PGA FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

PGA Tour

Course

TPC Southwind

Location

Memphis, TN

Date

13 August 2026Starts 7:10 am CDT (event local)

2026-08-13

America/Chicago

View odds market

This week’s free pick

Our free pick for FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 is Russell Henley at 40/1(+4000).

Course Overview

The FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee is the opening event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs whilst determining which players progress to the BMW Championship.

TPC Southwind plays to approximately 7,244 yards at par 70, featuring Zoysia grass fairways and Champion Bermuda grass greens in a parkland setting with a strategic lake coming into play on the closing holes. The August Memphis heat and humidity are among the most physically demanding conditions on the Tour calendar.

Featured Holes

Hole 9 Par 4, 457 YARDS

A long dogleg to the right, slightly downhill with the 2nd shot over a lake that is front of the green. The player needs a lot of length to get in position for the approach to the green. Ideal drive is past the large tree on the right of the fairway to ensure an open shot to the green.

Hole 11 Par 3, 157 YARDS

A smaller version of the famous 17th at TPC Sawgrass, but with its own uniqueness. This hole requires a short iron over water to an island green with a small pot bunker that guards the front edge of the green.

Hole 14 Par 3, 215 YARDS

Elevated tee and a full carry over water to a severely undulated green. A very difficult par 3, set among a natural amphitheatre.

Hole 18 Par 4, 453 YARDS

An excellent finishing hole that places a great demand off the tee. This dogleg left has water that comes into play on the first two shots, as well as fairway bunkers on the right. Spectator mounds surround the medium-sized green.

Par 70

Hole 1 – Par 4 · Yards 434

A slight uphill dogleg to the left. Fairway bunkers on the right off the tee come into play with accuracy imperative for finding the small, well-bunkered green with shot average @ 3.97.

Hole 2 – Par 4 · Yards 401

Off the tee into a dogleg right with fairway bunkers on the left off the tee. Small green with 2 bunkers requires a short-iron approach. Shot average @ 3.87.

Hole 3 – Par 5 · Yards 554

The first par 5-hole plays downhill with a lake along the right side of the fairway and green. The green is deep and narrow & guarded with water on the right and bunkers on the left. Shot average @ 4.57.

Hole 4 – Par 3 · Yards 196

With water short left of the green, this hole is considered one of the most picturesque on the course. Players will hit a 5- or 6-iron depending on the wind. Good opportunity for par with only 13.9% of players making birdie versus 72.2% making par.

Shot average @ 3.01.

Hole 5 – Par 4 · Yards 485

A slight dogleg to the right off the tee with a large tree on the right side of the fairway that comes into play. The left side of the fairway is lined by spectator viewing mounds. shot average @ 4.15 with only 9.5% of players going under par.

Hole 6 – Par 4 · Yards 445

A dogleg to the left with this narrowing fairway with large spectator hills on the left side of the fairway and fairway bunkers to the right. A long drive will require a middle-iron approach shot to a well- bunkered green. Shot average @ 3.90.

Hole 7 – Par 4 · Yards 482

Straight from the tee players will need to avoid a large fairway bunker on the left @ approx. 290 yards. The 2^nd wedge-iron shot to a very large green that is heavily bunkered on both sides. Shot average @ 4.16 with only 8.2% of players finding birdies with the majority @ +68% finding par.

Hole 8 – Par 3 · Yards 178

A short iron off the tee to a wide fairway but narrowing green with two large bunkers guarding the left side. To the right of the green is slope that slants sharply onto the green. Shot average @ 2.99 with 17.5% of players making a birdie.

Hole 9 – Par 4 · Yards 457

A long fairway dogleg to the right, slightly downhill with the 2nd shot over a lake that is in front of the green. The player needs a lot of length to get in position for the approach to the green. Ideal drive is past the large tree on the right of the fairway to ensure an open shot to the green. Shot average @ 4.03 with 19.4% of players finding a birdie but 60.7% walking away with par, the higher than 70% greens in regulation players can birdie here.

Hole 10 – Par 4 · Yards 465

A slight dogleg to the left with water possibly coming into play off the tee for a long hitter. Some players may opt to go with a 3-wood off the tee instead of a driver. The 2nd shot is over water to a well-bunkered green accented by trees short of the green. Shot average @ 3.94 with 21% of players able to walk away with a birdie.

Hole 11 – Par 3 · Yards 162

See featured holes above. Shot average @ 2.93

Hole 12 – Par 4 · Yards 406

271 yards to the right dogleg then 134 yards down the right with water that extends down the entire right side. Fairway bunkers on the left side of the hole come into play. Shot average @ 4.17 with this hole troubling players with over 27% finding bogeys.

Hole 13 – Par 4 · Yards 472

From the tee box the best strategy is down the left fairway which is 331 yards before it kicks to the right sharply. the left side is the best approach 147 yards to the green, which is well-guarded by 4 bunkers. The 13^th has 70% of players finding par with a shot average @ 4.02.

