PGA Butterfield Bermuda Championship 2025 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

We selected 47-yr old veteran of 9 x PGA wins & 577 events now brings a handy 119 x Top 10 results (21% SR) due to his strength being on approach & around the greens so before coming into Mexico he was-

• 24th in SG: ARG
• 14th in SG: PUT
• 41st in SG: Total which under Top 50 in all PGA over 24 years on tour
• 4th in Scrambling amongst all players
• 6th in Bogey avoidance

After his T11 @ El Cordonal with his -22 under par he rounded out Day 4 with a fighting -7 which also equalled his day 1 score of 65.

What I liked in Mexico was his approach play where he hit 76.39% of greens in regulation (GIR) & was T4 in Driving Accuracy, although only a handful of players did not find the fairways, as we now know Garrick Higgo on the 12^th hole found trouble ending his reign as the current leader at the time.

Kuchar was T2 in Bogeys with only 3 bogeys so his consistent player is why we are backing up on him next week and being a veteran he may handle the impending weather better than the young guns who are yet to win on PGA tour.

Around $38 on betfair is fair for the grinder around the greens, it his type of course this week.

Arrives in Bermuda currently ranked 113^th in FedEx Fall points so he will need a good result to seal his 2026 season.

Younger Coody has been on our radar for a while now and whilst he can be hot & cold at times he has moved up to an incredible 18^th in SG: Total of all PGA players.

Whilst his current 119^th in SG: APG (Approach to Green) can be overlooked somewhat as his Korn Ferry Tour stats have him as high as 11^th in strokes gained and he does sit a high-

• 5^th in PGA with a very high GIR @ 72.47% with 574 greens hit from 792 holes.
• 1^st in Approaches from 275 yards
• 1^st in SG: OTT with +0.838 strokes on Avg
• 21^st in SG: T2G so his overall play is super consistent

Whilst his ranking of 82^nd in strokes gained putting may at first be of a concern after going through all of his last 9 events in PGA I can happily confirm he has been in positive strokes gained in 5.

Even last week in Mexico Coody was consistent over all 4 days play with 69, 70, 67 & 66 finishing for a respectable T31 with his -16. Around El Cordonal his putting stats were better than both Michael Brennan a recent PGA winner & better than Max Greyserman who is a decent putter most days.

I am going to lean on his fearless youth this week in Bermuda as his most recent form of T3 @ 3M Open, a T14 @ Sanderson Farms & T3 in Utah has him primed, yes we get a short haircut on his price around $38 on betfair which has firmed up since yesterday.

Another on our radar and a firmly planted in our 50 player weekly rotating database who is yet to Win on PGA but does boast 6 x 1sts on the International circuit with his most recent win coming @ the prestigious-

• 1^st x 2023 Abu Dhabi HSBS Championships
• 1^st x 2022 Dutch Open
• 1^st x 2019 Alfred Dunhill Links Championships

The 2 most recent wins in 2023 & 2022 saw him defeat the likes of Min Woo Lee, Tyrell Hatton, Alex Noren, the Hojgaard twins, Robert Macintyre and most of the leading OWGR players & I mention those players as they have all Won on PGA since.

The correlation is sometimes hard to understand or explain as to why the better proven winners on the DPWT struggle to Win on USA soil to obtain that elusive first PGA win.

We trust this week this Frenchman will remain competitive as he has done in his recent results of-

• T11 @ Sanderson Farms with -15
• T47 @ Bank of Utah with -7 (his driving let him down there)
• T21 @ WWT Championships last week

I will mention last week as he really started well with 2 days of 65, 65 before falling off the pace with a 71 on day 3 & I watched him closely on Day 4 as he looked tired and the result was a 69 where he had only the 1 bogey but when he was using an Iron to tee off on the shorter holes he was not looking as smooth as his usual 21^st SG: APG would suggest.

