| Rory McIlroy |
Win |
18/1(+1800) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 11th x SG: T2G • 4th x SG: OTT • 68th x SG: APG • 57th x SG: ARG • 9th x SG: PUT • 67.72% x Greens in regulation • BTA- Driving Accuracy Below PGA tour avg in 2025 • 93.7% made cuts in 2025 +100% in 2026 • 87.5% top 25 in 2025 • 69.1 stroke avg • 22 x PGA Wins +11 x DPWT wins
World #2 and the 2024 winner of this event arrives after contesting 2 events on the DP World tour where he was consistent with-
• T33 X DPWT Hero Dubai desert classic • T3 x DPWT Dubai Invitational
Focusing on his win in 2024 here RORY was-
• 3rd x SG: T2G • 1st x SG: OTT • 15th x SG: APG • 33rd x SG: ARG • 7th X SG: PUT
Not known for his putting as the media hype is always around how far Rory can drive his Tee shot up the fairway he should get more recognised each season as he often sits well within the top 10 in putting.
Around $18 on betfair currently he is the logical value if we exclude Scheffler who last week was very good in his last 54 holes. Rory comes into this relatively fresh as he is playing in the TGL.
|
| Tommy Fleetwood |
Win |
30/1(+3000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 3rd x SG: T2G • 50th x SG: OTT • 6th x SG: APG • 25th x SG: ARG • 20th x SG: PUT • 65.37% GIR • 67.37 x DA • 94.7% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 • 78.9% top 25 in 2025 • 69.43 stroke avg • 1 x PGA Win + 8 x DPWT wins
Tommy finished 2025 in fine style winning the coveted PGA TOUR championships, he then backed that win up with-
• 1st x DPWT World India Championships with -22 • 2nd x DPWT Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships with -25 (playoff) • 3rd x DPWT TOUR Championships with -17
It is the consistent rounds that will see Tommy be competitive this week and he also arrives quite fresh having 2 warm up events in Europe in January 2026.
With the Englishmen playing better golf this time of the year I would expect him to improve on his-
• T22 x PGA AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am with -10
TF has improved his overall play around greens so expect his 60th in SG: PUT along with his 50th x SG: ARG to be far different in 2026.
Another player who around $30 on betfair has to be considered value as Scheffler stifles markets yet again around $4.50
|
| Viktor Hovland |
Win |
38/1(+3800) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 14 x SG: T2G • 82nd x SG: OTT • 2nd x SG: APG • 138th x SG: ARG • 116th x SG: PUT • 67.26% GIR • 63.13% DA • 83.3% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 • 50% top 25 in 2025 • 70.05 stroke avg • 7 x PGA Wins + 2 DPWT wins
The smiling Norwegian is the player to watch this weekend.
VH after his win in the PGA Valspar Championships in March 2025 he has made 17 straight cuts & his last 3 events has him in positives strokes gained total.
Last week @ WM Phoenix he was warming up nicely for Pebble Beach with-
• 5th x SG: APG @ +4.722 strokes gained • 14th x SG: ARG @ +2.741 SG • 16th x SG: PUT @ +3.671 SG • T10 x SG: Total @ + 8.694 SG
After his T22 in 2024 around here he can rise to the challenge and was very good for 54 holes just fading late, with no cut this week players can let loose early.
The smiling assassin breathes fresh air into the sport with so many players unable to control emotions we expect his current price around $38 on betfair to remain very firm.
|
| Russell Henley |
Win |
46/1(+4600) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 6th x SG: T2G • 93rd x SG: OTT • 13th x SG: APG • 7th x SG: ARG • 47th x SG: PUT • 70.06% GIR • 68.68% DA • 89.5% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 • 68.4% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 • 69.32 stroke avg • 5 x PGA Wins
RH is a very noted elite ball striker & fresh off his +2.28 strokes gained on avg per day @ the PGA American Express he can target the very small greens on the coastal courses this week.
Shooting for 11 straight events in SG: Total we expect RH to go fast early this weekend as he deliberately missed the WM Phoenix last weekend to target this.