Hole 14 – Par 3 · Yards 239

See featured holes above.

Hole 15 – Par 4· Yards 395

With a heavily tree-lined fairway, players will attempt to shortcut the corner as it is 251 yards this is a short par 4 with a slight dogleg to the left. The 2nd shot of less than 146 yards is over a creek to a well-bunkered green. The tee shot is key here. shot average @ 3.97 with over 177 pars (69.4%) versus 43 birdies (16.9%).

Hole 16 – Par 5 · Yards 530

With 142 birdies on this hole, it is one-hole players must walk away with at least 4. An uphill par 5 that is reachable in 2 (351 + 183 yards). The green is small and well-guarded with bunkers. Often known as the hole that can determine the winner as par is just not good enough. Shot average @ 4.39 with 60.3% of players finding that birdie & only 4% with bogeys.

Hole 17 – Par 4 · Yards 490

A long downhill hole that requires a lot of length off the tee to set up the second shot over a creek. The long and narrow green is protected by 6 bunkers. The bombers though can take advantage as it is a 300-yard straight fairway into 194 yards. Shot average @ 4.16 yards and only 23 birdies (9.1%) only but bombers-putters could walk away in 3.

Hole 18 – Par 4 · Yards 453

See featured holes above.

What to Look For

The playoff contest creates a high-stakes performance environment. TPC Southwind rewards driving accuracy and iron precision into the Bermuda greens. Players arriving in top physical condition and strong recent form are the ones to prioritise. Past champions include 2025 winner Justin Rose, Lucas Glover, J.J. Spaun, and Tony Finau.

Tips Coming: Full selections and analysis, from our chief analyst MJ, will be published Wednesday 12 August 2026 approx 3pm AEST ahead of the event tee-off.

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.

