PGA Bank of Utah Championship 2025 — Golf Picks, Tips & Analysis

The usually more inconsistent 27 yr old has finally put together 3 straight event finishes with-

• T21 @ Sanderson Farms
• T19 @ Procore Championships
• T11 @ Wyndham Championships

A winner previously in 2024 @ John Deere Classic which is a similar layout to Utah this week he did back up this year in JD with a -14 including a low 62 on Day 2 but with the 3 events mentioned above he has now carded -12, -9, -12 with all 3 events he did finish in positive strokes in SG: OTT.

He can pick up shots with his big hitting and he has improved to a career high of 21^st in SG: T2G, his Putting is his weakness but he has proven recently that he can finish in the Top half of players in Putting with a solid 23^rd in SG: PUT over all 4 days @ Sanderson with +2.291 strokes gained, similar finishes @ Procore & Wyndham.

Probably a little bit shorter in the market than I would have him but if he remains consistent it could also be value on day 3.

A player who we have often selected but he can threaten this week on the back of T6 @ Sanderson Farms & in Japan he was a sound T10 and his best SG metric was 4^th overall in SG: ARG with +2.948 strokes gained & 12^th over all 4 days in SG: APG.

Those SG metrics are excellent as he struggled in 2 of the 4 days but his overall still saw him finish high in rankings and he did card a nice 66 on day 4, we must consider Day 1 & 3 were weather affected.

Still a Non-winner on PGA Tour he has won 5 x international events including 3 on DPWT and has been on 2 President Cup teams as well so I think with his traction firmly in place now with-

• 7 x straight cuts made
• 42% Cuts made in all 123 PGA events
• 18 of 25 Cuts made in 2025
• 18 events have resulted in 8 x Top 25s with 3 x Top 10s

His stronger play is his Putting, 11^th on PGA Tour he sits a high 29^th on PGA tour with his Driving Accuracy @ 64.51% (769 fairways found from 1192) & with a course wide open with no obstacles he can pick up shots on the field whilst converting birdie opportunities.

He is the value this week and is currently on a slight drift opening @ $44 with +$48 on offer with betfair.

I watched this young American closely in Japan where the first 2 days were under par and on the 3^rd day which was rain affected, he missed some very close putts to drop to a 75 (+4 over par) of course it did not help that resulted in 4 x Bogeys & 1 x double bogey.

To his credit he came out swinging on Day 4 with a bogey free day with 6 x bridies & 1 eagle for a nice -8 to finish the event in T18 with -9.

Another notable positive was one of his drives went 390 yards (7^th overall) but his SG: APG play was rock solid with him ranking a very high 3^rd overall 4 days.

I lean on Mouw this week as we did see him card an incredible 61 when winning the ISCO Championships back in July.

• 26 of his last 36 rounds well under 70
• 3M Open saw him go 66,66,66,67
• Last 4 straight events have seen him combined for -43

He does find himself under a little bit of pressure as he currently sits @ 81^st in Fedex points so needs a podium to elevate himself into some of the better events of 2026.

What can we expect in Utah?

• 25^th in PGA in SG: OTT
• 31^st in PGA with GIR @ 69.05% which will go a long way in Utah
• 33^rd in PGA in SG: PUT
• 2^nd in PGA amongst all players when putting under 6 feet (super Impressive)

His stroke average per event is strong, my hope this week he starts steady and there has been money in the market late for him from $60 on betfair into $50.

We like the surging Homa this week, after 5 missed Cuts from February this year to April it was well documented everywhere how Homa had been struggling with his game.

He bounced back in a Major @ The US Masters with a T12 on the back of those missed cuts, his ball striking improving out of sight but he then seemed to be labouring although making 9 of the next 12 cuts and his best finish in the 9 was a strong T5 @ John Deere Classic with -16, the winner Brian Campbell won with -18.

