3M Open 2025 Golf Picks, Odds & Analysis

THE FORGOTTEN 🏌️‍♂️:

I have often had savers on NOREN as he is one of the veterans that can easily bob up high on any leaderboard.

The Swede although 0 x PGA Wins, has a strong 11 x International Wins and has played in at least 40 x MAJORS with 12 x Top 20 finishes and he does have a decent record overall in PGA Events despite being winless.

Since the 2024 WELLS FARGO event and all the way through 2025 he is having his best year in the last 5 years, His most recent best result was @ T17 @ PGA Championships in Mid May, now he has had 2 CUTS in his last 2 being @ Rocket Classic & Genesis in Scotland.

I am happy to overlook these as last time he had 2 CUTS he finished T10 @ 2024 GENESIS Open then backed it up T13 @ OPEN in 2024, same time last year.

His stats in 2025 are just too good to ignore-

ruling out those last 2 CUTS NOREN had been good in SG: OTT, SG: APG, SG: ARG and even SG: Putting he was all picking u strokes on the field, even @ the PGA Champs he picked up +2,67 strokes on the field.

THERE IS NO NOISE or pressure this week and you will often see him in the Top 10 early before fading day 3 into 4.

5 of his last 7 events he has started with either a 67 or 68, that sees him right in this, the hurdle is his day 3 into 4 but @ $150 I can be forgiving, he has WON 11 X International events after all.

GO THE VETERAN

Opened $100 out to $150

Win @ $150
Top 10 @ $10.50
Top 20 @ $4.60

**His Top 20 price is ridiculously low , he should be more like $8 to $9 again not much in betfair pools at the time of summary.

THE ROOKIE 💣:

I had to include STEVENS as for a player who is yet to Win on PGA Tour he is ranked well within the Too 100 @ #72 in OWGR + a very good ranking in Fedex of 44th ensuring he gets to play in most events for 2026.

He has built these rankings on some very consistent form of late with 1 x 2nd, 2 x Top 10s & 8 x Top 25s from 23 events thus far in 2025, he also is a high 20 CUTS made for a staggering 86.9% I say staggering as he also Winless.

His 2nd was to HARRIS ENGLISH @ Farmers, English shot +1 on Day 4 and this young gun fired in a -4, most players may have been distracted but he proved his 17th @ AT & T pebble Beach and then 3rd @ CJ Cup Byron Nelson had him on track.

Minus his MAJORS, he was T60 @ PGA & then a better T23 @ US Open he is playing well with his most recent best performance @ John Deere earlier in July yielded a T21 with his -13.

I think with his strong play OFF THE TEE (SG: OTT he is 41st) along with his Around the Green he can figure in the Top 10 & 20, he is due for his 1st win and the market has already taken this into account with him being under $100.

The software we use for stats has STEVENS in 6 of his last 8 events all showing POSITIVE SG in PUTTING, his PGA stats have him @ 82nd.

He can improve this figure.

Unlike CAM YOUNG & or ERIC COLE he is my preferred player to Win his 1st PGA event, he only needs the Better ranked players here to falter and his enthusiasm can take him to the podium.

Opened $90 into $85

Win @ $85
Top 10 @ $8
Top 20 @ $4.50

IN RED 🔥 FORM:

PGA 3M Open 2025
TPC Twin Cities
Blaine, Minnesota, USA
Thursday 24th July to 27th, 2025
Tee Time @ 9:45pm (Please check times)

The 26 yr Old from Maryland's, USA has been in best career form for the last few weeks having WON The Genesis Open in Scotland & backing it up with a solid 2nd last weekend @ The OPEN with a -12.

Currently ranked #1 in PGA for GIR (Greens in Regulation) @ 71.52% (914 greens hit from 1278 holes) he did bring some very consistent form into the events over the Pond that saw him Top 30
in 8 events, He had 4 straight Top 20s in those 8 events culminating in the 1st & 2nd over the Pond.

As a Punter you often wonder can they keep backing it up but he is ahead of the Average in GIR %
so this course will reward birdies as the Greens are

So GOTTERUP only has to maintain his last 4 events where he has been terrific with his card being
-15, -13, -15 & -12 his Average is strong and from those 16 rounds of golf and 288 holes he has an average of 67.56.

He did start slow on the first day of 2 of those 4 events carding a 72 @ ROCKET CLASSIC & a 72 last week @ The OPEN but he really went on a burn after that with a 65, 68 & 67 last week.

This course is nowhere near as hard as last week.

Without diving deep into stats he is playing well & only needs to maintain.

Opened @ $27 out to $30 on Betfair.