However he has been very reliable of late with 17 Cuts made from 24 events and his last 4 straight but also 11 of his last 13 events has seen him move into Day 3 which is what we try and achieve.

So, this week we will rely on Mr consistent delivering what we know he can with proven reliable stats of-

• 41^st in SG: Total
• 57^th in SG: T2G
• 21^st in SG: APG this is a tricky course (6^th in GIR overall)
• 44^th in SG: PUT if he can convert some of the better shots on the green

He is a player who keeps producing results and is a proven multiple winner overseas & what I strongly lean on proven around those tough Links courses which is usually played in wind & rain.

A slight drifter from $44 on opening to his current betfair price of $50 I like him this week in the conditions & will see if I can get better odds closer to tee off Thursday.

I was interested to watch Sahith in Japan and made mention prior to his comeback from Injury but also his "new outlook" on golf which was refreshing as one thing I often see whilst watching too many hours of golf each week is how much more relaxed players are on DP World Tour compared to the focus on PGA, last week in Abu Dhabi players were joking around at Tee box as where you rarely see that on PGA tour.

Either way it was refreshing to hear and read the "new outlook" Sahith has for the game.

What can we expect this week?

I really jumped into his most recent results and found myself down a rabbit hole in his past results which are very impressive and saw him rise to a high

• 11^th in OWGR rankings

That was only 17 months ago.

His last few events (highlights)

Baycurrent in Japan

• 5 x SG: Approach to Green +5.353
• 1st x SG: Around The Green +4.149
• 41 x SG: Putting +0.259
• T8 x SG: Total +7.461
• T40 Driving Accuracy @ 68.33% (41/60)
• T5 x Greens in Regulation @ 73.61% (53/72)
• Putts per GIR 1.74

Utah

• 11th x SG: Approach to Green +3.654
• 30th x SG: Around The Green +0.843
• 40th x SG: Putting +0.657
• T27 x SG: Total @ +5.197
• T28 x Greens in Regulation @ 76.39% (55/72)
• Putts per GIR 1.76

I believe he is turning the corner and his stats tells us this, he should be nice and relaxed with stunning views from this course & his last 3 events have all seen him in positives strokes gained in SG Totals.

On those last 3 events he has finished-

• T38 @ Procore Championships
• T27 @ Baycurrent in Japan
• T27 @ Bank of Utah

Unlike most of the field who are lining up from last week in Mexico he come here fresher and he will need a good result though as he sits currently in 143^rd in FedEx Fall points so he needs to result or win to have 2026 confirmed.

I am kicking myself as when betfair released markets he was $140 around 1am on Tuesday morning, since then though he has been pretty firm Around the $50. Yes he is worth the risk.

If you watched last week PGA it was impossible to miss Jackson as he birdied 7 on the back 9 holes including the last 5 straight which we all know any player can run hot with a putter but what makes it more incredible is he obviously has been improving his putting as he now has 7 of his last 10 events in positive strokes gained.

Last week we also saw Suber hit-

• 11% GIR
• 6^th in PUTS per GIR with 1.61
• T1 x in Eagles with 3
• Outscoring both Rico Hoey (was early Fav for Bermuda) & Justin Lower

Suber has changed it up recently with back-to-back finishes of T15 & T11 in Mexico but what I really like is the -13 into a -22 which we have seen throughout the year with similar finishes of -20 @ Rocket Classic for a T6 and the week earlier a -12 @ RBC Canadian Open for a T18.

He also did finish well at Barracuda Championships, remember that different scoring method but there he had 23 x birdies & 38 pars & over 4 days he had 9 bogeys which 2 a day on Avg not too bad considering he had +5.75 birdies on Avg each day.

He can only bring this newfound confidence into Bermuda as that -9 despite it being only one day must give him such a huge mental boost but his overall SG metrics are looking terrific for another repeat performance.

He will need to produce with 2 events to go as he sits in 116^th in FedEx Fall points & only 1 place worse in 117^th in FedEx points, he is however trending better than the majority who are above him in the market this week.