• 3rd x SG: APG @ +4.280 strokes gained on avg per day @ the AMEX
Has him right on song for another strong showing this week as last year he was T5 @ -17 but over the 72 holes ranked-
• 1st x SG: PUT • 7th x SG: APG
RH plays good gold on POA greens and his usually high % greens in regulation means he only needs to focus on keeping it in the fairways and setting up 1 putt conversions on the shorter holes.
Currently around $46 on betfair this is his typical price for most events due to his consistency as we see him between $30 to $50 for most events. It's an attractive price if we again exclude Scheffler from the equation in winning.
Stay in full WIN market for all players.
|
| Matt Fitzpatrick |
Win |
48/1(+4800) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 62nd x SG: T2G • 82nd x SG: OTT • 76th x SG: APG • 63rd x SG: ARG • 30th x SG: PUT • 66.74% GIR • 61.29% DA • 80.9% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 • 47.6% top 25 in 2025 • 70.08 stroke avg • 2 x PGA Wins + 9 x DPWT wins
Some of what we wrote last week-
"The Stig & MJ are backing up on MF from his T63 @ The American Express & hope that missing last weeks Farmers MF took the time out to hit the practice range.
Normally a consistent putter on both the DP & PGA tours around the 3 courses in La Quinta he dropped from-
• 14th in SG: PUT after 54 holes to 67th in SG: PUT after 72 holes • 69, 67, 65, 74 with day 4 spoiling what could have been a better result
Last week after MF was up and down on many holes on both Days 3 & 4 he showed plenty of gumption & honestly missed a few putts by less than 1 inch, he along with Scheffler were the unlucky takes of the WM Phoenix.
MF was solid last week with these stats to feature here-
• 8th x SG: 0TT @ +3.935 SG • 8th x SG: APG @ +4.257 SG • 12th x SG: ARG @ +3.038 strokes gained • 9th x SG: Total @ +9.694 SG • 7th x Driving Accuracy @ 69.64% (39/56) fairways found • T17th x Greens in Regulation @ 73.61% (53/72)
Over the 72 holes MF only sat in 55th overall but as advised we watched him over all 4 days, and he missed some putts by very narrow margins & he did sit a high 22nd on Day 3 in Strokes gained putting.
You could see the disappointment on his face but to be fair he smiled more than most and The Stig & MJ like that as an attribute/attitude for success as we even saw frustration from Scott Scheffler on day 1 which is rare but there are many players on tour that stress too greatly, they have been mentioned numerous times over many summaries previously.
Despite backing up on MF this week he was $60 on betfair last week & currently around $48 now for this week, considering he should have gone very close to winning had a few putts & honestly that's all it was sink he seems to be of very good value.
We like his attitude.
|
| Jake Knapp |
Win |
55/1(+5500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 85 x SG: T2G • 48th x SG: OTT • 104th x SG: APG • 124 x SG: ARG • 14th x SG: PUT • 67.6% GIR • BTA- DA • 73.9% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (3/3) • 39.2% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (3/3) • 69.48 stroke avg • 1 x PGA Win
It seems our trend this week to back up on players from last week but they showed good form so why not. What was mentioned for JK last week-
"Ignore this Californian at your own peril & it was very well publicised the events he had to endure in 2025, but what he has produced so far from his 2 events in 2026 have been outstanding-
• T5 @ PGA Farmers Insurance with 66, 70, 70, 67 for -15 • T11 @ PGA Sony Open with 66, 68, 70, 66 for -10
I watched as he came down the hill @ 16th last week and if anyone deserved to be smiling it was JK after his 2025 but he went 3 x straight birdies on 16, 17 & 18th hole which saw 8 birdies on the final day."
Like Fitzpatrick last week JK was sinking 20-foot putts but then missing putts under 6 feet, he played some incredible approach shots & was simply good with-
• 6th x SG: OTT @ +4.059 • 9th x SG: APG @ +4.097 • 13th x SG: ARG @ +2.798 • 45th x SG: PUT @ -0.260 strokes lost • 8th x SG: Total @ +10.694 • T6 x Greens in Regulation @ 76.39% (55/72)
If he had sunk some very puttable holes when within 6 feet last week he wins, all credit to Chris Gotterup as he kept his cool and sunk the putts that needed to be.