Competitor	Tip Type	Odds	Units	Result	Rationale
Tommy Fleetwood	Win	26/1(+2600)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 3^rd x SG: Total 5^th x SG: Tee to Green 23^rd x SG: Off the Tee 12^th x Driving Accuracy @ 68.87% 43^rd x SG: Approach the Green 82^nd x Greens in Regulation @ 66.84% 3^rd x SG: Around the Green 62^nd x SG: Putting 15/16 cuts made in 2026 for 93.6% 9^th FedEx Cup points Often belying his stats with the flat stick, we can safely say that in Tommys last 11 events he has been in positive strokes gained in putting in 9 of those and he nearly hit 100% as he was only -0.21 strokes lost @ Scottish Open & -0.31 strokes lost when he was CUT @ PGA Championships. That CUT in Mid-May was his first in 22 events, he has since made 6 straight with results of- 6 x T15 2 X T5 We have closely watched TF since he finally broke through in style winning the end of season PGA TOUR Championships in 2025, he also claimed the DPWT India Open 7 weeks later before being beaten by now Major winner Aaron Rai @ DPWT Abu Dhabi Championships & then a T3 at the end of season DPW Tour Championships to Matt Fitzpatrick & Rory, the defeat was only by 1 shot. This Englishman rises a level when it is the bigger events, around TPC Southwind he has good course history. T3 x 2025 T22 x 2024 T3 x 2023 TF arrives very fresh as his last event was a T4 @ The OPEN Championships in Mid-July, being one of the elite players we have zero concerns that he is 4 weeks in between events & unlike those players near the T50 he has already secured his ticket into the BMW Championships (T50) & the end of season TOUR Championships (T30). After opening around $23 on betfair there is plenty of $26 available, with only $190k in the pool at the time of analysis try and push for closer to $30.
Hideki Matsuyama	Win	30/1(+3000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 22^nd x SG: Total 21^st x SG: T2G 113^th x SG: OTT 71^st x DA @ 61.25% 28^th x SG: APG 103^rd x GIR @ 66.18% 6^th x SG: ARG 64^th x SG: PUT 20/20 made cuts in 2026 for 100% 20^th FedEx Cup points There are always conversations with The Stig & I about “not going to the well too much” with players but HM warrants backing up despite us being bullish on him over the last few weeks and he is yet to deliver the knockout. Last week @ PGA Wyndham he was T7 but after watching all 4 days even the stress of missing key shots we saw outbursts from the usually cool Hideki, what to watch & something we do not want to see is “his cross over of hands when he tees off” the drive will miss the fairway and not just in the first cut or rough, far left which really disadvantages his 2^nd shot despite him being a very good 28^th on approach. HM is one of the slickest players on tour around the greens, his chips are pure “Magic” to watch and even though he is ranked 64^th overall amongst all putters he has been very good in all of his last 3 events- T7 @ PGA Wyndham Championships being 16^th in SG: PUT T5 @ PGA Rocket Classic being 3^rd in SG: PUT T3 @ PGA 3M Open being 17^th in SG: PUT It is worth noting that in those 3 events he was beaten by a surging Jackson Kouvin, Michael Brennan & Michael Thorbjornsen with 2 of those players being 1^st time PGA winners but all 3 scored their best golf scores to date. With reading about the swing changes the most recent event winner, Michael Brennan had made we @ PGT are also realists and how could you trust a player who had carded back-to-back final day scores of 74 (3M Open) & 73 (Rocket), Brennan was close to leading in those events. We often say that the player that can get hot on day 4 and not day 1 or 2 is the player you want to be on for momentum, unfortunately last week we had 3 x T10 results with both Tom Kim & Alex Noren chances, that all changed after a few holes on the final day. The trick for Hideki is not to start slow in 4 of his last 5 events he has finished day 4 with his best scoring of 66, 64, 64 & last week 66. He is the “horses for courses” player this week with a win only going back to 2024. TPC Southwind T17 x 2025 1^st x 2024 T16 x 2023 DNP x 2022 T2 x 2021 You can go into the website and read deeper analysis for other recent events but HM is knocking on the door, after opening around $24 on betfair there is as much $27 as you would like to get matched for, there are a few things to watch for HM, His drives off the tee box, his demeanour, he needs to remain cool. Like Tommy, try and get matched for +$36, smaller increments are more likely on betfair to get matched. He too is already in the next 2 events Odds updated as of 08:25am on 12^th August to now $30.
Ludvig Aberg	Win	30/1(+3000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 6^th x SG: Total 7^th x SG: T2G 22^nd x SG: OTT 58^th x DA @ 61.78% 14^th x SG: APG 23^rd x GIR @ 68.89% 51^st x SG: ARG 61^st x SG: PUT 14/17 cuts made in 2026 for 82.4% 10^th in FedEx Cup points Simply put the best version of Ludvig has to turn up, we have mention in previous analysis of him that “watch for his quirks” before teeing off, you want to see a smiling & laughing with his caddie before he drives the ball, a fidgety LA is a concern and we have spotted it 80% and when he starts to his errand shots that have you shaking your head. Luckily, we did not select him for the Scottish Open, but the truth is he still has only won 2 on PGA Tour and sure he is a star on the rise but you still must put up the wins along the way. Not going to cloud our selection, he is that good, he will need to improve his green play to win this, if he gets that right, he will be dangerous heading into the final 18 holes. TPC Southwind T9 x 2025 T40 x 2024 There are others we favour more at better odds. After opening around $28 on betfair he has met with strong support around $30 now on betfair, after looking around @ various bookmakers he would be one of the heavier played players right now, there is still 36 hours till tee off though. Being 10^th in FedEx he has booked his next few weeks. No pressure should help & in our opinion he is better chasing than hitting the front too soon.
