Pre-event golf odds
TOUR Championship 2026 Odds
Compare PGT projected win probabilities with the final pre-event prices recorded before play
- Tour
- PGA Tour
- Event date
- 27 August 2026
- Field
- 30 players
- Location
- Atlanta, GA
- Event starts
- 27 August 2026, 11:00 am EDT (event local)
Projected Golf Odds
Independent modelled win probabilities and fair prices for the field.
| Rank | Player | Win % | Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler Scottie |
18.89% | 16/5 (+320) |
| 2 | McIlroy Rory |
5.92% | 23/2 (+1150) |
| 3 | Burns Sam |
5.56% | 12/1 (+1200) |
| 4 | Clark Wyndham |
5.12% | 13/1 (+1300) |
| 5 | Fitzpatrick Matt |
5.11% | 13/1 (+1300) |
| 6 | Cantlay Patrick |
4.64% | 29/2 (+1450) |
| 7 | Fleetwood Tommy |
4.18% | 16/1 (+1600) |
| 8 | Aberg Ludvig |
3.91% | 17/1 (+1700) |
| 9 | Morikawa Collin |
3.83% | 35/2 (+1750) |
| 10 | Gotterup Chris |
3.76% | 18/1 (+1800) |
| 11 | Henley Russell |
3.73% | 18/1 (+1800) |
| 12 | Young Cameron |
3.63% | 37/2 (+1850) |
| 13 | Schauffele Xander |
3.51% | 19/1 (+1900) |
| 14 | Kim Si Woo |
3.45% | 19/1 (+1900) |
| 15 | Matsuyama Hideki |
2.93% | 23/1 (+2300) |
| 16 | Hovland Viktor |
2.37% | 28/1 (+2800) |
| 17 | Spaun J.J. |
2.32% | 28/1 (+2800) |
| 18 | Gerard Ryan |
2.11% | 31/1 (+3100) |
| 19 | Rose Justin |
1.85% | 35/1 (+3500) |
| 20 | MacIntyre Robert |
1.68% | 39/1 (+3900) |
| 21 | Scott Adam |
1.63% | 40/1 (+4000) |
| 22 | Bridgeman Jacob |
1.61% | 40/1 (+4000) |
| 23 | Smalley Alex |
1.56% | 41/1 (+4100) |
| 24 | Kim Tom |
1.39% | 46/1 (+4600) |
| 25 | Woodland Gary |
1.13% | 54/1 (+5400) |
| 26 | Reitan Kristoffer |
1.08% | 59/1 (+5900) |
| 27 | Lee Min Woo |
0.94% | 64/1 (+6400) |
| 28 | Bhatia Akshay |
0.86% | 74/1 (+7400) |
| 29 | Fox Ryan |
0.70% | 89/1 (+8900) |
| 30 | Fitzpatrick Alex |
0.63% | 99/1 (+9900) |
- Projected updated
- 24 August 2026
- Final prices recorded
- 27 August 2026, 8:21 am EDT (event local)
- Prices closed
- 27 August 2026, 11:00 am EDT (event local)
Final Pre-Event Odds
Opening and final pre-event prices recorded before play.
Outright
| Player | Open | Low | High | Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheffler Scottie |
13/4 (+324) | 11/4 (+275) | 17/4 (+425) | 33/10 (+332) |
| McIlroy Rory |
17/2 (+838) | 6/1 (+600) | 21/2 (+1050) | 17/2 (+842) |
| Schauffele Xander |
27/2 (+1356) | 9/1 (+900) | 31/2 (+1550) | 11/1 (+1112) |
| Burns Sam |
33/2 (+1656) | 12/1 (+1200) | 21/1 (+2053) | 31/2 (+1541) |
| Clark Wyndham |
61/4 (+1533) | 11/1 (+1100) | 75/4 (+1863) | 63/4 (+1585) |
| Cantlay Patrick |
69/4 (+1715) | 11/1 (+1100) | 20/1 (+2000) | 16/1 (+1603) |
| Morikawa Collin |
18/1 (+1800) | 27/2 (+1352) | 22/1 (+2150) | 65/4 (+1630) |
| Aberg Ludvig |
31/2 (+1542) | 12/1 (+1200) | 25/1 (+2500) | 69/4 (+1722) |
| Fleetwood Tommy |
37/2 (+1838) | 14/1 (+1400) | 25/1 (+2525) | 20/1 (+1988) |
| Young Cameron |