I watched him @ Barracuda Championships and he played much better than his T45 & on Day 3 his birdie on the 5^th & 16^th was classic Homa Iron play to hit the Green and set up an easy Putt.

In his latest event in Japan much was said about his Japanese roots and media was all over him throughout, I think Homa despite having already Won 6 on PGA tour was enjoying flying under the radar before Japan.

I still like what I saw on Day 4 @ the Baycurrent, his 67 (-4) showed us glimpses of his Iron play as he hit greens sweetly & here in Utah with no noise he can lean on his improved-

• 7 of last 10 events Positive SG: PUT
• 7 of his last 7 all positive in SG: APG
• T19 @ Procore Championship was 17^th in SG: PUT overall with +3.888 strokes gained
• T18 @ Sanderson Championships was 5^th in SG: ARG overall with +3.646 strokes gained

Homa has had other positive metrics at these events, we just need him to show up for all 4 days as that consistency over all 4 days is missing although he does give me the impression, he is building up to peaking and whilst most of the big guns are absent, this is his best chance to shine.

MH has been quite firm in markets since they opened days ago around $60 to Win on Betfair.

This Frenchman is often on our player rotation due to his usually consistent higher than top 40 finishes on both PGA & DPWT whilst his peak result was a T9 @ RBC Canadian Open, T19 in a Major, the US Masters & most recently a T11 @ Sanderson Farms.

In both his Canadian Open & Sanderson Farm result we saw his sit high inside Top 25 for 3 of the 4 SG metrics in positive strokes gained.

• SG: APG +2.397 strokes gained
• SG: ARG +3.433 strokes gained
• SG: PUT +1.043 strokes gained

6 of his last 7 events all under Par ranging from -4 to -15 his average stroke play is 69.27 over 60 rounds (thanks to The Stig) and he is a player to watch in late 2025 to early 2026 in this lesser type of PGA event as he has good stats overall from all PGA players on Tour in all metrics-

• 51^st in SG: T2G
• 19^th in SG: APG
• 146^th in SG: ARG but in 9 of his last 11 events he has only been on Avg -0.42 stokes lost.
• 49^th in SG: PUT

I do like the stat in that of the 22 events in 2025 on PGA tour he has made 70% of cuts which is key as we want as many of our players in contention from Day 3 onwards. VP has 7 x Top 25s from the 15 events without the big names here this week he can contest.

Despite 0 wins on PGA he still has won 5 x international events including 3 on DPWT and with none of the big names that can go a long way this weekend. Ike most players we want to see 4 days of at least -5 from VP here, currently firm in markets around $85 on betfair.

This German is often tipped by many Analysts but the boys over on PGA,com have left him out of the Power rankings this week.

I think he is ready to make a run with his skill set really suiting the course in Utah as he was 2^nd in 2024 with –

In other events in 2025 only on PGA tour he has shown us glimpses of what he is capable of-

• T3 @ Sony Open in Hawaii
• T6 @ Mexico Open
• T7 @ Truist Championship in Philadelphia
• His last 25 events have all been on PGA so he is focused to perform on just 1 tour
• 16 of his last 25 have all been in positive strokes gained in SG: total

Why do we like Stephan?

• 56^th in SG: APG on PGA tour
• 41^st in SG: ARG on PGA tour
• 41^st in SG: PUT on PGA tour

With as many as +80% of players yet to win on tour, he did win @ 2024 Texas Children's Open and does bring 3 x Top 10s in 2025 so far, 2 of the 3 had the majority of the Top 50 in OWGR so his efforts have not gone unnoticed.

• 37^th in Birdie Avg of all PGA players with 4.02 birdies (326 birdies over 81 rounds) HIGH

Whilst on paper it looks like being 60^th in Fedex points may be stressful, I doubt that will worry him as what I have seen from him is a laid back approach to the game & there has been no money as he opened @ $80 and $100 was available on Betfair, very fair & good odds.

