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DPWT DPWT 2025 BMW Championships Australia — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

Course

Royal Queensland GC

Location

Brisbane QLD Australia

Date

27 November 2025

2025-11-27

The Long awaited DPWT/PGA BMW Championships has arrived.

The first leg of the new 2026 DP World Tour schedule & we have our home favourites along with players from both European tours and LIV players & looking at the news feeds from Royal Queensland GC the course curator could not have the TifEagle Bermuda grass looking any better on the greens.

The Royal Queensland Golf Club was founded in 1920 by a group of prominent citizens of Brisbane who obtained a lease of land occupying 420 acres (in today’s terms 170 hectares) – since reduced to around 266 acres (108 hectares) – fronting the Brisbane River in an area known as Parker Island.

To date Royal Queensland has hosted 3 Australian Open Championships and 4 Australian Amateur Championships.

Designer of this course, Michael Clayton describes the new layout and the philosophy of the design as follows:

“Royal Queensland is a course that was designed to place an emphasis on strategic golf. The width and space afforded the golfers from the tee gives them every opportunity to decide for themselves where best to play.

There are very few shots on the course where the architecture dictates where the golfer must play. At most of the 2 & 3 shot holes the test from the tee is of accurate driving to position as opposed to simple straight hitting.

Most of the greens are arranged so the player is presented with a preferred line of play into the flag and those playing from the non-preferred side are likely to face a quite different shot and one that is more difficult.

The most highly rated courses in the world are based on strategy & providing choices for golfers, rather than dictating that there is only one way to play a hole. The Old Course at St Andrews is still perhaps the best course in the game. Certainly, it is the most interesting & consequently the most fun to play.

Whilst Royal Queensland looks nothing like the Old Course at St Andrews, there are similarities in how they play & the questions they ask. Neither course employs long grass as a penal hazard, the fairways are wide & offer a variety of lines from the tee. Bunkers are used as centre-line hazards rather than simply putting them down the sides of the fairways and asking players to hit between them.

There are difficult bunker shots at Royal Queensland, especially around the greens & the bunkers are a significant part of the defence of the golf course. Not always will the player be afforded a perfect lie or a perfectly ‘fair’ shot, Bunkers are hazards on this course.

Royal Queensland is not a course where players will grow bored. The best lines to take from the tees and the best shots to play vary from day to day depending on the wind, the position of the flag, the state of one’s game and the state of a match. That is the essence of making the game interesting on more than just a superficial level and Royal Queensland is a course that captures that spirit.”

Par 72

7046 yards

Fairways, Tees, and Roughs: Tahoma 31 couch grass.

Greens-TifEagle Bermuda grass

  • 3 x Par 5s
  • 11 x Par 4s
  • 4 x Par 3s

A long Par 4 to finish this Championship layout, the generous driving area should enable players to avoid the bunkers down the left-hand side of the fairway. The drive, however, must still be positioned to give players the best approach to the pin, the relatively shallow green runs away from players from left to right and is surrounded by bunkers.

Player skills suited at Royal Queensland

  • Aggressive Drivers off the Tee rewarded
  • Local knowledge highly advantageous
  • Consistent Ball strikers
  • Converting birdie opportunities
  • Top rated putters

This week our 7 players have been good this year on both DPWT and LIV with most ranking in the Top 75 OWGR & have been selected for their good T2G play and are consistent putters.

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.
Competitor Tip Type Odds Units Result Rationale
Marco Penge Win 14/1(+1400) 1.00 LOSS

Since his suspension from gambling on golf events this young Englishmen has been on an absolute run in Europe culminating in 3 Wins on the DP World Tour.

His last 18 events

  • 3 x Wins
  • 7 x Top 10s
  • 12 x Top 25s
  • In 18 events he has made the CUT in 16 (88.8%)

What has been so impressive & unlike many players who chase both tours like the PGA & DPWT he has been consistent & in the last 9 events he has taken on 7 players who sit firmly entrenched in the World Top 10, that consistency I mention has him now ranked 30th in OWGR & 2nd on DPWT ahead of Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrell Hatton.