In 2025 JK was T33 with a -9, we expect him to challenge this week as his game looks much sharper and his mental approach peaking at around $55 on betfair we like him considering we had him @ $65 last week and he proved our choice was spot on.
|
| Robert MacIntyre |
Win |
55/1(+5500) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 62nd x SG: T2G • 82nd x SG: OTT • 76th x SG: APG • 63rd x SG: ARG • 30th x SG: PUT • 66.74% GIR • 61.29% Driving Accuracy • 80.9% made cuts in 2025 +100% in 2026 • 47.6% top 25 in 2025 • 70.08 stroke avg • 2 x PGA Wins + 3 x DPWT wins
As mentioned in previous analysis when we have selected this Scotsman if he could manage his mental game as well as his actual stroke playing on the course he would sit well within the top 10 in OWGR all year round (currently #8) but he has dropped to the Top 30 in many seasons.
Why we make such an effort to advise of this it is all about scrambling on the golf course, some players just do not rebound if they find themselves in a bunker or two.
We like resilience & we do also like a player that does not bounce from 1 week into the next, when players can select what events they can play at it is highly advantageous.
RM was only T40 here in 2025 with his putting only ranked 67th, there was only 80 players so based on his usual more consistent putting stats (Top 30 in all PGA in 2025) we expect RM to play a course that is very similar to a links course in Europe.
Throw in wet weather & wind well that is what RM is proven in. Around $55 on betfair, if the wet weather continues, we could see him shorten considerably.
|
| Sepp Straka |
Win |
70/1(+7000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 18th x SG: T2G • 52nd x SG: OTT • 7th x SG: APG • 119 x SG: ARG • 41st x SG: PUT • 70.18% GIR • 65.66% DA • 81.8% made cuts in 2025- 0/1 in 2026 • 59.1% top 25 in 2025 • 69.46 stroke avg • 4 x PGA Wins
It was not the usual SS we saw in California @ La Quinta.
He was also lucky it was a cut after 72 holes and not 54 holes as he was simply weak with-
• 72, 74, 68 and had 8 x bogeys + 2 x double bogeys
If there was any consolation for supporters of Sepp was he did flip the poor 36 holes prior with day 3 looking much more like the SS who climbed up to #7 OWGR with-
• 15th x SG: OTT @ +0.683 • 6th x SG: APG @ +2.163 • 18th x SG: ARG @ +0.418 • 21st x SG: PUT @ +0.136 • T5 x SG: Total @ +3.400
That day 3 effort saw 6 birdies + 10 pars & 2 bogeys. He needed it!
So yet another why moment? It is simply because he has bounced back from being cut so well previously with results such as 3rd @ PGA Memorial after being cut @ PGA Championships & T11 @ PGA Cognizant Classic after being cut @ Genesis Invitational.
SS is overall a player that did win x 2 in 2025 along with 6 x T10 & a host of other consistent finishes in T20.
Last week @ WM Pheonix Open we saw a little bit of the better version of SS but we had to wait until day 2 after his day 1 was very ordinary at-
• 85th x SG: OTT @ -0.552 strokes lost • 51st x SG: APG @ +0.443 • 7th x SG: ARG @ +1.746 strokes gained • 107th x SG: PUT @ -1.751 strokes lost • T55 x SG: Total @ -0.114 strokes lost
He was still @ 66.7% in greens in regulation; we saw a significant shift from Day 2 into day 3 and 4 with improved stats all around-
• 28th x SG: OTT @ +1.979 • T23 X SG: APG @ +2.785 • 7th x SG: ARG @ +3.869 • 66th x SG: PUT @ -2.939 stroke lost • T18 x SG: Total @ +5.694 strokes gained
After watching all 4 days with very minimal sleep over 4 days it was well worth it landing the winner but we saw SS improve and that's what he has been doing in 2026, slowly improving & after he did go bogey on certain holes, he did correct those holes the following day with at least a par.