With Top 20 markets incredibly no value for players even @ +$100 to Win I have stuck with BH to possibly win his 1^st ever PGA event, he has gone close previously with playoff losses to Kevin Yu @ 2024 Sanderson Farm & to Ian Poluter @ 2018 Houston Open.

BH does also have 2 other 2nds on PGA Tour so he has gone close now 4 times & although many would leave him out of weekly calculations he was T11 in Utah in 2024.

There he was –

• 1^st in SG: ARG
• 27^th in SG: APG
• 15^th in SG: OTT
• 4^th in SG: T2G
• 59^th in SG: PUT so I saved this for last & see below why

His strongest skill is his Putter and he has proven over many events that this is where he picks up valuable strokes than 70% of players meaning his 59^th in Putting last year here was an anomaly.

• 30^th in SG: PUT across all PGA tour players.

We can dissect his Putting prowess even further-

• 10^th in PUT per round with 28.09 per round
• 10th in PUT overall average +1.560
• 7^th in PUT inside 10 feet with an excellent 89.79%

So, in other words if he did not finish 59^th in Putting last year and was even remotely close than his usual average performances with the putter he would have won.

Of note he is 1^st in scrambling from under 10 yards.

Had Hossler been more like $10 to $12 like he should be to Top 20 then I would solely play that market but it never surprises me to see him up the top of the leaderboards either so the theme in the back end of 2025 could till keep going with his 1^st win finally coming here on tour.

I would prefer having a better putter in a playoff than one who is only strong OTT.

BH opened @ $70 & freely available is $100 on betfair so I would wait to see if better odds are available as it is still more than 24 hours from tee off.

Like BH this player from Las Vegas has one of the more better putting games and he deserves to play more PGA than KFT which he had to go back to recently-

• 6 of his last 7 events on PGA tour have been sound

He has found better traction with his better results being-

• T8 @ ISCO Championships
• T12 @ 3M Open
• T6 @ Sanderson Farms

In those 3 events though Montgomery did sit high in SG: PUT which is not just his bread & butter but he sits in 2^nd amongst all PGA players on Tour which is ahead of some elite stars of this game.

• 1^st in SG: PUT @ ISCO with +9.121 strokes gained
• 10^th in SG: PUT @ 3M Open with +4.719 strokes gained
• 2^nd in SG: PUT @ Sanderson Farms with +9.390 strokes gained

Of note it is important to note that in the 6 of his last 7 PGA events he has carded well with -9, -11, -4, -17, -7, -17 all he must do is maintain and not give away too many shots OTT.

He did go as low as 63 x 2 in his last 3 events so he can shoot scores, if it becomes a shoot-out, he can be there on Day 4. This so far is his best run to date on Tour.

Another player that should be at least $10 to Top 20 even in this lesser line up here, he did open around $70 on betfair and as much as +$100 is now available on betfair, always shop.

Maverick McNealy arrives in Utah nice & fresh as he was last seen on Tour @ Procore Championships where he surged late into a T13 with a respectable -10.

That was on the back of more consistent results a 3^rd @ BMW Championships & a further 3 x Top 5 results and in his last 17 events he has made the cut in 15 including 5 other Top 25 finishes.

What we can expect is his higher percentage of birdies than most of Tour with his Putter.

• 9 of his last 10 all positive SG: PUT
• 9 of his last 10 all positive SG: APG
• 11 of his last 12 all positive SG: OTT the miss was by only -0.17 strokes, he finished 3^rd

McNealy does sit a high 21^st in Putting across all players and has improved in the last 6 months to be ranked a high 19^th in SG: Total where he has deliberately concentrated to improve other metrics in his game.

Deservedly so he is the 2^nd event Favourite with 1 Win in 2025 & 7 x Top 10s with his new & career best OWGR of 19 well above event Fav in Michael Thorbjornsen, I personally would have them around the other way in odds.

McNealy is one of the best well-rounded players this weekend in the field.