Collin Morikawa	Win	32/1(+3200)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 4^th x SG: Total 6^th x SG: T2G 25th x SG: OTT 7^th x DA @ 69.71% 2nd^th x SG: APG 10^th x GIR @ 70.56% 79th x SG: ARG 85th x SG: PUT 11/14 cuts made in 2026 for 85.7% 6^th in FedEx Cup points One of the games elite ball strikers, which we saw plenty of around the links course when he won @ the PGA AT & T Pebble Beach back in February, it was a start of a nice little run- T4 x PGA RBC Heritage in Mid-April T7 x PGA Masters 5^thx PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational T7 x PGA Genesis Invitational 1^st x PGA AT & T Pebble Beach in Mid-February His last 12 events he was in +SG: APG, a look closer we know of his back injury and how he attempted to manage it with results proving he should have just taken time away as he went T62 @ PGA Cadillac Championship in early May and he bumbled along in discomfort until the PGA Championships in Mid-May, that event it was terrible watching him try walking at the end of each day and by day 4 it looked like a 90 year old Collin Morikawa hobbling around the course. A nice 4-week period in between events and he returned @ RBC Heritage in Canada and looked a little better and the results proved he could swing with at least 60% more freely, he trusted the mechanisms of his injury and it was very evident he had got the better of the back injury with his 3 most recent placings of- T18 x The OPEN Championships T3 x PGA Travelers Championships T17 x US Open 2 of the most recent 3 were majors and we kept a very close watch on all his swings to see if there were any restrictions, he looked smooth in his action. Around this course his skill set really suits. TPC Southwind T22 x 2025 T22 x 2024 T13 x 2023 T5x 2022 T26 x 2021 If there was any chink in his game it may well, be he has lost strokes in the past 3 events around the greens, not a concern as he only lost -0.54 strokes @ The OPEN, -0.70 strokes lost @ Travelers & only losing -0.48 strokes in SG: ARG @ US Open. On the flip side the major positive he negated that by picking up strokes in all other SG metrics we measure. When his game is on, he really is Elite and he did 9 straight events prior all in +SG: ARG. CM opened around $29 on betfair and there is plenty pf $32 now on betfair, there is more money for players like Matt Fitzy, Ludvig, Xander & a mountain of money for Scheffler. Anything around $30 is good odds considering he is now much fitter and injury free, this is reassuring + he also had 3 weeks into this nice & fresh following fatherhood as well. He looks dangerous around a course that just suits his play.
Justin Thomas	Win	36/1(+3600)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 27^th x SG: Total 23^rd x SG: T2G 50^th x SG: OTT 50^th x DA @ 62.31% 104^th x SG: APG 140^th x GIR @ 64.18% 1^st x SG: ARG 74^th x SG: PUT 14/15 cuts made in 2026 for 93.3% 39^th in FedEx Cup points There are various players in our selections this week that may be stronger off the tee and average around the greens with only just better than the T100 putters on tour but JT is #1 in SG: ARG and this course has proven over the last 5 years that you need to find fairways (Driving accuracy), ball striking is a must so wedge & iron play has to be firing but the last 5 years has not been won by the best putter, in fact winners have lost strokes in putting. Winners have not lost strokes though on approach or around the greens, hole proximity is paramount & the results in the last few events have been better than they first read for JT. It is well documented of his back surgery, and he found form quickly with a T8 @ PGA The Players before what many thought was a regression due to the injury with results ranging from T30 to T77 in the next 3 events, it was not until- T4 @ PGA Championships T3 @ PGA Truist Championships That media started paying attention, we had JT trending up our 130-player database as we saw many little trends and what many missed was, he had changed his driver head a few times (angle-loft) and even started using his mini driver more (Titleist), the results followed. Since the 2 x T5 in May he has made 7 straight cuts and in 5 of those he resulted in T20, his warmup T14 @ last weeks PGA Wyndham he had 3 days of the 4 in 66 (-4), we like consistency but some players from last week never really got out of 2^nd gear, they looked to be tinkering for the 3 big weeks ahead. TPC Southwind T28 x 2025 T30 x 2024 DNP x 2023 T13 x 2022 T26 x 2021 Unlike a few well in the market JT so far even before teeing off has secured a BMW Championship start, he will need a strong result to push firmly into the T30 for end of season TOUR Championships. We prefer when pressure is on JT he seems to play better but after opening around $32 on betfair he is drifting with plenty of $38 available and I have seen $40-$42, Anything over the latter is a fair price. We want to see JT setting up some nice birdie opportunities, if his putter can sink a few, he will contend but we like what we are seeing.