We @ PGT also can excuse his negative putting last week as in his last-
• 8 of last 12 events in positive strokes gained in SG: PUT for 75% +SG
Last week we also made mention he was kept safe on betfair around $80 after opening @ $65 & even with his negative strokes in putting he still remains safe around $70 on betfair.
The best version of Sepp would have him at the top of the leader board.
He is on a slow cooker & we have to consider last year at this event he was-
• T2 X SG: T2G • 9th x SG: APG • 4th x SG: ARG
His finishing position of T7 @ -16 only proved he can go better here this year.
|
| Harris English |
Win |
80/1(+8000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 80th x SG: T2G • 47th x SG: OTT • 119th x SG: APG • 89th x SG: ARG • 18th x SG: PUT • 66.18% GIR • 61.76% Driving Accuracy • 91.3% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2) • 52.2% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2) • 69.92 stroke avg • 5 x PGA Wins
One of the hardest players to catch to Win outright for PGT, he has often finished 2nd when we have selected him in 2025 & he continues to be Mr consistency so far in 2026 with-
• T22 @ PGA Farmers Insurance with 73, 68, 67, 70 for -10 • T27 @ PGA The American Express with 65, 67, 70, 69 for -17
Why are we following HE? It is that consistency from him knowing he makes better than 90% cuts so will be present after 54 holes usually and-
• 17 of 19 events positive in SG: Total (missing by -0.43 & -0.67) the other 2 events
Also after watching the final 18 holes @ Torrey Pines south course last week it was very evident his APG was on point being ranked 6th overall & it was his putter letting him down losing -2.012 shots on avg each day.
This anomaly in his putting as we like to call it does explain so much as in 2025 HE was ranked 18th in SG: PUT from all 23 events he competed in.
*Last week he was labouring @ WM Phoenix with below average stats, unlike the HE we know- he looked flat?
• 9th x SG: OTT @ +3.818 • T50 x SG: APG @ +0.256 • 57th x SG: ARG @ -1.693 strokes lost • 36th x SG: PUT @ +1.313 strokes gained • T28 x SG: Total @ +3.694
Why back up on a possible flat HE?
He has looked good previously with his iron & wedge play and despite his average 50th on Approach & 57th around the greens he still managed to finish the event with-
- T28 @ -7 with rounds of 70, 69, 70, 68
Consistent realistically without shining bright, we will count on the usual consistency we are seeing with our own eyes, he is a player you just must include as I still remember his last win @ the 2025 PGA Farmers & he has also been in positive strokes gained in 21 of his last 25 events proving his overall game is solid.
Since opening on betfair around $70 many punters agree as he there is $80 on offer as he is always a safe play, yes we do have others more preferred this week but it never surprises when the consistent players make a run at the top at anytime over 72 holes.
|
| Daniel Berger |
Win |
80/1(+8000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 27th x SG: T2G • 17th x SG: OTT • 27th x SG: APG • 150th x SG: ARG • 135th x SG: PUT • 68.21% GIR • 66.42% Driving accuracy • 81.8% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2) • 40.9% top 25 in 2025 • 70.29 stroke avg • 4 x PGA Wins
Regardless of what we consider a so so result @ the Amex he still has had back to back events with-
• -11 & -14
We chose the "Burger" for the PGA American Express after giving him a vote of confidence & some of what we wrote-
"A player that struggles to reach his potential on the PGA due to numerous injuries in his career. It was great to see him get into the thick of it at last week's PGA Sony Open in Hawaii with his T6 with -11.
In 2025 before his injury he started in early February on a run of 7 straight events all in positive strokes in all SG metrics including putting, in the run that finished in late April @ the PGA RBC Heritage he finished T2 X 2 & 1 x 3rd, his run continued with 10 straight cuts made, he started having injuries with his wrist & finger from April onwards".
Last week @ WM Phoenix we were waiting for him to hit his stride, a noted sweet striker of the ball and his usual Approach game he opened with a good 65 before day 2 saw a 71 then franked again on day 3 with a 71 before coming alive late with his 65 (-6).
