 MWL has surprisingly drifted to $36 currently, he can win won of these signature events, his game on the up he just needs to stay composed but some of his recent media interviews shows us he is looking forward to this weekend.

• 36th x SG: Total
• 20th x SG: T2G
• 55th x SG: OTT
• 60th x Driving Accuracy @ 61.09%
• 11th x SG: APG
• 10th x Greens in Regulation @ 70.12%
• 97th x SG: ARG
• 118th x SG: PUT

We recently selected KK @ RBC Heritage & he was good right up until the final day, his 71 (even par) was looking bright over the first 9 holes including an eagle on the par 5, 5^th hole he then went form -3 to the back 9 with a further 2 x birdies but erased that with 3 bogeys (on 14, 17, 18) which we have seen it too often players who make 3 to 4 bogeys on the back 9 is suicide.

His game right up until day 4 was good with 69, 65, 68 and his stats were looking good.

We highlighted his stats in full summary for the RBC so please if you want deeper stats then look on the website or previous emails to you.

Another player on tour who can hit long off the tee but can hit +300 with irons too-

• 31^st x Driving distance @ 311.30 yards
• 18^th x Driving distance (All drives) @ 300.10 yards

Again KK is another player we are not concerned regarding his around green & putting stats, if you go deep into the analysis PGT sent out his final day 4 @ PGA Genesis Invitational as he stormed for a T2, we highlighted the fact he putted incredibly well on poa annua greens, this week is fast Bermuda greens, amen!

We think more of CG & MWL but KK opened around $44 on betfair & please always look up bookies prices as sometimes on certain players you will be offered better odds, always check we just use betfair as the prices are far better when you go +$50 players and especially closer to +$100.

KK has drifted to $50 overnight before finding some support around $48 on betfair, I would think +$60 is a fairer price.

see previous stats as I only just realised GW was omitted from selections.

Around $70 on betfair is terrific overs form mine, should be no more than $50, apologies as just picked up the fact I had missed 1 unit on GW.

• 32nd x SG: Total
• 60th x SG: T2G
• 48th x SG: OTT
• 19th x Driving Accuracy @ 63.90%
• 55th x SG: APG
• 44th x Greens in Regulation @ 67.19%
• 122nd x SG: ARG
• 16th x SG: PUT

RF had some very good stats leading into the PGA Arnold Palmer + PGA The Players Championships in early March on the back of 3 x T20s + 1 x T30 in the 4 previous events.

His game was off @ The Players Champs, and you could see it all over his face “did I really just hit it like that” it showed, he then went back-to-back events CUT which is not his usual consistent self which he had made 100% (6/6) prior.

It was great to see him find some of the form he is very capable of when bouncing back with-

• T8 @ PGA RBC Heritage with rounds of 65, 69, 69, 70 for 273 (-11)

At the RBC his stats were exceeding the 122^nd SG: ARG as we see for 2026 with improved showing of-

• 10^th x SG: APG @ +3.184 strokes gained
• 21^st x SG: ARG @ +1.881 strokes gained
• T8 x GIR @ 65.82% (47/72)

Although not the biggest hitter off the tee if he can pick up even +1 stroke on the greens in putting each day his

• 7^th x Bogey avoidance @ 11.63% (67 bogeys/576 holes)

Can come into play, he needs to start hot though! Collecting Par's is not a bad thing around here either.

RF will tee off with Colin Morikawa in group 33 so with 72 players entered this week they will watch day 1 unfold all before them, by the time they get to the back 9 the greens maybe playing much faster than the earlier groups, this is where RF shines.

He had been building momentum previously so the CUTS obviously made him think about his game, he can keep that flowing here as his earlier 2026 form was rock solid & would often be well under $35, after opening around $85 on betfair on Monday night I am pleasantly surprised he has drifted to $100. The Stig & MJ deems this as value but of course we will push the envelope and try and get matched between $110 to $120.

Just confirming the total suggested spend is 11 units in total on this event with x 5 units on Scheffler + 1 unit on each other player, we have plenty of room to add 1 to 2 players if we need to coming into the final 18 holes.

Our last 2 events has resulted in a 3rd & 2nd last week which took a birdie on the 18th to prevent a 3 way playoff with the Norwegian team looking lethal with 3 x Eagles on day 4, normally that wins events so we both think we have the players this week to WIN!