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DPWT Crown Australian Open 2025 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

Course

Royal Melbourne GC

Location

Black Rock, Australia

Date

4 December 2025

2025-12-04

Australia/Melbourne

For the first time since 1991, the Australian Open will be played at Royal Melbourne.

The tournament will utilize the Composite Course, which is a par 71 measuring 7,086 yards, combing both the West course & East Course.

The Composite Course originated in 1959 when Royal Melbourne was asked to host the Canada Cup.

Royal Melbourne Golf Club is full of dramatic undulation, fertile sandy soil and a natural rugged appearance on the famed Sand belt of Melbourne.

It was decided to use 12 holes from the West Course and 6 holes from the East Course.

Influenced by his time with Dr MacKenzie, Alex Russell designed the East Course. It was laid out during 1930-31 & with Mick Morcom in charge of construction, was ready for play in 1932.

Course Description

The East Course starts and finishes on the main site and is highlighted by seven ‘home paddock’ holes. The bunkering is superb while the greens, though smaller than the West’s are as beautifully constructed and sloped.

It incorporates some of the most dramatic undulation on the course, the short four, long four and mid four start is brilliant with clear risk and reward options from the tee and birdie to double bogey possibilities. The closing stretch starts with the short par 4 15th and the heavily bunkered 16th, which is the flattest ‘home paddock’ hole of either course but one of the best and most underrated par 3s in Melbourne.

The final two holes are famously used on the world-renowned Composite course.

Notable Holes 

5th Hole West – Par 3 @ 161m 

The 5th is the first one-shot hole on the West Course. It is one of the best Par 3s in Melbourne, which makes it one of the best in the world.  The hole plays down from the tee, across a valley and up to a green sitting on the opposite hill.

The key aim in playing the 5th is to get the ball up onto the putting surface; anything short is swept back down the bank fronting the green. Anything too long leaves a treacherous downhill putt.

6th Hole West – Par 4 @ 391m 

The 6th hole is one of the great 2-shot holes, a wonderful example of how to perfectly position a ground hazard on the inside corner of a dogleg.  The tee shot is played over a magnificent expanse of heath and sand. Players must then make a decision whether to attempt to carry over the bunkers at the corner of the dogleg, or to opt for discretion and hit further to the left. A long drive over the bunkers to the far edge of the fairway leaves a difficult second shot over one of the most awkward greenside bunkers on the course. The green slopes sharply from front to back and the rule is a simple one: never hit the ball above the flag when it is cut in the right half of the green.

10th Hole West – Par 4 @ 285m 

Off the tee, players are confronted by a multitude of choices of both club and line. The most obvious hazard to avoid is the huge bunker – known to Members as hell’s half-acre embedded in the left hillside.  From the tee the land drops sharply down, then rises up around the bunker and turns towards a small green at the highest point of the hill. The green is protected by deep bunkers to the right and a swale at the front of the green, which gathers up any pitch shot landing short of the putting surface.

On so many holes the greens have very short & sharp back drops.

Par 71

7’086 yards

Fairways-Bermudagrass

Greens-Bent grass- a unique strain of bent called Suttons Mix which comes from NZ

•             2 x Par 5s

•             13 x Par 4s

•             3 x Par 3s

Some very famous golfers have often said “How scary” the greens are, aerial pictures tell the story with narrow greens to aim for with dramatic drop offs into fescue grass.

Player skills suited at Royal Melbourne

•             Driving Accuracy

•             Local knowledge highly advantageous

•             Very high GIR % players who can back spin approach shots

•             Par 4 specialists

•             Consistently Putters on tour

This week our 7 players have been good this year on both DPWT and had good figures last week @ Royal Queensland Golf course.

Highlighting generally more reliable T2G players.

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.
Competitor Tip Type Odds Units Result Rationale
Adam Scott Win 20/1(+2000) 1.00 LOSS

We will not go too deep into the Aussie legend but I watched with interest last week as he was another that struggled with his Putter.

It was duly noted his parents were in attendance on all 4 days, so perhaps enough to put him off but he will not have as much pressure into this so I expect him to rebound better than Cam Smith, Min Woo Lee.

  • No Top 30 SG: Metric last week

Yet he still salvaged a 7th with his -13 and nothing was going well for him, a week later and pressure cooker somewhat easier here can see a bounce back.

Currently $20 on betfair

Si Woo Kim Win 21/1(+2100) 1.00 LOSS

We tipped him @ RSM Classic recently when a good T4.

Previously when already exempt for PGA 2026 events and he was last seen in action @ DPWT Genesis Open where he finished T21 with 4 days play of 69, 71, 69, 71 for his -4, the winner won with -11.