Viktor Hovland	Win	42/1(+4200)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 26^th x SG: Total 20^th x SG: T2G 82^nd x SG: OTT 27^th x DA @ 65.42% 18^th x SG: APG 104^th x GIR @ 66.17% 38^th x SG: ARG 84^th x SG: PUT 12/16 cuts made in 2026 for 75% 23^rd in FedEx Cup points The smiling Norwegian finally put it all together to defeat Scotti Scheffler @ PGA Travelers Championship in late June. It was a confidence boosting win as he was having mixed weeks, yet he was still relatively confident in all the interviews we watched before the victory. VH had mentioned many times about the changes he had made in his game, and we all know that comes with time, also VH is not a player we often select either, off the top of my head maybe twice in the last 2 years, so we try and get him at the right time. After winning he suffered “the mental letdown” that massive endorphin rush then followed by a crash usually, but he has also managed the CUT in England and arrives here nice and fresh of 4 weeks between events, just like Tommy. It is his very good wedge & iron play that will see him contend over 72 holes this weekend. He went close in 2024 when T2 and oddly enough he was CUT from The OPEN in 2024 when 2^nd here & also a poor T63 @ The OPEN. It is fair to say he just does NOT play well @ The OPEN. He does play well though around TPC Southwind. T32 x 2025 T2 x 2024 T13 x 2023 T20 x 2022 T36 x 2021 It is Worth mentioning he was in worse form in 2025 before he went- T7 X BMW Championships T2 x PGA TOUR Championships His timing seems impeccable, also after the PGA TOUR Champs he finished T5 X DPWT/PGA BMW + T6 X DPWT Indian Open, proving he holds form. We think he can replicate the same form as seen at PGA Travelers, his current odds around $48 seems value. We are not concerned that he missed the cut by 2 shots over the pond. His ball striking + his 2^nd around here in 2024 gives us confidence his game is going well despite the cut. His price on betfair keeps fluctuating but between $46 to $50 is more than fair. Being 23^rd in FedEx Cup points he is very safe. There is no cut for the playoffs (next 3 events). Odds update as of 08:25am on 12^th August @ $42
Patrick Cantlay	Win	44/1(+4400)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 14^th x SG: Total 9^th x SG: T2G 30^th x SG: OTT 59^th x DA @ 61.75% 21^st x SG: APG 35^th x GIR @ 69.26% 35^th x SG: ARG 93^rd x SG: PUT 13/17 cuts made in 2026 for 76.5% 42nd in FedEx Cup points For transparency PC has driven me nuts when we have selected him and on face value just cannot get the job done, even on my own admission “I sacked him” I declared to the Stig but as analysts it is fine to sack any player that we feel does not meet certain criteria so we binned PC for a while, as a punter though he is hard to ignore when it comes to TPC Southwind. Sacking PC worked for us when he missed the CUT @ US Open then 2 weeks later @ Genisis Scottish Open, we have watched him in 2 events since and he looks much sharper. Unlike Hideki form, PC has however been in the thick of it if we are comparing “apples with apples” and we like to do a simple Player V Player, it works well but with our punting hats on there is nothing worse watching a player with your hard-earned falter. We like his grinding effort when T28 @ The OPEN Championship & his T8 @ PGA Rocket was very “tradesman like” what we did see @ Rocket was- 3^rd x SG: APG +6.742 34^th x SG: PUT +1.868 Sure, you would like to see +3 to +4 strokes on putting but in his last 2 events he has been in +SG in all strokes gained metrics that PGT measures. PC has now been in +SG: PUT in all his last 4 events including the 1 CUT so the most pleasing factor it is not his usual weakness causing an early weekend. He only needs to replicate his good form around TPC Southwind to figure. T9 x 2025 T12 x 2024 2^nd x 2023 After opening around $40 on betfair he has drifted to $44, but I would try for at least +$50 on betfair as there is not much interest at all. Of course, that could change depending on who picks him in other places but since starting summary the pool is now $261k so it will grow to at least 10 times this. Also to consider he is 42^nd in FedEx Cup points, he needs a good result to lift into the T30 for the Tour Championships, his place next week @ BMW seems safe.
Russell Henley	Win	50/1(+5000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 18^th x SG: Total 41^st x SG: T2G 39^th x SG: OTT 1^st x DA @ 72.81% 53^rd x SG: APG 63^rd x GIR @ 67.92% 106^th x SG: ARG 14^th x SG: PUT 14/17 cuts made in 2026 for 82.4% 15^th in FedEx Cup points To be very transparent we have RH as our free play we like him that much, I was hoping he was playing at the PGA Wyndham Championships as I was keen to back him, we last saw him though @ PGA Rocket Classic when T20, he was happy with his game- 1^st x SG: PUT +8.861 Unlike many players who were outside the T70 bubble and had to keep pushing each week being ranked 15th in FedEx points means if you are happy with where your game is then a freshen is a great idea as it is the next 3 weeks of intense play. Also proven around TPC Southwind- T17 x 2025 T30 x 2024 T6 x 2023 RH seems to be hitting his stride at the right time, he sits comfortably in the rankings so will play with no pressure having to chase points, after opening around $40 on betfair he quickly drifted out to $44 & there is around $50 on betfair now on offer. We have never been concerned with drifting odds, our 11 outright winners, more than any golf service out there that we know of in 2026 means we like to find value. RH is value, we like Henley & Hovland this week as our better bets, of course you just do not back 2 golfers in a field of 69 players (represents only 2.8%) we like our strategy and we find winners often with only between 5 to 7% of the field. This week we will have 17% of the field which is the most to date in all of 2026, but we also have challenged ourselves to find the “triple crown” the next 3 winners!