Win @ $30
Top 10 @ $4.20
Top 20 @ $2.52

FINALLY PEAKING 💪:

We had been tracking WYNDHAM CLARK for sometime earlier in 2025 but he kept on proving ow inconsistent he was.

Well he started turning it around @

Last week on the final day he shot a 65 on the back of a 66 on Day 2 & 66 on Day 3, His final 65 consisted of 8 x Birdies with 2 x Bogeys leaving him with a very good -6 on Day 4.

He has shot up the ranking in most significant SG (Strokes Gained) stats and sits his highest in 2025 for SG: ARG (Around the Green) in 18th, he has worked his way up from 58th to 32nd to now 18th.

Off the Tee (OTT) he sits a steady 21st in DRIVING DISTANCE however his accuracy is currently around 56% so his goal this week will be finding more FAIRWAYS which last week he was 12th in ACCURACY @ The OPEN.

I also like the positive in that he has made 15 of the 20 cuts (75% SR) in 2025 as we can see from last week the more you get into Day 3 the higher chance we have of making Profit.

CLARK will Tee off in Group 30 and he will be joined with 2 of our other players selected in ADAM SCOTT & CHRIS GOTTERUP so the trio can use each others lines to be up near the top of the leader board early.

Hopefully these 3 players can drive each other.

Opened Win @ $27 out to $34 on Betfair at the time of summary.

Win @ $34
Top 10 @ $4.50
Top 20 @ $2.68

$3 in Invested on CLARK we need him to Top 20 only to cover most of the play.

I threw this Frenchman in because I have watched around 20 Post game Interviews with him and he is ready to start winning, if it is not here follow him as he will be Winning very soon (like 3 to 4 weeks time.

His game was solid in Scotland and in his Post event Interview he highlighted how slow the greens were and how hard they were to judge yet he still finished in T22 with all his SG stats in positives.

To his credit he hung around and he did declare he left many Birdies out there, Like Li he has a very solid APPROACH game which should be rewarded here @ Twin Cities and even with his
T59 last week backing up @ The Open he had all positives in SG barring SG: PUTT where he was -0.98 strokes.

Normally this is not an issue for him but we are relying on his very good APG (Approach the Green play in which he has been in Positive strokes gained in 7 of his last 8 including 6 of those being
PGA events.

***He has made the Cut in 15 straight events (13 x PGA + 2 X DPWT) so he should not beat himself up too greatly leaving birdies out there ij post event interviews.

We expect him to play nice & steady (his trademark play/style) so where a few may waiver coming into the back 36 or 18 I expect him to do him and stick.

He has already won 3 x DPWT +2 other events so this is not beyond his reach, currently ranked 14th in GIR @ 71.32% on DPWT so Haotong Li sits just above him,

I really like NOREN, HAOTONG & ROZNER, I think their odds are overs and again their dividends for Top 10 or 20 will drift out.
Take some now and top up later that is my approach and even get matched on sillier/higher odds, that is the beauty of the exchange.

Opened $170 out to $250 on Betfair.

Win @ $250
Top 10 @ $15
Top 20 @ $6.80

Rozner should be double his Top 10 & 20 odds again, not much in Pools, even the WIN Pool is small with at least 10 x expected.

ON THE 🤑:

It is late July into early September the Aussie hits form along with late in the year to early the next, why? who knows but he does display clear patterns.

SCOTT who boasts one of the better WIN records on Tour (14 x PGA + 14 X International Wins) is slowly grinding his way back into calculations with his 7 straight paydays since being CUT @ The Masters, he was CUT last week @ The Open but played well in Scotland with a T17.

With the majority of the better OWGR players not here he is elevated quickly into calculations based on his solid efforts mostly all his stats are ranked in the Top 50.

If we exclude last weeks OPEN his 3 previous @ the GENESIS, Trevelers & US Open he was picking up SG (Strokes gained) on the field in APPROACH, OFF THE TEE, his Putter has let him down but the previous events in PGA Champs, Truist & Memorial he was again picking up strokes OFF THE TEE.

The greens are not difficult here so if he can be well placed up the fairways his APPROACH onto the greens could set him up for easy PUTTS, he is on the verge of breaking out is my opinion and back from his last few in Majors he is flying under the pressure cooker.

If we compare him to BHATIA who is starting to play better, I personally prefer SCOTT this weekend @ double the odds. We have to have faith our selections are ready to perform the week we choose them.

Opened $65 out to $70 on Betfair

Win @ $70
Top 10 @ $6.40
Top 20 @ $3.80

An absolute delight to watch his APPROACH game, His irons are his super skill set and although he was 1 player that was NOT suited last week
in a Major @ Northern Ireland he stuck to his task very well being totally out of his comfort zone with the wicked fairways.