Penge this week is without question the stat king heading into Royal QLD where he has now been in positive strokes gained in most metrics.

  • 14 of 18 events in +SG: Total
  • 17 of 18 events in +SG: OTT his only miss was -0.03 strokes @ The Open
  • 13 of 18 events in +SG: APG
  • He only loses on Avg -0.50 strokes SG: ARG & SG: PUT

His stats are a sea of green and where he does have minus strokes lost, they are very minor he then replaces it overall SG: T2G by on Avg per day by +1.50 to a high of +3.50 SG.

There is no one in this current line up who has so much green (+ in strokes gained) he also arrives fit and only 10 days after the DP World Tour Championships, the final event on the 2025 tour where he may have finished T22 but he was slow to start with a 74 before moving on day 2 with 70 before again improving into the final 2 days with a 68 & 67 for -9 under par.

The final day he was +3.21 strokes gained with only the winner, Matt Fitzpatrick & Ludvig Aberg bettering it, the +3.21 SG was = to none other than Rory McIlroy.

This course suits perfectly.

 

David Puig Win 16/1(+1600) 1.00 WIN

This LIV player was very good last week @ the Asian Tour, PIF Saudi International at the Riyadh GC when a T16 result did not really highlight his very good Day 3, 64 which was on the back of a T9 @ Spanish Open (DPWT) into a T14 @ Hong Kong Open (Asian Tour).

That event in Hong Kong was on a links styled course which was Won by Tom McKibbin who was unstoppable with his -27, he won the event by 7 strokes, it was a crazy Win as despite his youth he has shown very minor glimpses of this form on the DPWT.

PUIG who himself is only 23 yrs old is of this new breed coming through & he is trending so well in his past 3 straight events you have to include this very good Ball striker & putter.

For those who have not been following LIV, David Puig was the first college player to sign a contract with LIV Golf, He represented Europe in the Junior RYDER Cup Back in 2018 & has represented the International team against the U.S. in the Arnold Palmer Cup in 2020 and 2021.

Since joining the LIV tour his best results came earlier in 2025 with 5 x Top 10s from his 1st 6 events-

  • 3rd x DPWT Ras Al Khaimah Championships
  • T4 x DPWT Bahrain Championships
  • T6 X LIV Riyadh
  • 4th x LIV Adelaide
  • 4th x LIV Singapore

I have watched DP closely on the Asian Tour, he really is trending well for Australia, I am shocked he is so short on betfair but he does have a 70% Greens in Regulation on LIV tour record & is ranked 4th in Driving distance.

That combination will go a long way in this.

Adam Scott Win 24/1(+2400) 1.00 LOSS

At 45 yrs young this PGA tour veteran has now Won x 13 on PGA & also 8 x DP World tour events & AS has won this event x 2 when it was held @ the Royal Pines GC in 2013 & 2019.

With local knowledge I am sure this well rested version of himself back on home soil can make a sold case for 3 wins of this event & most in the Golf industry would attest he has one of best swings in the game.

His last event was @ the DPWT Genesis Championships in South Korea, and it was a pass mark for a respectable T30 which made it 6 straight events playing all 4 days. We here like our players to make it pass day 2.

In fact, from his last 25 events all over the world & on different tours including 2 x MAJORS, AS has made 22 CUTS (88%) if we can find players above 70% SR to make it into Day 3 & 4 we can have better results.

Just on his 2 Majors in 2025 Scott always turns up-

Just on his 2 Majors in 2025 Scott always turns up-

  • T12 x US Open in Mid-June
  • T19 x PGA Championships in May

Despite having no wins in 2025 he does boast 7 x Top 25 results in better fields than what he meets this weekend.

 It is the same mentality he comes in Royal Queensland 4 weeks in between events

Just quickly on his stats-

  • 18 of 25 events in positives SG: Total
  • 18 of 25 events in + SG: OTT (6 of those were less than -0.25 strokes lost)
  • 18 of 25 events in +SG: APG (again 4 of those were less than -50 strokes lost)
  • 17 of 25 events in +SG: ARG (6 of those were less than -0.15 strokes lost)

That is an incredible resume above and he is currently $24 on betfair so as he is an Aussie we have to accept a haircut on price, I do however find him more probable than David Puig who is only $16.