Robert MacIntyre	Win	75/1(+7500)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 16^th x SG: Total 43^rd x SG: T2G 23^rd x SG: OTT 64^th x DA @ 61.63% 103^rd x SG: APG 107^th x GIR @ 65.91% 71^st x SG: ARG 8^th x SG: PUT 15/18 cuts made in 2026 for 83.3% 31^st in FedEx Cup points We have been on and off the Scotsman though 2025 and 2 -3 times in 2026 but we cooled off Bobby Mac as he just could not get his temper under control. He finally controlled that aspect of his game, and his new mental approach has seen him get the results his actual golf play deserves. That big change (mental shift) in his game saw after he was CUT @ PGA Memorial in early June he has now made 5 straight cuts (important as he missed 2 form 3 prior), his best result was when defending his Scottish Open title- 3^rd x Genesis Scottish Open 10^th x PGA Travelers Championship In the run of 5 straight events, he has also mended his mindset with 5 x SG: PUT all in positives stokes gained, that is rare, he was in a nutshell a hothead, his game changed, from all 25 strokes gained metrics he was POSITIVE in 23, It Must be mentioned he would have been @ 100% in SG but he lost -0.32 strokes lost in APG @ The OPEN Championship and again lost -0.48 strokes on APG @ US Open, I will gladly accept that from any player when they are then picking up +1 stroke in putting each day. That is how transformed Bobby Mac’s game has transformed. In the 3 events he has played in around TPC Southwind he has played well & I have zero concerns that he only sits in 103^rd in 2026 PGA stats. To nullify that stat, BM ha snow been in +SG: APG in all his last 5 events. TPC Southwind T38 x 2025 T7 x 2024 DNP x 2023 DNP x 2022 T15 x 2021 BM is relatively safe sitting in 31^st in FedEx Cup points and he really must be happy with his game right now, his iron play looking sharp & he has steadily been improving the flat stick stats climbing from 39^th in 2024 to 35^th in 2025 & 8^th in 2026 in Strokes gained putting. IT MATTERS. We are expecting a big early push (play wise on the course) from BM & after opening around $60 early on betfair he has drifted with average support to $75 now on betfair. The players selected from Hovland to MWL represent in our humble opinion value, very good players in very good current form, they should be shorter. The Stig & MJ are keen to see these value players perform, when we are not winning we are going very close.
Min Woo Lee	Win	90/1(+9000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 13^th x SG: Total 11^th x SG: T2G 12^th x SG: OTT 93^rd x DA @ 59.88% 61^st x SG: APG 96^th x GIR @ 66.40% 31^st x SG: ARG 81^st x SG: PUT 14/17 cuts made in 2026 for 82.4% 4^th in FedEx Cup points Without doubt his best season on the PGA to date, the results have flowed in 2026 & this Aussie will be winning plenty in the coming years. Often more known for his driving distance we have seen his smooth wedge & iron play on display @ Pebble Beach & Spyglass links course @ PGA AT & T Pebble Beach into PGA Texas Houston Open & he gave us a scare when we picked Tom Kim in Scotland, MWL was 2^nd but he looked super consistent across all 4 days- 2^nd x Genesis Scottish open with rounds of 66, 66, 66, 67 for -15 (265) Luckily Tom Kim found his putter in Scotland, he did not last week @ PGA Wyndham on day 4! We just like everything MWL is doing & below his stats we are not paying too much attention to around this weekends course as he has conquered tougher and arrives in far better form. TPC Southwind T68 x 2025 T22 x 2024 Another player who thrives in competition and now MWL sits a career high 17^th in FedEx Cup points he has sealed his next 2 weeks after this, important to note in 2025 he did finish- T5 x PGA TOUR Championships T11 x PGA BMW Championships Massive results but were fortunate to pick him when he did win for the first time on PGA tour @ Texas Children’s Open defeating Scottie Scheffler & Gary Woodland, form franked numerous times, but I honestly still can recall the putt that won him the event. If timing & or momentum mean anything in this game, then MWL is ready to win this. I read somewhere that Scottie Scheffler is -150 to win at least one of the next 3 weeks (he’ll defend his title at the BMW Championship, a different course). Scheffler is +530 to win 2 of the next 3 events, while he’s +3400 to pull off a clean sweep and win all 3 Playoffs events. Only McIlroy (+20000) is listed with odds below 625-to-1 to pull off the trifecta. Seems gross unders for Scheffler to win all 3, he is good but that good? We hope not!!! MWL opened around $70 on betfair and at time of summary with $290k in the betfair exchange he is a very nice $85, happy to take that but of course will try between $90-$100. The Aussie can start fast as well**, unlike a few noted slow starters who improve into the weekend.