We tipped LI when he Won @ $55 back in February in the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters where he held on to defeat one of the best players stats wise on the DPWT in
Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson with a consistent showing of 69, 67, 67 & 69.

Also surrounding this event he went 4 x straight Top 10s with T9 in Singapore, T4 in China, T2 in Turkey & T4 @ Soudal he then went a bit cold in his 3 DPWT events finishing
T27, T60, T38 which not atrocious right ( in fields between 154 & 175 players). He had me worried missing the CUT @ Genesis Open in Scotland were he still has positive SG (Strokes Gained) in both
SG: OTT (Off the Tee) & SG: Putting both + it was his negative strokes in SG: Approach & SG: ARG (Around the Green).

He proved that his usually reliable APPROACH game was back on track last week when a T4 on a course that just did not suit his Fairway driving.

Last week and I will rely on this because @ The OPEN he was positive in all SG: Stats-

+0.50 strokes in Putting
+0.06 strokes in ARG (Around the Green)
+2.34 strokes in APG (Approach the Green)- this is his strength his Iron play onto Greens (Generally sits a good 72.22% GIR (ranks 10th over @ DPWT) the avg is 66.62.
+0.23 strokes in OTT (he has never been Top 50 in Driving Accuracy, however he does sit 30th in Driving Yards, the course fits this week.

He really toughed it out last week against the Worlds Best & yes he meets GOTTERUP & CLARK who finished ahead and equal to him but this course fits his skill set well, GOTTERUP does have a better GIR (Greens in Regulation) but I like how Li is taking on the PGA circuit now, DPWT does not return until 7th August in Scotland which will see a fair few DPWT players raiding the US events.

Of note last week LI only had 6 Bogeys (T5th) Scheffler had (1st) but to be fair to Li he had 4 of those on Day 4, he still managed 6 x Birdies and finished with a -1 for the whole day.

He was trying and you could see like other players the course was relentless with many showing their frustrations.

With a T4 now in the rear view he can get back to this event at silly overs, I liked him when he was $90 then out to $130 so of course @ $150 I think he is way overs, he has Won 8 x Events overseas but I really have a hard time understanding why many players quoted under him are @ $100 or less.

Just another player that needs to replicate his good form of late, he has done some travelling more than most USA players as DP World Tour means most there will play in 30 to 40 different countries each year but alas they all still travel so no one can say they are disadvantaged by it, burn out at times perhaps.

Opened $90 out to $130 out to $150 on Betfair.

Win @ $150
Top 10 @ $11.50
Top 20 @ $5.30

As advised on other players the pools are small and Li should be at least $7 to $8 for top 20 markets, Prices will be adjusted closer to TEE OFF, this early a guide only.

TAKE ON TRUST 🤞:

For those who have been with me for the last +4 years would recall when we had FOWLER flying @ the 2023 U.S. Open, breaking course records in the 1st round with a 62 @ LA Country Club, before finishing tied for 4th.

He led through the first 2 rounds and had a very good advantage over 36 holes until he lost the plot.

He reminds me a bit of MAX HOMA in that both he & FOWLER have been struggling for form but both seem to be improving of late.

He may not be making too much noise but in the background he has made 14 CUTS from 17 events played (2 x MC + 1 WD- withdrawal) and in those 14 he has 7 x Top 25s (50% SR) is more than acceptable.

Another who like CLARK last week was solid on Day 4 in Northern Ireland with a 65 and finishing
T14 with -8.

In all his SG (Strokes Gained) stats he is in Positive territory in Putting, Around the Green, Approach & Off the Tee so makes sense his T2G (Tee to Green) is also POSITIVE.

If we look very close to his last 8 events since the TRUIST (May 2025) he was CUT @ Rocket but bounced back with T18 & T14 back to back and prior to the Rocket he had 3 good finishes which his SG stats for APG (Approach the Green), ARG (Around the Green) & PUTT (Putting) were all in positive strokes gained.

No doubt he can lean on his current form which differs greatly from his actual PGA stats, better performance will change stats quickly and he has POSITIVES to date. JUST HAS to put all 4 days together he does however boast a very good overall Top 10 record.

**His 84 x Top 10 results are from 362 events in his career for a good 23.2% SR. To think every 4 starts he finishes Top 10 is pretty impressive.

Opened $44 out to $50 on Betfair
Win @ $50
Top 10 @ $6.50
Top 20 @ $3.25

Prices are based on only $24k in the pools @ time of summary so they will grow.