Where was that DB?
Day 4 was good-
• 6 x birdies with NO bogeys
Maybe we @ PGT are being too critical of "The Berger" ? he was however over 72 holes-
• 29th x SG: OTT @ +1.781 • 1st x SG: APG @ +7.232 strokes gained • 66th x SG: ARG @ -2.378 strokes lost • 43rd x SG: PUT @ +0.059 • T16 x SG: Total @ +6.694
Yes, maybe we are being too critical as he was 1st in strokes gained approach which WILL GO ALONG WAY here this weekend with the smallest greens on tour.
DB opened @ $70 on betfair and you can get around $80 on betfair now and considering he was $100 last week @ WM Phoenix and $70 for the AMEX we are happy to accept the $80 now, he was 1st in APG last week & top 30 amongst all players in 2025 on tour.
|
| Nick Taylor |
Win |
130/1(+13000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 42nd x SG: T2G • 108th x SG: OTT • 28th x SG: APG • 62nd x SG: ARG • 68th x SG: PUT • 68.9% Greens in regulation • 66.58% Driving accuracy • 79.2% made cuts on 2025 + 100% in 2026 (3/3) • 50% top 25 in 2025 • 69.87 stroke avg • 5 x PGA Wins
We selected Saint Nick for the PGA The American Express where he was okay for his-
• T27 with 65, 65, 72, 69 for -17
We also backed up on him last week @ PGA WM Phoenix and after hearing multiple different interviews regarding he winters @ TPC Scottsdale and watching him warm up on the PGA channel I must say his T28 left a bad taste in my mouth only because the expectation was huge for Saint Nick.
Now its funny to some degree as we left him alone at PGA SONY Open in Hawaii as he was the defending champion and the lesson learnt should have been some players prefer to fly under the radar, some do thrive on pressure and or scrutiny from media outlets & we never entertained RORY in Australia as seeing him in interviews he looked so tired and played like it. Pay attention to the room!
I think we must accept Saint Nick goes far better flying under the radar & he has been good to us overall so last week he was still sound with-
• 53rd x SG: OTT @ -0.082 strokes lost • 25th x SG: APG @ +2.764 strokes gained • 53rd x SG: ARG @ -1.295 • 27th x SG: PUT @ +2.307 • T28th x SG: Total @ +3.694 strokes gained • Also GIR @ 66.67% (48/72) • Only 9 bogeys over 72 holes
Last year around the 2 courses he finished T33 but NT did rank 7th in Strokes gained approach after his day 3 (72) & day 4 (70) saw his slide from being in the Top 15 after 36 holes with a good clean early start of 68 & 69.
The Stig & MJ are sticking true with NT as his overall game has never looked better, so a win is very soon & at around $130 on betfair he represents great value after kicking off last week around $90.
If he gets hot early he will only thrive.
|
| Sahith Theegala |
Win |
140/1(+14000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 147th x SG: T2G • 135th x SG: OTT • 134th x SG: APG • 95th x SG: ARG • 138th x SG: PUT • 65.56% GIR • BTA- below tour average driving accuracy • 73.9% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 • 47.08% top 25 in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (4/4) • 70.93 stroke avg • 1 x PGA Win
We left ST alone last week but did select him @ the PGA American Express & he has now been very good in all 4 starts in 2026 with-
• 4 from 4 events all in +strokes gained in SG: Total on Avg + 2 strokes each day.
ST has been on our radar and with now 2 x T10 finishes PLUS 1 X T20 in his last 3 events being-
• T18 X PGA WM Phoenix Open @ -9 with 70, 65, 70, 70 • T7 x PGA Farmers Insurance Open @ -14 with 66, 69, 73, 66 • T8 x PGA American Express @ -21 with 71, 64, 67, 65
I think we timed it well when jumping off the train last week with his now T18 behind us but even @ TPC Scottsdale he was still good as he showed on day 2 he can go low on a difficult course with his 65.