Kurt Kitayama	Win	130/1(+13000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 30^th x SG: Total 19^th x SG: T2G 31^st x SG: OTT 69^th x DA @ 61.34% 12^th x SG: APG 16^th x GIR @ 70.24% 113^th x SG: ARG 103^rd x SG: PUT 17/19 cuts made in 2026 for 89.5% 33^rd in FedEx Cup points His last win was in 2025 @ 3M Open which was roughly this time last year and we have been on KK a few times in 2026, he has played well most of the time but one thing we have noticed is he has been far more consistent overall in 2026. In 2026 he has made all 4 cuts seeing the final 36 holes at ALL MAJORS with his best result a T10 @ PGA Championships, Aronimink GC was tricky and this is no different here, in 2026 he has made 82% of cuts & when comparing his 2025 season he was only 60% & he only qualified to make it through to the 2025 BMW Championship (T19). TPC Southwind T9 x 2025 That T19 @ BMW was on the back of a T9 @ 2025 PGA St Jude FedEx so the excitement & the experience will serve him well this time around. He is a noted ball striker, his wedge & iron play are his best, we will keep an eye on his accuracy off the tee, we did see him hit a tent @ RBC Heritage but he still managed a T8 there despite wayward tee shots, he has proven himself on tricky courses @ PGA Cadillac Championships and he was great when 2^nd @ PGA Genesis Invitational. How could anyone forget those poa anuua greens, had the event been another 3 or 4 holes he would have won by a few strokes, he was flying home 64 (-7). It is why we give KK a shot because he can shoot low and if he can get into a nice rhythm then anything is possible, despite his odds of around +$130 on betfair & as advised very consistent in 2026, he has earnt his points to sit a comfortable 33^rd in FedEx Cup points. See if you can get matched between +$150 to $170. Small increments more likely. A big push can see him qualify for the TOUR Championships.
Corey Conners	Win	130/1(+13000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 83^rd x SG: Total 48^th x SG: T2G 60^th x SG: OTT 21^st x DA @ 67.05% 36^th x SG: APG 42^nd x GIR @ 69.01% 126^th x SG: ARG 127^th x SG: PUT 18/20 cuts made in 2026 for 90% 59^th in FedEx Cup points Anytime he can get his putter to run warm (not hot) he results, you will often see this Canadian zoom up the leaderboards because of some excellent approach shots, his sits high up on approaches between 125 to 200 yards His iron play mainly has seen him result in- 7 x T25 from 18 (38% SR) events where he made the CUT We know the Canadian that well that on Approach shots from the ride side rough he is 11^th under 275 yards but 38^th from the left side rough. Something to keep an eye on, but if you are watching all 4 days like me then we only need to be mindful of his putting, that only needs to convert 40% more and he will feature, if he goes on a run with a hot putter which he has done from time to time (usually 2 of the 4 days) then we will watch with more interest. Thankfully he finds fairways (usually) with his near 70% driving accuracy we just need the putter this weekend, the course this week you just have to find fairways, find the green on approach and convert more than you miss, he knows this course well having- TPC Southwind T50 x 2025 T6 x 2023 T28 x 2022 T36 x 2021 His very best would be good enough and for him to make next week he is mathematically a 2-way T14 result will see him advance into the BMW Championship next week. After opening around $110 on betfair I am shocked to see him only around $130 now on betfair, I would rate him easily @ +$200 player in most events, even considering that the field is only 69 players I still think $200 is fair value, if you can get matched at +$300 then that is good value. We are very mindful this event is not won by putting strokes, players have lost strokes in that metric and still won. It is why we have included Michael Kim below, on current form alone and him shooting low most events the odds should be reversed between the 2 players IMO.
Michael Kim	Win	280/1(+28000)	1.00	LOSS	2026 PGA stats 69^th x SG: Total 112th x SG: T2G 137^th x SG: OTT 130^th x DA @ 56.75% 90^th x SG: APG 146^th x GIR @ 63.99% 64^th x SG: ARG 107^th x SG: PUT 17/24 cuts made in 2026 for 70.8% 61^st in FedEx Cup points For the newer members only, we did go close when MK nearly won @ $220 for us @ PGA Valero Texas Open (JJ Spaun won) and if it were not for a complete brain explosion, he really should have been the victor. In previous analysis (see on website) we highlighted when his putter co-operates then “lookout” was the word we used. We were not on him when he shot an incredible 59 (-12) on day 2 @ PGA 3M Open, what is annoying, overall, he finished T10, but his final score was -17. What we do like and how we track players is we give them a rating, so we weight specific factors in our database& in MKs last 4 events where he has made the cut and played all 72 holes, he has been under par in 15 of 16 rounds. It is not unusual for MK to shoot 64 or 65 he has carded 62 @ RBC Heritage but he has been more consistent in the last 3 straight events, the results show this with- T10 x PGA 3M Open T8 x PGA Rocket Classic T54 x PGA Wyndham Championships There was BIG positives to take out of Wyndham with- 16^th x SG: APG +3.484 over 72 holes 18^th x SG: PUT +1.777 on day 3 but T35 in 2 of the other 3 days It is because we watch every event, we get to track players & like anyone who follows a sport you know who is good at what & also what they are not good at, improvements at just one event the Stig & I call “Anomalies” because anyone can fluke a good performance, it is over time you start to notice if they have improved. Our hope is MK goes for it this weekend with a “go for broke” attitude, we know he can shoot low and around a course where putting is not the strongest asset he maybe able to convert some lost shots in other metrics with his putter to even it out. Hopefully all clubs are firing, MK only has the one finish here- TPC Southwind T59 x 2025 Much more than a speculator around $240 @ betfair MK has shown especially with a few low rounds of late that he is playing his best golf yet, he just needs to link 72 holes together. Try and get matched for +$300 as MK opened as low as $170, there were no takers and as such he went out to $200, no takers he drifted to $210, to $220 and still no matching he is now $240. There is a theme here members, if