 

Daniel Hillier Win 34/1(+3400) 1.00 LOSS

This kiwi who is often mistaken as an Aussie but will proudly fly the ANZAC flag I have been on in his previous 2 of 3 events in Europe.

DH was enormous @ the DPWT Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships which he nearly won, His -22 saw him slightly drop off from leaders Aaron Rai & Tommy Fleetwood who both carded -25 to fight it out in the Playoff.

OTT distance & Ball striking was the skill set required around the big greens in Abu Dhabi but some of the spin shots DH was playing were so good he really deserved the win.

He backed up in the DP World Tour Championship where only the Top 50 play & he held his own again with a creditable -11, the winner had -18 but of interest is-

  • 16th in SG: Total
  • 12th in SG: OTT
  • 6th in Driving Accuracy (72% of Fairways found)
  • 7th in GIR with 76.39% of greens hit
  • 33rd in SG: ARG
  • 3rd in SG: PUT
  • 16th in stroke Avg = 69.25
  • 3rd in Par 4 scoring

As advised, I have been on DH in 2 of his past 3 results (the good 2) & I do not want a situation like with Sami Valimaki winning the PGA last week and there was no saver even on him.

As we will always advise watch the past tipped players, like black bookers in horse racing they were selected for a reason previously, very hard to capture all but a little bit of something is better than nothing.

So, Hillier to me seems great shopping around $34 on betfair, I would like to see him up the top of the leaderboard early though. He only needs to repeat what he is doing of late to feature in QLD.

Wenyi Ding Win 70/1(+7000) 1.00 LOSS

This is another player I have to follow up on & we have predicted a few younger players like finding Kazuma Kobori + Keita Nakajima in 2024 & into early 2025, this 21-yr old from China could be every bit as good as another Chinese player I include often in Li Haotong.

DING often goes toe to toe with Haotong around Asian events and I have been watching Ding the last 4 or 5 events now.

Do not be bluffed by his current 269th in OWGR or even his 75th in DPWT rankings as he has really impressed me in 3 of his last 4 events.

He was good in 2 of 3 days, the 4th day was abandoned due to inclement weather @ DPWT Alred Dunhill Links Championships won by local Robert Macintyre but WD went 67, 67 & was well in front of both Tommy Fleetwood & recent winner Matt Fitzpatrick then when the rain kicked in Ding shot a 73 but his -9 over 3 days still earnt him T21.

Fast forward to 2 weeks later on the Asian Tour he went very close @ SJM Macao Open when resulting in 3rd only 1 shot in arrears of the eventual winner.

I must say the Stig & I were kicking ourselves as Ding looked very likely after days of 63, 69, 65, 67. The winner & 2nd shot rounds of 62 & 63 so what I have found from WD is he can be like so many of the golfers on various tour struggle to put 4 good days together, I have often commented I would much rather a golfer card consistent -4 to -5 each and every day than some course record 61 or similar.

It rarely ends well.

So I am hoping this usually slick ball striker and Putter can be consistent this week, his price was $60 when markets opened & he seems to have found his price around $70 on betfair, there are prove winners on DPWT that are double his price, so I know what he is capable of but will we see this week is the ?

Cam Davis Win 90/1(+9000) 1.00 LOSS

I have been talking the other Cam up to The Stig for a few months now commenting how he generally comes good around this part of the season.

This is the 1st official event of the 2026 DPWT "Opening Swing" which includes the 2 events in Australia, then over to South Africa for 2 events before finishing up in Mauritius before the "International Swing" commences in Dubai on the 15th January so plenty of golf to keep us busy.

The other Cam, I am sure he dislikes hearing this but CD has been pretty quiet this year on the PGA tour with his best result being a T5 early in 2025 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am, he was good from this time last year with a T6 & his -9 did not tell the true tale as he looked like the player who was coming home well, so not having 72 holes played really affected the outcome.