Last week he only needs to maintain these good stats @ Pebble beach-
• 18th x SG: APG @ +3.101 strokes gained • 6th x SG: ARG +4.026 • 14th x SG: PUT @ +3.904
The above is very important as is the fact that ST lost more than 5 strokes OTT-
• 71st x SG: OTT @ -5.337 strokes lost
Both he & Hideki should have been shot last week, both were average but around Pebble beach it should not matter as much because if ST can just concentrate on finding the fairways he can set up nicely on approach.
We saw last week even with a notorious wayward driver such as Akshay Bhatia when they get their 1st shot off the tee right, they compete and feature, we highlighted the injury comeback with ST & he has been good on TGL so far so it is all coming together.
Currently around $140 & drifting after opening @ $110 perhaps many think his off the tee play will affect his result this week, happy to lean into him and happy to try & get matched around +$160 on betfair.
|
| J.T. Poston |
Win |
150/1(+15000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 52nd x SG: T2G • 68th x SG: OTT • 87th x SG: APG • 35th x SG: ARG • 89th x SG: PUT • 66.18% GIR • 66.15& DA • 84.6% made cuts in 2025 + 100% in 2026 (2/2) • 34.6 top 25 in 2025 + • 70.18 stroke avg • 3 x PGA Wins
Put it short and sweet you must include players like Henley & Poston where approach play & green play is highly advantageous on courses.
Shooting for 8 straight results JT is a player that often bobs up and he shoots a crazy 61 or similar & you go why did I leave him out?
His last win was @ PGA Shriners in October 2024 so he needs to replicate that sort of consistency that saw JT go-
• -22 with rounds of 64, 65, 66 & 67
We like many are waiting for JT to hit pay dirt, timing is everything & last year at this event his putting letting him down being tanked 76th from 80 & his normally reliable green play let him down as well @ 61st, he finished T53 @ -6 after finding trouble on Day 4 (74) so his +2 is not what you want to see on the final day.
JT opened @ $130 on betfair and currently $150 is on offer and you could try to match +$170 as interest has waned. His best is good enough.
|
| Alex Noren |
Win |
170/1(+17000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 100th x SG: T2G • 80th x SG: OTT • 80th x SG: APG • 55th x SG: ARG • 65th x SG: PUT • 65.55% GIR • 67.39% DA • 63.6% made cuts in 2025 • 27.3% top 25 in 2025 • 70 stroke avg • 0 x PGA Wins + 12 DPWT Wins
If you have been with us for a while we do select AN every now & then due to his excellent results in Europe.
In Europe he has been masterclass with 2 x 1sts from his last 5 events on DP World tour, he was 2nd beaten in a playoff @ PGA Hero World Challenge in December recently and Hideki beat him so franks the form as well as players finishing behind him in the small field of 19 players such as-
• 1st x Justin Rose @ PGA Farmers Insurance • 1st x Chris Gotterup @ PGA WM Phoenix & 1st x PGA Sony Open in Hawaii.
Both players above finished behind Noren so the swede if he can get over-
• 2 missed cuts from last 2 x PGA events in late Jan & early February
Now normally any other player who misses CUTS we would not really consider but you do not win 12 x DPWT events or are beaten in a playoff if you can play & we are buoyed by the fact that the swede did win the BMW PGA Championships @ Wentworth GC in mid-September 2025 but was CUT at the very event before.
He is a quality player and another baffling mystery why excellent DP players cannot win on the PGA tour.
We at PGT are very weary of AN as in his last 8 events he has resulted significantly-
• 2nd x PGA Hero World Challenge- beaten in a playoff • T16 x DPWT TOUR Championships • T17 x DPWT Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships • T27 x PGA Baycurrent in Japan • 1st x PGA BMW Championships in Europe • 1st x DPWT Betfred Masters • T3 x PGA Wyndham Championships • T7 x PGA 3M Open
At 47 yrs of age there is not much the Swede has not seen & typically known for his smooth ball striking I expect him to figure on this course where greens are one of the smallest on tour along with his Bonafide putting stats.