71/4 (+1773) | 31/2 (+1550) | 25/1 (+2500) | 20/1 (+2025) |
| Gotterup Chris |
20/1 (+2000) | 14/1 (+1400) | 29/1 (+2858) | 22/1 (+2169) |
| Fitzpatrick Matt |
75/4 (+1885) | 14/1 (+1400) | 30/1 (+2998) | 22/1 (+2222) |
| Hovland Viktor |
26/1 (+2581) | 18/1 (+1800) | 30/1 (+3000) | 25/1 (+2472) |
| Kim Si Woo |
23/1 (+2288) | 18/1 (+1800) | 30/1 (+3000) | 25/1 (+2526) |
| Henley Russell |
25/1 (+2535) | 18/1 (+1800) | 35/1 (+3500) | 26/1 (+2641) |
| Matsuyama Hideki |
28/1 (+2788) | 18/1 (+1800) | 35/1 (+3500) | 28/1 (+2775) |
| MacIntyre Robert |
42/1 (+4165) | 33/1 (+3300) | 60/1 (+5993) | 43/1 (+4288) |
| Rose Justin |
46/1 (+4550) | 35/1 (+3500) | 58/1 (+5792) | 45/1 (+4487) |
| Gerard Ryan |
42/1 (+4219) | 33/1 (+3300) | 60/1 (+6000) | 47/1 (+4658) |
| Spaun J.J. |
38/1 (+3819) | 33/1 (+3300) | 67/1 (+6722) | 47/1 (+4661) |
| Woodland Gary |
42/1 (+4173) | 33/1 (+3300) | 76/1 (+7557) | 48/1 (+4754) |
| Kim Tom |
46/1 (+4619) | 40/1 (+4000) | 60/1 (+6000) | 48/1 (+4836) |
| Scott Adam |
47/1 (+4704) | 33/1 (+3300) | 63/1 (+6267) | 50/1 (+4989) |
| Lee Min Woo |
54/1 (+5358) | 40/1 (+4000) | 72/1 (+7154) | 55/1 (+5520) |
| Bridgeman Jacob |
46/1 (+4604) | 40/1 (+4000) | 88/1 (+8800) | 65/1 (+6521) |
| Reitan Kristoffer |
60/1 (+5973) | 45/1 (+4500) | 92/1 (+9168) | 70/1 (+7042) |
| Smalley Alex |
60/1 (+5950) | 50/1 (+5000) | 90/1 (+9000) | 72/1 (+7176) |
| Bhatia Akshay |
79/1 (+7850) | 50/1 (+5000) | 122/1 (+12206) | 85/1 (+8458) |
| Fitzpatrick Alex |
78/1 (+7827) | 66/1 (+6600) | 122/1 (+12201) | 91/1 (+9093) |
| Fox Ryan |
90/1 (+9019) | 70/1 (+7000) | 185/1 (+18533) | 103/1 (+10350) |
Top 5
| Player | Open | Low | High | Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheffler Scottie |
13/20 (-154) | 1/2 (-200) | 10/13 (-130) | 7/11 (-157) |
| McIlroy Rory |
17/10 (+166) | 6/5 (+120) | 2/1 (+200) | 3/2 (+154) |
| Schauffele Xander |
23/10 (+233) | 3/2 (+150) | 13/5 (+265) | 19/10 (+188) |
| Cantlay Patrick |
3/1 (+300) | 19/10 (+190) | 7/2 (+350) | 13/5 (+263) |
| Burns Sam |
29/10 (+288) | 11/5 (+220) | 17/5 (+335) | 13/5 (+265) |
| Clark Wyndham |
14/5 (+283) | 21/10 (+210) | 31/10 (+311) | 27/10 (+270) |
| Aberg Ludvig |
13/5 (+264) | 21/10 (+210) | 7/2 (+350) | 11/4 (+277) |
| Morikawa Collin |
3/1 (+296) | 21/10 (+210) | 18/5 (+365) | 14/5 (+278) |
| Fleetwood Tommy |
16/5 (+322) | 12/5 (+240) | 4/1 (+400) | 3/1 (+300) |
| Young Cameron |
29/10 (+291) | 5/2 (+250) | 7/2 (+350) | 31/10 (+308) |
| Fitzpatrick Matt |
29/10 (+294) | 13/5 (+260) | 7/2 (+350) | 16/5 (+318) |
| Gotterup Chris |
17/5 (+340) | 5/2 (+250) | 9/2 (+450) | 17/5 (+343) |
| Henley Russell |
4/1 (+401) | 3/1 (+300) | 5/1 (+500) | 19/5 (+383) |
| Kim Si Woo |
18/5 (+359) | 3/1 (+300) | 9/2 (+450) | 39/10 (+387) |
| Hovland Viktor |
9/2 (+445) | 3/1 (+300) | 5/1 (+500) | 41/10 (+406) |
| Matsuyama Hideki |
47/10 (+466) | 3/1 (+300) | 5/1 (+500) | 41/10 (+414) |
| MacIntyre Robert |