I am leaning on his 6 x Top 25s in 2025 including 3 x Top 10s in 2025.

At his current $65 drifting out from his earlier $50 on betfair without too many experts selecting him he should drifter out further so let us hope that is the case with tee off not until another +24 hours.

Not a player you will often see us select as our criteria tends to be more geared towards higher greens in regulation players and reasonable putters, but he is one of the better Around the greens players on tour.

• 15^th in SG: ARG

So in my mind it does not take too much to convert that with his putter as looking over his last 25 PGA events he has 14 in positives stokes gained, his form much earlier in 2025 from January through to March was very good with-

• T7 @ American Express with -19
• T22 @ AT & T Pebble Beach Pro Am with -10
• T9 @ WM Phoenix Open

They were followed with 3 x Top 40 results which in turn saw 7 straight results for the 32 yr old from Texas (sometimes Oklahoma) he then saw 3 cuts from late march to mid may before resulting with a T25 @ Myrtle Beach classic & T19 @ PGA Championships (a Major) before some ordinary results before a bounce back with his T14 @ 3M Open in late July.

Why I like him this week is he struggled in Utah which most players did before bouncing back with a good T21 last week in Mexico.

In Mexico he was good the first 3 days with 67, 65, 68 so he was on pace until his -2 (70) on Day 4 which saw him go from 89^th in FedEx points to 100^th & that there is what we are seeing from payers who are around that 100^th ranking, Caution.

Caution = apprehension and of course nervous play as the Top 100 in FedEx points are exempt for all of 2026, this used to be the Top 125 so although he already has his 1^st win out of the way on PGA tour he still needs to start week here, Players like Kuchar & Perez (same as Moore around that Top 100) need to keep playing well this week.

Unlike other players this week Moore does not have as good as stats as the others but he is my Gut feel instinct player this week, do not rush in to take the current $85 on betfair as he has been slightly drifting and we may get better come tee off.

This young Japanese gun who I am naming "Takumi Tsunami" for this week has been on our radar since his good result in his home country at the Baycurrent. There he stormed into contention with a late 62 (-9) 2^nd best of the day behind Matt McCarty (-11).

"Tsunami" has now had 4 straight finishes in PGA events and in his last 4 of 6 events he has had all positive strokes in SG: Total. To be fair he would be 6 from 6 in positive as at the Japan Open he was only -0.48 & last week in Mexico @ WWT he was -1.240 strokes so first appeared on the PGA radar back @ Mexico Open @ Vidanta World with his T32 then backing that up as not a fluke he was T34 @ Puerto Rico Open then with 4 straight cuts was he lost like many others?

A good return to form with his team mate in New Orleans with a T18 restored his confidence he went on to 5^th in the CJ Byron Nelson Cup with a -17.

Then again he frustrated followers with a further 4 straight cuts from May to June and so so efforts in July before finally finding form with a T7 @ 3M Open with a credible -19 with his middle days of 64 & 65 setting him up for a good result.

It looked like he would again go on a run of outs with Cuts @ Wyndham & Procore before the last 4 good results of-

• T21 @ Sanderson with -12
• T4 @ Baycurrent with -14
• T33 @ Bank of Utah with -10
• T63 @ WWT with -9

I have kept with him this week because despite his +2 (74) on Day 4 he looked like he had already tapped out and was just having a bad day which we have to accept that most golfers will have at least 1 ordinary day from 4.

• He is talented and most days he was still around 80% GIR in Mexico & he was ranked 1^st in scrambling with 4 from 4 sand saves.
• We just need to get his SG: APG under control as he sits better than 80% in SG ARG & SG: PUT in all of his last 25 events overall.

We saw in Japan which a lot was asked of him under pressure in front of his home crowd, I am forgiving him last week, so we want to see "Tsunami" come out guns a blazing this week.