So from his time last year-

  • T6 @ PGA BMW Championships
  • Cut @ ISPS Handa Championships
  • T13 @ PGA Sentry
  • Cut @ PGA Sony Open in Hawaii
  • T18 @ PGA The American Express
  • T5 @ PGA AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

The events from November 2024 through to early February 2025 were rock solid, he then missed 5 straight Cuts from mid-February to late April of that year before bouncing back with a surprise-

  • T13 @ RBC Heritage (a good form reference all year)

He then found form resulting in his next 4 events but the best a T19 @ PGA Championships (Major) he then goes and misses the Cut in his next 5 of 7 events, his last events he has resulted for-

T44 @ PGA Wyndham Championships

T50 @ PGA FexEx St Jude Championships.

Nothing exciting, however, Since the triple bogey recovery @ Wyndham in August, there is a bunch of interviews of him, and he was lethargic just trying to explain where "his game had gone to".

He was brutally honest in one interview I watched where he said he "just so tired" it's something that not a lot of people would fully comprehend is although they play golf professionally it still involves so much travel, He has been well rested for 12 weeks now, this should recharge CD this week.

I will not get into his stats too greatly but there events earlier in 2025 where he was the early leader after 18 & 36 holes, we know he can play so hoping the mental holiday has him fired up, winning is "not strange" to him as he has 2 x PGA wins +

@ $90 at time of Analysis he maybe overs due to him not playing recently & players can often be forgotten.

 

Kazuma Kobori Win 110/1(+11000) 1.00 LOSS

The final player in our 7 I would have thought he would start well under $60 here.

We pretty much discovered him and he was playing around $500 in 2024, then even after his T31 in Kenya (DWPT) which he backed up with a T25 in South Africa (DPWT) he was still flying around +$200, he went off the boil only a little then-

Everyone knew who this 24-yr old Kiwi was.

His trajectory was still good and although he was not firing on all cylinders through June he showed he maybe ready to Win a DP event with his-

  • 3rd @ DPWT BMW International in Germany with a good -18

He was the best on Day 4 with a remarkable 63, that was 3 to 4 shots better than 1st & 2nd overall but those finishing behind him were PENGE who won multiple events after so that franks his form.

He was solid in Germany with a slow start which seems his trait, his 72 improved to 67 * 68 before that final 63.

This is all from a relatively newcomer to the rigours of DPWT life, he evolved quickly from February to August 2025 & only 17 events in this year.

After that 3rd in Germany & what may have felt like a Win hangover for him, he found himself struggling missing 3 straight Cuts before his incredible return to form with-

  • T2 @ DPWT Betfred Masters with a -15, the winner was -16

I watched all 4 days of that event in England & his putting on Day 4 was some of the better you will see as he as sinking Putts from 40 feet and many were over +30 feet.

He went into the clubhouse @ -15 & most commentators thought he did enough to steal the Betfred Masters, Alex Noren nailed him late & considering Noren was in red hot dazzling form with-

  • T7, T3, 1st + 1st & ended his 2025 with a T16 & T17 in the DPWT Final

This week in Brisbane the Around the Green play & Putting from this young kiwi going places will be on show, On a course that really does not penalise those off the tee too greatly if he can get his approach game to be only acceptable, he could be making a few more birdies than most.

He will be up there at some point, hopefully on Day 4, he too played the final 2 BIG events on DPWT where he looked tired, still played okay but the 10 days will be sweet for a young fellow who should have energy to burn.

It has been a monumental 2025 so the heights he will get to in the next 5 years will be interesting to see, I thought even at the time of summary he is $100 out to $110, strange but true but this does not reflect his true potential, should be half that.

We Cannot wait for him to shift his focus to PGA in 2026 as he finished ranked 44 in DPWT & 183 in OWGR, I still can recall him being ranked #1298 in OWGR way back when we found him but with his DP card locked in for 2026 I can see him dipping his toe across the waters much more in 2026.

#Tips Wins Units Net Profit ROI
7 1 7.00 9.00 128.57%