Due to his 0 PGA wins I can only imagine this is why the USA punters have ignored him on betfair as he is around $170 after opening @ $150 & he is a player I will top up on hopefully around +$180 and can only hope we see the best version of AN, he really should be winning a PGA event soon.
|
| Aaron Rai |
Win |
220/1(+22000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 12th x SG: T2G • 22nd x SG: OTT • 21st x SG: APG • 68th x SG: ARG • 132nd x SG: PUT • 70.52% GIR • 73.85% Driving Accuracy • 80.9% made cuts in 2025 • 47.6 top 25 in 2025 • 69.97 stroke avg • 1 x PGA Win + 3 x DPWT wins
We liked him @ PGA Farmers Insurance Open before his surprise withdrawal before tee off.
This Englishman will chance his arm more often now in the USA after defeating a good line up @ the DPWT Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships, he had a shootout in a playoff against Tommy Fleetwood in mid-November.
He arrives fresh after his last event being in December @ the PGA HERO World challenge where he finished 18th (behind him Chris Gotterup) already a PGA winner in 2026.
Known for his driving prowess he can go on runs with both irons & his putter so do not discount him as I once thought he was a Tommy but that was 12 months ago and I have spent many hours watching his play.
• His SG: APG is in positive strokes gained in 9 of his last 10 events
So a very good 90% could easily be 100% in +SG; APG as his other miss was only -0.52 stokes lost @ OMEGA Masters where he was also cut from.
He opened @ $95 when picked @ PGA Farmers & there was $180 on offer on betfair at the time of summary, crazy odds for a player known for his long game off the tee.
This is not the Farmers so length off the tee not necessary but driving accuracy above 60% will help set up your next shot onto the green in the shorter holes & AR has that in spades usually as sits mostly above 70%.
I have searched all media news to see what the source of his withdrawal was and you cannot believe any rumours if LIV were chasing he and JJ Spaun, only time will tell but he has had lower back spasms previously.
Another European proven in wet & windy conditions as they all grow up playing links courses at his current price around $220 on betfair more than fair, like AN if he brings his "A" game then +$200 we could be giggling to ourselves & even with NO CUT this week you still want a nice quick clean start from your players, chasing strokes never easy.
|
| Lucas Glover |
Win |
500/1(+50000) |
1.00 |
LOSS |
• 25th x SG: T2G • 78th x SG: OTT • 25th x SG: APG • 41st x SG: ARG • 157th x SG: PUT • 65.41% GIR • 68.36% DA • 68.2% made cuts in 2025 • 36.4% top 25 in 2025 • 70.31 stroke avg • 6 x PGA Wins
This PGA veteran has a new lease on his game as very evident as a member on the TGL team, Atlanta Drive GC but he has played as part of the USA team in the Walker Cup, Palmer Cup & Presidents Cup.
He arrives here no fresher than 5 months since his last PGA event in mid-August 2025 but as stated he has been enjoying his golf in the So Fi centre Indoor arena.
I state "ENJOY" as I watch TGL and honestly it is the happiest I have seen him and The STIG & MJ have chosen LG many times in the last few years but do not be scared off his current $500 on betfair.
If we are to be critical of any part of his game it would be his putting, the rest is very good and he does sit usually in the T25 in T2G amongst all players on PGA tour, not easy to do so imagine if he bolstered those overall stats with a decent putting game? Refer to stats above.
From 25 events last season LG did result in T10 x 5 they were-
• T5 x PGA John Deere Classic @ -16 • T9 x PGA Travelers Championship @ -9 • T8 x PGA Valspar Championships @ -6 • T3 x PGA Players Championships @ -10 • T3 x PGA AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am @ -18
Only beaten by stars of the game in the above results.
From the 2025 event LG also resulted off being Cut, I do not mind the fact he has not played for 5 months as I have seen plenty of him in TGL, nothing wrong with his game.
• 8th x SG: T2G • 23rd x SG: APG • 51st x SG: ARG • 5th x SG: PUT
Time will tell over the weekend but LG is around $500 on betfair after opening much shorter @ $420 earlier, I already backed him @ $450 and now $500, will try and get matched for +$600.
He finished T3 last year & we know him well.
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