A few have to & he does sit in 120^th in FedEx fall points and a further a drift in 134^th in FedEx points overall, Yes he is good enough and he has 9 x International wins to his name and most being in Japan but young players in Japan are used to playing in windy & rainy conditions so could that be what sees him click into gear?

Another on a slight drift opening around $65 on betfair and is now $80, there is only $200k in pool at the time of summary so prices will change significantly.

I like this player in general and he had difficulties with his freak injury @ Cognizant Classic back in late February, which led to him breaking a rib and needing to take six weeks off.

In my opinion and his 5 x straight Cuts from early April to Mid May prove he returned way too early as it was not until the Charles Schwab in late May did we see a freer hitting players return to some kind of form. That T53 @ Charles Schwab followed with an in contention-

• T9 @ RBC Canadian Open with -14 (his home country).
• T34 @ Rocket Classic with -13
• T21 @ Rocket Classic with -13

Even we here @ PGT thought he was back on track and he made his way into our weekly Top 50 player database before struggling in Scotland @ Genesis Open, I was prepared to overlook that event as the course was tough but not sure if it was the travel overseas (perhaps he should have stayed in USA) but he missed the Cut @ Barracuda Championships then followed with a another cut @ 3M open after opening with a handy 68 before day 2, 70 saw him not make it into Day 3 with his overall -4.

I must say he had me rethinking my rankings.

He had better results in 4 of his 5 most recent events culminating in a T40 last week in Mexico on a course though I was expecting more of him.

Personally, I though with his better Iron play in general as he is 29^th in SG: APG and is in positives strokes gained in 3 of the 4 SG metrics as used by PGA he would shine better in Los Cabos.

Some players we just expect more but this week where Iron play will be vital to find tough greens where most holes you will hit uphill and cannot see the flags he has proven over time he is very reliable in APG-

• 19 of 25 events in +SG: APG
• 16 of 25 events in +SG: Total

He can improve this week & looking at his current $75 on betfair I find that shorter considering his recent results are not as good as others, sure he is known for his Iron play but I would expect $100 to $110 more his fair market price.

Rikuya Hoshino

Another Japanese player finds our roster this week and he is clearly the roughie in the field but previously we picked and backed Ryo Hisatsune (Cazoo French Open) but many other analysts like ourselves are waiting to him to find form despite always starting between $60 to $80.

I much prefer Hoshino this week over Hisatsune because I have been watching Rikuya & as I say to The Stig each week he is missing putts by inches, so his stats really do not reflect how this player is really playing.

A player who often performs better on the DPWT which saw him win @ 2024 Commercial bank Qatar masters which saw him defeat very proven multiple winners already on the DP World tour, that trophy went with his other 8 Internation wins.

• 12 of his last 25 events positive SG: PUT he has missed 6 of those by less than -0.500 meaning the odd putt making it means that goes to 17 or 18 events
• 12 of his last 25 events in +SG: ARG
• 11 of his last 25 events in +SG: APG 7 of those by less than -0.740

He has been popping up every now & then in the Top 40 in PGA events & whilst he is risky to make it into Day 3 here based only on his actual results and not potential. I like to back a few roughies that we have seen play well over the last 6 to 12 months even if it is on DPWT.

Rikuya did earlier at the same time of the year in 2024 go-

• T67 x FedEx Open de France
• T50 x Andalucia Masters in Spain
• T9 x Genesis Championships
• T37 x Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships
• T28 x DP World Tour Championships

Those last 3 events in the back end of the year are big events seeing most of the OWGR top 100 in attendance (mainly the European players) but like this year you are talking about most in the Top 20 OWGR.

• The DPWT Championships is similar to the final leg of the PGA TOUR Championship where the top "x" amount of players duke it out for the title.

So obviously with his 2025 DPWT card ticked he however was focusing on the PGA Tour with 17 x PGA events in 2025.

He will need to win here to secure his 2026 PGA card & as I type up the Analysis he is $180 out to $300 on betfair so wait and we should get far better.