13/2 (+652) | 5/1 (+500) | 7/1 (+700) | 6/1 (+591) |
| Gerard Ryan |
25/4 (+616) | 5/1 (+500) | 7/1 (+700) | 6/1 (+606) |
| Spaun J.J. |
6/1 (+588) | 19/4 (+475) | 8/1 (+805) | 6/1 (+610) |
| Rose Justin |
29/4 (+718) | 5/1 (+500) | 17/2 (+850) | 25/4 (+614) |
| Scott Adam |
7/1 (+694) | 5/1 (+500) | 15/2 (+755) | 25/4 (+626) |
| Woodland Gary |
13/2 (+644) | 9/2 (+450) | 8/1 (+809) | 25/4 (+629) |
| Kim Tom |
27/4 (+685) | 5/1 (+500) | 17/2 (+850) | 27/4 (+673) |
| Lee Min Woo |
15/2 (+757) | 11/2 (+550) | 37/4 (+921) | 7/1 (+708) |
| Bridgeman Jacob |
27/4 (+686) | 11/2 (+550) | 11/1 (+1100) | 31/4 (+766) |
| Smalley Alex |
17/2 (+842) | 6/1 (+600) | 10/1 (+1000) | 33/4 (+834) |
| Reitan Kristoffer |
17/2 (+853) | 13/2 (+650) | 41/4 (+1025) | 35/4 (+877) |
| Fitzpatrick Alex |
21/2 (+1054) | 15/2 (+750) | 13/1 (+1300) | 21/2 (+1056) |
| Bhatia Akshay |
49/4 (+1221) | 15/2 (+750) | 14/1 (+1400) | 11/1 (+1101) |
| Fox Ryan |
25/2 (+1238) | 10/1 (+1000) | 16/1 (+1600) | 13/1 (+1307) |
Top 10
| Player | Open | Low | High | Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheffler Scottie |
2/9 (-447) | 1/6 (-588) | 2/7 (-350) | 3/14 (-461) |
| McIlroy Rory |
8/13 (-162) | 5/12 (-240) | 8/11 (-137) | 9/16 (-177) |
| Schauffele Xander |
8/9 (-113) | 7/13 (-190) | 1/1 (+100) | 5/7 (-140) |
| Cantlay Patrick |
11/10 (+112) | 2/3 (-150) | 13/10 (+130) | 12/13 (-109) |
| Burns Sam |
11/10 (+109) | 10/13 (-130) | 5/4 (+125) | 19/20 (-104) |
| Aberg Ludvig |
1/1 (+103) | 3/4 (-135) | 13/10 (+130) | 1/1 (-102) |
| Clark Wyndham |
11/10 (+108) | 3/4 (-135) | 5/4 (+125) | 1/1 (-100) |
| Morikawa Collin |
11/10 (+111) | 3/4 (-135) | 7/5 (+136) | 1/1 (+101) |
| Fleetwood Tommy |
6/5 (+119) | 5/6 (-120) | 7/5 (+140) | 11/10 (+109) |
| Young Cameron |
11/10 (+106) | 10/11 (-110) | 13/10 (+130) | 11/10 (+113) |
| Fitzpatrick Matt |
11/10 (+107) | 19/20 (-105) | 7/5 (+140) | 6/5 (+117) |
| Gotterup Chris |
13/10 (+130) | 10/11 (-110) | 8/5 (+163) | 5/4 (+123) |
| Kim Si Woo |
7/5 (+135) | 1/1 (+105) | 8/5 (+163) | 7/5 (+139) |
| Henley Russell |
3/2 (+146) | 1/1 (+105) | 7/4 (+175) | 7/5 (+145) |
| Hovland Viktor |
8/5 (+165) | 1/1 (+105) | 19/10 (+188) | 3/2 (+148) |
| Matsuyama Hideki |
17/10 (+172) | 1/1 (+105) | 2/1 (+200) | 3/2 (+150) |
| MacIntyre Robert |
12/5 (+235) | 8/5 (+160) | 11/4 (+275) | 21/10 (+210) |
| Spaun J.J. |
21/10 (+213) | 8/5 (+160) | 5/2 (+250) | 21/10 (+213) |
| Scott Adam |
5/2 (+251) | 8/5 (+160) | 3/1 (+300) | 11/5 (+216) |
| Woodland Gary |
23/10 (+228) | 8/5 (+160) | 11/4 (+275) | 11/5 (+221) |
| Gerard Ryan |
23/10 (+233) | 8/5 (+160) | 11/4 (+275) | 11/5 (+222) |
| Rose Justin |
13/5 (+257) | 8/5 (+160) | 3/1 (+300) | 9/4 (+227) |
| Lee Min Woo |
11/4 (+274) | 9/5 (+185) | 3/1 (+300) | 12/5 (+243) |
| Kim Tom |
5/2 (+246) | 8/5 (+160) | 3/1 (+300) | 12/5 (+243) |
| Bridgeman Jacob |
5/2 (+248) | 17/10 (+170) | 4/1 (+400) | 27/10 (+272) |