At that event he has positives strokes gained ARG & OTT but Si Woo Kim is well known for being ranked high in his usual tradesman like T2G stats where throughout PGA 2025 he is currently ranked-

7th x T2G: SG @ +1.084 strokes gained on Avg

This is a course that requires players to be good in all metrics & SWK currently has the stats to tell us he is ready to Win with-

Last 5 events all in + SG: Total ranging from +0.54 to a high of +1.98

Last 12 of 17 events all in +SG: OTT

Last 11 of 17 events all in +SG: APG with 3 events in less than -0.04 strokes

Last 16 of 17 events all in +SG: ARG

He is a player that is trending well with him now finding form at the right time as after 3 straight Cuts from July to early August he has bounced back with a flurry of good results in his last 5 straight being-

  • T14 @ PGA St Jude Championships with -8
  • T19 @ PGA BMW Championships Even par
  • T5 @ PGA/DPWT BMW with -15
  • T20 @ Baycurrent in Japan -8 (I liked his 64 on Day 2)
  • T21 @ DPWT Genesis Championships with -4
  • T4 @ PGA RSM Classic

$21 on sportsbet currently as he is ranked in Top 20 in all 4 SG metrics.

He was very good with his T2G @ RSM Classic and Royal Melbourne will suit. High quality player who will feature amongst the Top 10 on most days.

Daniel Hillier Win 34/1(+3400) 1.00 LOSS

Another player from our selections last week in QLD.

All 4 days and more so his last 36 holes in Brisbane not much went right for DH as he missed some very key putts yet still was only 4 shots off from winning with his respectable -14 & T5.

He honestly had zero go his way.

DH was enormous @ the DPWT Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships which he nearly won, His -22 saw him slightly drop off from leaders Aaron Rai & Tommy Fleetwood who both carded -25 to fight it out in the Playoff.

OTT distance & Ball striking was the skill set required around the big greens in Abu Dhabi but some of the spin shots DH was playing were so good he really deserved the win.

He backed up in the DP World Tour Championship where only the Top 50 play & he held his own again with a creditable -11, the winner had -18 but of interest is-

  • 16th in SG: Total
  • 12th in SG: OTT
  • 6th in Driving Accuracy (72% of Fairways found)
  • 7th in GIR with 76.39% of greens hit
  • 33rd in SG: ARG
  • 3rd in SG: PUT
  • 16th in stroke Average = 69.25
  • 3rd in Par 4 scoring

Last week in Queensland he was-

  • 4th in SG: Total
  • 30th in SG: ARG
  • 10th in SG: PUT but he missed a few putts by inches.

As previously advised, I have been on DH in 3 of his past 4 results (the good 3).

He is the same odds this week to Win as he was last week around $34 on betfair.

 

Lucas Herbert Top 10 4.33/1(+433) 1.00 LOSS

I have been waiting for this Australian to return home for a feature.

The LIV player and we have stacked this week in Melbourne with Aussies as most have played our courses growing up is one of the players that thrive this week as he already resumed in NSW Open which was his first hit out since LIV finished at the end of August.

He was the defending 2024 NSW Open winner.

He really should be nice and refreshed as he has been home for weeks now.

Finding his feet much faster than QLD winner David Puig on LIV. LC has had higher finishes along with him mixing form over on the Asian Tour (ASA) where he did Win-

  • 1st International series in Japan with -20

That event which was in May he kicked off with a 62 then backed it up with days of 69, 69

& 64. He has proven on various tours he can go low and on the LIV tour he has 10 x Eagles already since joining.

He is good to watch and currently on LIV he is ranked-

  • 2nd in Eagles with 10
  • 3rd in PUT average
  • 20th in Birdies (157) 
  • 10th in Driving Distance
  • 63% on Average in Greens in Regulation (GIR)

LH has gone close to winning on LIV with a solo 4th, T4, T8 & T2 @ Mexico his best finish since joining & that was to Joaquin Niemann who did win by 3 shots but tied with LH was big gun Bryson Dechambeau.

Both of those players have won since Mexico and Niemann with Multiple wins.

I think Herbert gives this a shake but he will not carry any of mine to Win in Melbourne as I think $4.33 courtesy of sportsbet is too good to ignore.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anthony Quayle Top 10 5/1(+500) 1.00 LOSS

Last week in QLD he was one of a few revelations for Aussie players finding form quickly.

  • 8th in Par 3 scoring @ 2.81
  • 28th in Par 4 scoring @ 3.93
  • 2nd in Bogeys with only 1

He really rallied too as on day 4 he was struggling compared

He sat mid field in his driving OTT but he sat so high in GIR-

  • 1st in GIR @ 88.89%

That stat was very high considering some very slick proven ball strikers struggled down around 70%.