you take the first available price and say it is $10 @ $240 then look to see what the next figure down is, you are shooting yourself in the foot by taking early odds. If you keep taking lower odds because you are filling $50 as your staking this is like poker, you have already shown your hand, always go high and work back. We will highlight getting matched for the right number when we go live on youtube. Always important on larger odds to try smaller increments & also consider after day 1 if you cannot always get filled at the price quoted, I see it every week where you can get between 3 to 5 x the odds and it was demonstrated with recent winner Chris Gotterup who was 6-7 x more odds on day 4 than he was on day 1. It is another strategy will be going live with on youtube. We are always exploring, how to maximise. MK needs a 3-way T12 finish will see him advance to the T50 next week @ BMW Championships. We also sometimes will summarise a little too long, but we like to back up “WHY” we select a player unlike other analysts who pick a player with no explanation why. In other words, we back up our player with analysis in several ways. $280 on betfair updated @ 08:25am on the 12^th August.
Sungjae Im	Win (Late Mail)	9.4/1(+940)	2.00	LOSS	We have from memory selected SIM a few times in 2026 and the latest was @ PGA 3M Open, this is what was sent out for SIM @ $60, of note Michael Brennan was also a selection, and he won only 2 events later @ PGA Wyndham Championships. *From 3M Open Analysis- 2026 PGA stats 90^th x SG: Total 111^th x SG: T2G 59^th x SG: OTT 62^nd x DA @ 60.85% 150^th x SG: APG 152^nd x GIR @ 60.73% 14^th x SG: ARG 47^th x SG: PUT 12/17 Cuts made in 2026 for 70.58% SIM can be a hard player to catch as we have previously selected him now 3 times since he returned from injury, another simple equation to solve is he needs to find greens better than he has & has lost strokes now in 13 of his last 14 events. The positive was last week where each day around Royal Birkdale he was in +SG: APG each day, his putter was good as was he around the greens which saw a good T14 @ the last major of 2026. Last 6 events 4/6 x SG: Off the tee his other 2 were only less than 0.10 strokes lost 1/6 x SG: Approach the greens 4/6 x SG: Around the greens 4/6 x SG: Putting Simply put we just need SIM to be better with his wedge & irons, if he solves this his around green play will see him challenge the leaders & after opening around $42 on betfair he has drifted to $55, try for +$80 as many analysts are not giving him much hope. As we have seen players can click for a weekend, his T5 @ PGA Truist was his best result in 2026 & how SIM played last week was very similar. Again, if he solves his wedge & iron play, he will contest. From St Jude with 54 holes down- 41^st x SG: Off the Tee losing -0.026 strokes T42 x Driving Accuracy @ 50.00% (21/42) 14^th x SG: Approach to Green @ +1.931 T5 x Greens in Regulation @ 68.52% (37/54) 15^th x SG: Around the Green @ +1.162 1^st x SG: Putting @ +6.734 T1 x Sand Saves @ 100.00% (7/7) T2 x SG: Total @ +9.801 Currently in T2 for birdies with 18 looking back at yesterdays play he bogeyed hole 3, par 5 after finding the water so instead of 5 shots he had to cop it as 6 & the only other bogey on day 3 was @ hole 11 which was the par 3 but his iron shot off the tee travelled short @ only 161 yards when it should have carried a little further but on his 3^rd shot (for par) it rolled just past the hole by 2 inches, other than that his general play was rock solid finishing with 67 (-3). It only confirms his consistency around TPC Southwind with days of 66, 66 & 67 he is the only player in the T3 who is yet to have a near course record day like Scheffler (61) & Burns (62). In the early hours of this morning, I had watched both Scheffler & Hovland tied for 1^st @ -10, I nodded off because by the time I awoke Scheffler was at the 15^th hole and Hovland had gone missing. I rewatched the holes missed and as the Stig & I discussed there was never any doubt Scheffler would falter after carding a course record 61 (-9) on day 2, he did manage to muster again and finished the day @ -13. He is the #1 player in the world & he was $8 before day 2 started and is now $1.55 on betfair, do not discount players like Tommy who grind away and to be fair & we are hoping that Scheffler does what he can sometimes do, Hit wayward tee shots, he no doubt will have a game plan but even Hideki who is 6 shots off the leader has been having very solid final 18 hole results of late (4 of his last 5 have been in 66, 64, 64 & 66). If Hideki can get on his bike very early and birdie the first few holes, he can get the momentum needed & apply early pressure to the final group. He knows this course well being a winner and runner up in 2024 (1^st) & 2021 (2^nd). Selected @ $30 beofre the vent started there as much as $100 on betfair now, he is a bolters chance but as we have witnessed a few times in 2026 winners have come from further back. It is never over until everyone is in the club house! The late mail is around $9.40 on betfair & I have seen plenty available to be matched between a low of $9.20 and a high @ $10 and the strategy is 2 units the win combined with the previous 13 units equates to us having 15 units total in play, if SIM can win, we are in profit by +5.80 units (+18.80 overall is the possible) return. We will see who the genuine contenders are by holes 6 & 7** as scoring on the first 4 holes has been very possible. Yes, we are taking on #1 in the world, but we have also seen he still has a few YIPS in his game. Fingers crossed!

#Tips	Wins	Units	Net Profit	ROI
14	0	15.00	-15.00	-100.00%