| Smalley Alex |
3/1 (+303) | 19/10 (+190) | 7/2 (+350) | 14/5 (+279) |
| Reitan Kristoffer |
31/10 (+308) | 2/1 (+200) | 7/2 (+350) | 29/10 (+290) |
| Bhatia Akshay |
41/10 (+408) | 23/10 (+230) | 5/1 (+500) | 7/2 (+347) |
| Fitzpatrick Alex |
7/2 (+355) | 23/10 (+230) | 9/2 (+450) | 7/2 (+349) |
| Fox Ryan |
43/10 (+434) | 3/1 (+300) | 11/2 (+550) | 21/5 (+420) |
Top 20
| Player | Open | Low | High | Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheffler Scottie |
1/20 (-3390) | 1/20 (-10000) | 1/20 (-2198) | 1/20 (-3472) |
| McIlroy Rory |
1/8 (-792) | 1/13 (-1250) | 1/7 (-700) | 1/9 (-894) |
| Schauffele Xander |
1/5 (-497) | 1/10 (-1000) | 2/9 (-450) | 3/20 (-682) |
| Burns Sam |
3/13 (-432) | 1/7 (-714) | 1/4 (-400) | 2/11 (-547) |
| Cantlay Patrick |
3/13 (-419) | 1/8 (-769) | 1/4 (-400) | 2/11 (-547) |
| Aberg Ludvig |
2/9 (-444) | 1/6 (-588) | 2/7 (-350) | 3/14 (-461) |
| Morikawa Collin |
1/4 (-394) | 1/7 (-714) | 3/10 (-330) | 2/9 (-453) |
| Clark Wyndham |
3/13 (-422) | 1/6 (-588) | 2/7 (-350) | 2/9 (-447) |
| Fleetwood Tommy |
3/11 (-382) | 2/11 (-556) | 4/13 (-325) | 1/4 (-409) |
| Young Cameron |
3/13 (-419) | 1/5 (-500) | 4/13 (-325) | 3/11 (-376) |
| Fitzpatrick Matt |
3/13 (-429) | 1/5 (-500) | 4/13 (-325) | 3/11 (-369) |
| Gotterup Chris |
3/10 (-338) | 2/9 (-455) | 7/20 (-290) | 3/10 (-335) |
| Kim Si Woo |
3/10 (-338) | 1/4 (-400) | 7/20 (-290) | 4/13 (-323) |
| Henley Russell |
5/16 (-312) | 1/4 (-400) | 5/13 (-260) | 1/3 (-297) |
| Hovland Viktor |
2/5 (-251) | 1/4 (-400) | 5/12 (-240) | 1/3 (-295) |
| Matsuyama Hideki |
2/5 (-250) | 1/4 (-400) | 5/12 (-240) | 7/20 (-290) |
| Spaun J.J. |
6/13 (-213) | 2/5 (-250) | 7/12 (-170) | 1/2 (-202) |
| MacIntyre Robert |
11/20 (-181) | 2/5 (-250) | 7/12 (-170) | 7/13 (-192) |
| Gerard Ryan |
9/16 (-178) | 7/16 (-227) | 5/8 (-160) | 7/13 (-190) |
| Scott Adam |
4/7 (-176) | 7/16 (-227) | 5/8 (-160) | 7/13 (-187) |
| Woodland Gary |
6/11 (-183) | 7/16 (-227) | 7/11 (-158) | 7/13 (-185) |
| Rose Justin |
5/8 (-160) | 1/2 (-200) | 11/16 (-145) | 4/7 (-176) |
| Lee Min Woo |
7/11 (-157) | 7/16 (-227) | 5/7 (-140) | 4/7 (-174) |
| Kim Tom |
7/12 (-173) | 1/2 (-194) | 11/16 (-145) | 8/13 (-164) |
| Smalley Alex |
11/16 (-145) | 4/7 (-175) | 4/5 (-125) | 2/3 (-151) |
| Bridgeman Jacob |
7/13 (-185) | 1/2 (-196) | 5/6 (-120) | 3/4 (-135) |
| Reitan Kristoffer |
5/7 (-140) | 8/13 (-161) | 4/5 (-125) | 3/4 (-135) |
| Fitzpatrick Alex |
4/5 (-124) | 8/11 (-137) | 10/11 (-110) | 9/11 (-122) |
| Bhatia Akshay |
1/1 (-102) | 13/16 (-124) | 11/10 (+110) | 1/1 (-101) |
| Fox Ryan |
1/1 (+102) | 6/7 (-116) | 6/5 (+120) | 11/10 (+109) |
Odds are pre-event reference prices only. PGT projections are independent model estimates; bookmaker prices are real-life recorded snapshots averaged from multiple sources. No in-play prices are published. Past performance does not guarantee future results.