Other stats were impressive as well-

  • 2nd in SG: T2G
  • 2nd in SG: APG
  • 21st in SG: ARG
  • 26th in SG: PUT

I looked at it firstly as perhaps an anomaly but even when he was scrambling on day 4 he still posted a 73 after a very good 54 hole score of 67, 66 & 67, even commentators were saying how tough he was doing on Day 4 but considering he was in a tough field I credit that to him and his game should thrive around this course with teeth.

A T10 with -11 proves he can mix it with DP World tour & PGA regulars.

The field is not much harder this week and I am sure he will be very determined to prove it was no fluke so Top 10 price is from sportsbet.

Cam Davis Top 20 3/1(+300) 0.00 LOSS

Last week in QLD I was rather bullish on the other cam and he was sent out @ $90 but even $110 was on offer closer to tee off.

It was a good return to form with his T33 albeit he did drop 3 shots midway into Day 4 but he played around -10 for most of the final day with solid rounds of 68, 67, 68.

His 74 did not reflect his good play over 54 holes.

last year before his struggles as we highlighted in the summary from last week-

  • T6 @ PGA BMW Championships
  • Cut @ ISPS Handa Championships
  • T13 @ PGA Sentry
  • Cut @ PGA Sony Open in Hawaii
  • T18 @ PGA The American Express
  • T5 @ PGA AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

The events from November 2024 through to early February 2025 were rock solid, he then missed 5 straight Cuts from mid-February to late April of that year before bouncing back with a surprise-

T13 @ RBC Heritage (a good form reference all year)

He then found form resulting in his next 4 events but the best a T19 @ PGA Championships (Major) he then goes and misses the Cut in his next 5 of 7 events, his last events he has resulted for-

  • T44 @ PGA Wyndham Championships
  • T50 @ PGA FexEx St Jude Championships
  • T33 @ DPWT BMW PGA Championships

Nothing exciting, however, Since the triple bogey recovery @ Wyndham in August, there is a bunch of interviews of him, and he was lethargic just trying to explain where "his game had gone to".

He was brutally honest in one interview I watched where he said he "just so tired" it's something that not a lot of people would fully comprehend is although they play golf professionally it still involves so much travel, He has been well rested for 12 weeks now, this should recharge CD this week.

Last week in QLD he looked very relaxed and chill. I will not get into his stats too greatly but the events earlier in 2025 where he was the early leader after 18 & 36 holes, we know he can play so hoping the mental holiday has him fired up, winning is "not strange" to him as he has 2 x PGA wins.

I swapped him over with Adam Scott this week as I believe AS can Win as where CD can figure just off from the leaders. Top 10 & 20 price is on Sportsbet & other online bookmakers.

Shubhankar Sharma Top 20 11/1(+1100) 1.00 LOSS

We last tipped SS over @ DPWT World India Open in October-

what was summarised-

"The roughie I guess we could call him and although I do not think he wins his stats are showing me that a surprise breakout performance could be likely at home for him this weekend.

In Spain last weekend he was the most consistent I have witnessed of late with a T41 but he sat relatively high with his very best SG metric being-

  • 4th in SG: APG
  • 42nd in SG: T2G with his Iron play crips
  • 31st in GIR finding 63.89% of Greens
  • 10th in Scrambling & on a course where most will struggle

Another positive is that Sharma Shubhankar Sharma holds the course record at the DLF Golf & Country Club in Delhi, with an -8 (64) that he shot during the 2nd round of the 2018 Hero Indian Open. He set the record with 9 birdies & only 1 bogey that day of play.

Sharma also was good in Spain with only 2.25 bogeys per round in Madrid yet he was stronger on Par 3 scoring sitting in 43rd overall along with 28th in Par 4 scoring, the bogeys came on Par 5 holes."

Since the October effort he had to go back to DPWT qualifying school so he was able to play himself into a card via the school & he played okay last week in Brisbane making the cut and playing all 4 days with his T56.

  • He did however sit @ QLD
  • 1st in SG: APG with +2.76 strokes daily.
  • 39th in GIR @ 68.06%
  • 4th in SG: T2G

Another week in Melbourne around a course that scares some of the greats, SS can pick up shots hopefully and around $11 on sportsbet to Top 20 is more realistic.

If you get the time, check out the aerial shots of Royal Melbourne as it is a very difficult courses and players in QLD last week will look even worse than they did there with terrible approach shots, players we did not back up on this week cannot improve in 7 days.

#Tips Wins Units Net Profit ROI
7 0 7.00 -7.00 -100.00%